All Activity

Does anyone need meat? Good luck. Live pic from the crofton wegmans lol.

Looks like last minute trends are slightly nudging the heavy axis a little more north. Seeing more outputs of 12” for cmh. Looking like our first legit big dog since?

So what if a big chunk of the sleet actually falls as low ratio snow? That would be cool huh

NWS mentions snow Wednesday Night A chance of snow after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 20. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Thursday A chance of snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 32. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Positive possibilities Front end overrunning over performs (>0.6) of the total 1.0 - 1.4 QPF at 12:1 or 15:1 ratios and the mix / sleet is light precip. That first 6 - 8 hours is key to the front end WAA snows. Snowfall from 0.65" Liquid (LE) Snow Ratio Snowfall 12:1 7.8 inches 15:1 9.8 inches

Check the pump if it’s cold while the heat is running it’s toast

I just mentioned that two posts ago!

DCA made it to 10 this morning with open water surrounding it and no snowcover. That is serious cold.

Snow in Dallas this morning, cold air underdone there

Currently 1039.6mb and continuing to creep up. Pretty rare with a storm approaching especially with a high the is entrenched and not flying off the coast of Maine.

-4F here. Meh. But the duration of this cold is impressive. I think it’s thread worthy.

So we can probably discount the NAMs? I know they handle warm air aloft better than the other models and I would assume that is due to a better ability to know the wind field aloft so why in this case would we trust a global over them?

I just caught up on the Euro from last night. Yaaaaaaaaassssssss. Love it! What’s time we looking for the flakes to fly tonight?

Looks like the air is struggling to saturate now. Snow is very fine and light and is blowing around so it's hard to measure. Totals haven't increased much. If the 2nd wave also underperforms later tonight this might be a bust. I will be very surprised if we see 10+ inches like what was being forcasted.

As a neighbor to your east in western Berks County, I’d sign up for that as well

12/1 here on Kent Island…. Low was only supposed to be 16 here [emoji3063] .

9 degrees here Expecting 6-12 here

I'll see your Hibbing and raise you a an Ely (KELO), -38˚ or Cook (KCQM); Cook also hit -38˚ last night. Lowest reported aside from a -45˚ in Wisconsin from a Coop but that is probably a windchill misreported. A number of weather stations are reporting -40˚ rn in Northern WI and MN. So we'll see what the PNS shows once it's updated. (They'll all tell you that this is nothing compared to 1996.) Twin cities at -15˚, but were below -20˚ yesterday for the first time in 7 years.

Just read an interesting observation from Texas/Dallas Fort Worth area where temps are reported lower than initially modeled. They’re receiving frozen where they weren’t expecting it. Not sure what it means for us down range, but someone in here mentioned due to the flat nature of the pattern that anything we see out west may translate downstream.

WSW is showing 7-13 for me. That’s still very aggressive, but much more reasonable than what they had yesterday. I’ll be very happy if we manage 7 or 8.

Snowing in Chattanooga… roofs and cars covered already .

Graupel has started here

And we have changed to primarily snow. Absolutely did not expect this.

Low of 3 here.