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So the squirrels...absolutely huge around here this year! After such a dry summer/Fall I thought they'd be their typically ragged and ratty little selves but they're not by any stretch. More like Chihuahua-sized and furry as I've ever seen. A selective mating outcome? Genetic anomaly? Local aberration? Or...are we in for a season to remember?!

The general rule around NYC Metro following SSWs that occur during any month of winter is that the snowfall is directly proportional to the amount that fell before the SSW occurred. So a winter with very little snowfall prior to the SSW usually won’t have a very snowy outcome after. Conversely, a snowy pattern before the SSW will usually become enhanced following the event.

BWI: 19.2" DCA: 14.5" IAD: 22.2" RIC: 12.5" SBY: 9.0"

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Other way around….they’re burying/planting them.

Asheville recorded a freeze November 1 but Charlotte and Raliegh hasn't. Next week looks promising for them

Hey Chris, But I wasn’t talking about snow. I’ve been talking only about temperatures in the E US as a whole. I didn't mention snowfall/wintry precip in that post because the correlation is to cold. Wintry precip is too hit and miss depending on one’s area as you know. By the way, however, all 3 of the early season SSWs since 1987 actually had major winter storms in a good portion of the E US following a lag period: Examples: -2002: Early Jan major snow SE US to Richmond including biggest ATL snow since 3/1993 -1998-9: Late Dec-first half Jan gave Baltimore 7” snow and a good portion of VA into the SE 2 major icestorms -1988: 10-12” snow DC-Baltimore to SE US early Jan

BWI: 27.3” DCA: 12.1” IAD: 21.3” RIC: 8.5” SBY: 17.0”

Gusting over 40 in Stratham

Carolina Weather Association

0z EPS shows a whopping 25 hits (at least flurries) out of 50 (50%)!

thru November 13, 06z GEFS show 11 hits (at least flurries) out of 30 (37%). p30 looks cool as well.

Nothing is cast in stone right now. Here are overall December cases: For recent La Niña events (1980-2025), December snowfall of 6" or above is more conducive to a snowy winter. Frequency of 30" or more for January-April: December < 4": 16.7% December 4" or above: 25.0% December 6" or above: 28.6% December 8" or above: 40.0%

I was talking mostly about snowfall which was lackluster those seasons following the SSWs. There wasn’t any cold to speak of in my area following the December 1998 event. While we did get some cold for around 10 days in January 1988, it wasn’t nearly as the cold as major January 1980s Arctic outbreaks were. 2001-2002 was essentially a year without a winter.

Especially twilight feeding time. Just missed one on Harned by the Saw Mill.

Thanks! This will come in handy

But you have to head back in an hour earlier, so...

-2001: agreed -1998: had a 3 week long cold period last week of Dec to midpoint of Jan (example NYC had 7 F BN 12/23-1/14) -1987: cold last few days of Dec through midpoint of Jan (example NYC had a 11 F BN 12/28-1/15) So, I don’t agree with your statement because two out of three early major SSWs since the late 1980s had the cold for a 2.5-3 week period after a lag, which included a cold first half of Jan.

Why are the squirrels such a-holes. Theres 1005854908594 acorns lying around. They dig up my lawn looking for buried acorns.

Same thing happened here at the tail end after the hail. Two minute burst of 45+ gusts. Knocked part of town out of power

Winds were above 50. Rotating on radar. Those people on the cape got smoked by the cell which passed directly over me. No joke been there done this that was severe. CG and extremely loud thunder.

February 06 was largely luck...pattern was awful. March 2006 was actually better, but ended up cold and dry.

The only "fast starts to winter, then died in January" were 89-90 and 07-08. Technically, you could argue 05-06 and 20-21, but those had a blockbuster return in February.

Man, it’s gotta be gustjng 45 to almost 50 here. It is windy.

I love the wet snow that clings to trees and all surfaces vs the drier snow that blows and drifts where one spot can have 2-3 feet and nothing right next to it. Like you said I’ll gladly take whatever we get in this new regime.