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  2. It’s an ice storm for western Virginia and cold rain elsewhere
  3. It’s not a 60 day lag but yes what’s happening there has a downstream impact on us. The impact is much faster than 60 days.
  4. I would say B- here as of now
  5. If I'm understanding your question correctly, I was refrerring to the 18z OP Euro AI. The EPS-AI doesn't come out until later on
  6. I'll be pulling into the Shit Face station pretty soon. Had to go in on a Saturday and it was kinda rough.
  7. Question; back in the day some poster whether it was doorman or others. Said to looked towards the Aleutians and look to 60 day lag. Is that correct?
  8. I can agree with that. Went out this afternoon for a small grocery run. All the roads are plastered with salt residue. Absolutely disgusting looking
  9. Aifs trended colder too. Most of the misses are to the south not north.
  10. There is a lag. I’m worried about CAPEs 18-20 window. I think that might end up too warm. I think we have a shot for the 15th threat if it ejects a healthy wave in time. The longer it waits the worse it gets.
  11. I’m Saturday Frederick drunk (yeah fuckers I know it’s only 7:23 PM) and don’t know shit about anything. Anyone have cliff notes for some snow next week? Following weekend? My apologies. Such language shouldn’t be tolerated unless I make 150K. Damn it! Only pulled off 149k in 2025. Sue me bitches.
  12. https://x.com/nynjpaweather/status/2020265182199501284?s=46&t=dhcbvkjmRcyBVQtDxJ3lRg
  13. Yeah, the further out in time we go the lower the chance we have with that pattern establishing and flexing.
  14. need a salary check on Greyhat
  15. Always! LOL! The area has a million ways to screw up a good-looking snowstorm pattern or even an event! I am always negative on this stuff. Sadly, the warm air seems to find its way in, even when models say it won't! I play "Debbie Downer" too many times. I also need to not share that too often.. because the region is not always easy to snow... but it can!
  16. I see the 18z EPS AI is coming out now but why does it show on Pivital 18z (Plus)?
  17. I hope we get a -40° Celsius and a -40° Fahrenheit. One of the same.
  18. You’d generally need a N or NNW wind. NYC doesn’t radiate very well.
  19. I really am hoping Wednesday is just plain rain. We need to wash all this salt off roads and parking lots.
  20. The ICON would also work..ends with a norlun swinging down from gulf of maine as the storm departs
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