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several cold air intrusions are not a fantasy so when cold enough air is present always a chance of some precip/storms popping up -- models will not see it until just prior sometimes this time of year - remember 4/7/03 and 4/6/82 ? And how about this seasons analog winter of 95-96 on April 9-10, 1996 ? Snow and ice storm, April 7, 2003 - Storm Summary Snow storm, April 9-10, 1996 - Storm Summary

They always predict warmth in the east .

I think it was a D.

Starting with Friday. Models have a quick mover that looks pretty juicy.

I would give the CPC a "C" grade

It’s incredibly cool to watch

0z lost it Fantasy

Im not sure. There are photos just like that.

+4-5 is a reasonable guess. It will be the first warmer than avg month since October. Again, I was strictly talking about March 21 and beyond. Some insisted the western inferno would envelope the entire conus post march 21, and that will clearly not be the case. Rather, it looks like a mix of some warmer than avg days and some colder than avg days.

Clearly fake bro come on

Should be an above average temp 1st week of April

Icon way north Congrats maine

38 for the high today, 23 now. Probably coldest until December

18.82 down here in Waynesboro... With the cold temps and the glacier storm lasting so long - solid winter...So close though to something much more special - good winter nonetheless...

yeah even DCA struggled to break 40F (high of 41F)

There will be case studies on this. It’s been pretty much right over the radar site for its life cycle.

Yeah, polar lows are interesting

Pretty wild IMG_5609-ezgif.com-gif-to-mp4-converter.mp4

Should freak people out that that’s climatologically six months ahead of schedule - assuming that’s a warm core… oh ha, never mind

11/30: Mix of sleet and light rain for a couple hours before switching to light cold rain. 12/2: Mix early in the morning before flipping to hard, cold rain. 12/5: 2.25”. 2” in the man event and 0.25” later that evening/overnight. 12/13: 1.25” 1/17-18: T - An hour or so of sleet/flurries on the 17th and very light snow on the 18th 1/25: 9.25" - 5" of snow overnight followed by all-day pounding sleet 2/7: 0.25” - Clipper? Frontal passage? 2/22-2/23: 3.25" Rain flipped to a decent snow 3/2: 1.00" 3/12: 1.50" Really impressive flip to heavy snow after cold front bombed through (40-degree drop in 24 hours) Running Total: 18.75”

That McD fish sandwich is sooooooo good! I could easily scarf down about seven of them. Chick fil A strips are my weakness. Those things are soooooo expensive. If I could afford it I'd get five 4 strip orders. I love Chick fil A strips better than a good Sierran 4 foot blizzard with 150mph wind gusts.

I just took out the dog and was getting some light sleet.

Exactly yeah, next week is the last full week of March, and I'm not seeing anything crazy warm. Monday through Friday most highs are 40's to low 50's with 20's and 30's at night. I'm not saying we don't end up AN this month but it's not like we wall to wall torched. The crazy departures last week will make the month look worse on paper of course.

Below are the March 1-18 high temperatures vs. the daily records for Phoenix: