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Posting these H7 and 850Mb temp profiles from 0Z GFS, NAM runs tonight for visual reference on why ETX icing is bound to be major Saturday night. As long as 850Mb - 700Mb layer warm-rain processes don't get too much in the way.

In Buda, Texas, Northerly breezes up to 37 mph have dropped temperatures 30 degrees down from our earlier highs in the mid 60s. At this rate we will be subfreezing by 7am. Rain will be freezing on every surface down here. It will then proceed to drop all day Saturday, into the teens Saturday night with persistent ZR. This storm may end as snow here Sunday. Next weekend another storm and trough will bring yet another round of rain, ZR, sleet and even snow to Austin Texas. Is this Texas or Northern Virginia?

Seems like trends are steady for now. Hopefully a tick south for srn areas. And for Monday.

Currently 24.8 degrees, forecasted at 17 degrees this morning and 28 for a high. I don't think we get below freezing this weekend storm. I am thinking a bad ZR storm is setting up here.

06z HRRR is incredible for our area as far as snow and icing. It shows half an inch of ice on Long Island.

please stunt on us

The 06z RRFS run, oh my.

3k gets the sleet line up to southern MA but big dump before that

6z NAM Total qpf

thats how you get two feet in some areas

damn I wish I could lock this run in

Not sure what is and isn't virga on the radar, but Memphis webcams show a snow covered interstate. Jackson cams are inconclusive.

hr 60 still snowing should of waited for total qpf but will probably end up close

Very light but happy to see that the drizzle type activity here tonight is in the form of sleet. Hopefully that is the case in the morning.

NAM increasing qpf again

They have the DGZ too warm for a lot of that

Absolutely great to see this Euro run.

6z NAM a tad bit colder for those directly on the edge. Noise at this point.

Pressure map sane time frame comparing WB 3K NAM to HRRR; not much difference.

6z Nam looks a lot better than 0z...much more in line with other models

WB 3K NAM is warmer aloft than 6Z HRRR. For example, 11 am Sunday. We will see which model is wrong.

Yes, because it was the ONE YEAR I was home during this period of NAMM and the Grammys since they were cancelled for Covid. And WOULDN’T YOU KNOW IT…. A FAILED Disaster Storm happened. Of Course. FML.

Not buying it