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  2. mitchnick
    It's a 3 month average and Cfs2 is showing on the monthly forecasts that December's a dumpster fire and February looks workable to great. So you're going to get goofy 3 month averages.
  3. WinstonSalemArlington
  4. ineedsnow
    Lets get that trough to the west and a high to the northeast of us and bring up that GFS cane! I'll take warmer weather and higher dews to pull something like that off
  5. Met1985
    It currently feels like hell...
  6. yotaman
    Excessive heat warning for us too. Currently 97/80 for a feels like of 117.
  7. LakePaste25
    It worked in 09-10 but that’s because there was a TPV anchored near James Bay that could phase with these pacific systems. Without that, we’re just relying on dynamic cooling which tends to only favor snow for the mountains. Pacific jet is also usually too strong to allow a TPV to anchor up there.
  8. nrgjeff
    I am about to rage about the odd ball streaming games. Sports has become an even more crooked hack. Time to go back into the archive. All this Spanish eclipse stuff has me reflecting on 2017 and 2024 in the USA.
  9. vortex95
    One area actually got what the RRFS was forecasting. 6.41" Midlothian VA! RRFS overdid the areal coverage. HRRR was a bit high but still 2.00" max a Franconia VA not far S of DC metro. Looking at the wind reports, it appears the Appalachians barrier for bow echoes/derechoes was a big factor here. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/reports/260816_rpts.html
  10. nrgjeff
    Things should heat up soon from MRX to TRI, eventually unzippering through Knox and Chatt. Monday Aug. 17 The SPC bumped up wind to 30% (not shown) but it is still Slight because no hatch. We'll see if 30% verifies. Requires the said multiple bowing segments. Otherwise 15% would do. I suspect any bowing segment would provide some nice photography. Just don't get struck by lightning. This airmass (very deep CAPE) has promoted prolific lightning for a week now.
  11. EastCoast NPZ
    No shame at all, it transforms that shot into an award winner. That's spectacular.
  12. winterwx21
    Still a long way to go to figure out the weekend, but latest runs of GFS and Euro now show a dry Saturday. They do bring in some rain for Sunday.
  13. Maggie Valley Steve
    Severe Thunderstorm Watch until 10 PM
  14. winterwx21
    84 degrees with a dewpoint of 70 here.
  15. Stormchaserchuck1
    You are not going to get a deep EC trough with the Pacific like that. The Pacific is a more powerful pattern driver. They used to happen like that in the 1960s but not anymore. Model error/flaw.
  16. Spanks45
    No kidding....I typically top my tank off this time of year and pay the lowest price per gallon. Just checked and it is $4.58 per gallon and on the rise, for comparison, I paid $2.75 per gallon last year. Most of my heating comes from a wood stove, so I really only use around 100 gallons per year. Can't imagine how much the price will be come fall, into winter, let alone what the current lock in rates are right now, I have no clue?!. Literally going to costs thousands more just to heat your home. Hoping for a warm winter for all if that is the case...
  17. dendrite
    I think it could break positive if the mean trough is more over the lakes. It’s not overly torchy or anything though.
  18. FPizz
    Mostly sunny here now.
  19. GramaxRefugee
    I think that artistically the clouds added to the beauty of the photo. More artistic than scientific. (Just my opinion of course.)
  20. WVclimo
    Saw this online, and hadn’t realized how well they’ve played up to the competition. The Orioles are 18-9 this year against teams currently leading their divisions: Vs Tampa 6-3 Vs Houston 5-1 Vs White Sox 4-2 Vs Dodgers 2-1 Vs Brewers 0-0 Vs Atlanta 1-2
  21. KakashiHatake2000
    SPC has day 1 marginal risk and slight risk for both east of i65 in middle Tennessee and also in East Tennessee for 5-15-30% damaging wind https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day1otlk.html .
  22. SouthboundYank
    Currently 98 degrees and 78 DP, with an apparent "real feel" of 116. Haven't checked many inland readings but I'm sure they're worse. We considered hitting the beach this afternoon, but with winds at only between 5-7 mph, an excessive heat warning out for today, and an excessive heat watch already hoisted for tomorrow, I think we'll wait until Wednesday. It's just generally hotter than Satan's anus anywhere up and down the Grand Strand today and likely tomorrow.
  23. 87storms
    The only option today was for a rogue shower to beeline over Frederick.
  24. Today
  25. WinstonSalemArlington
    Light at the end of the summer tunnel
  26. John1122
    I believe it's 110 heat index or 105 air temp.
  27. 87storms
    Just be prepared for construction everywhere, higher COL, and probably more traffic.
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