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Thank you for this. I noticed the Hampton Effect a few years back after a buddy moved to Dover and he cashed every thunderstorm while ASH sucks balls.

Gorgeous drive down the garden state parkway this morning to red bank. 78 and clear skies.

Here comes the next round of surface and subsurface warming and strengthening. This is going to spark off another DWKW. Think the June model runs go wild with the peak

Low of 67 with .02” of rain. My P&C now has me failing to reach 90 today, guess we’ll see how early the cloud debris and storms start.

NWS ILX in Lincoln, IL bringing up a blocking pattern taking place for Memorial Day weekend heading into next week. Heading into next week, global deterministic models suggest the development of a Rex block over the Plains. The progression of the associated upper low will ultimately dictate rain and storm potential through early next week. Current indications suggest that areas south of I-72 are best positioned for rainfall as the low portion of the block pivots up the Mississippi Valley while the high-pressure side loiters over the Corn Belt. There is stronger model agreement regarding temperatures, with mid-to- upper 80s heat forecast to return by the middle of next week.

Euro gonna bust badly for MDW

What a drop in about 6 hours

Sprinkles yesterday

Haha yep. I still think we get Slight-level severe coverage along/NW of I-95 today (even if the SPC keeps it Marginal)... we've been baking since Monday with little to no turnover in the atmosphere and storm coverage looks pretty good today.

Wxwiz should make a New England version! https://atlas.niu.edu/alerts/

I thought hrrr had a good signal. I also noticed storms took off once they hit S coast seabreeze.

Euro AI getting wetter this weekend

Overnight Euro and EPS are robust. Sent from my SM-G998U using Tapatalk

5/19 HighsEWR: 99TEB: 98PHL: 98BLM: 98New Brnswck: 97TTN: 96LGA: 96ACY: 94NYC: 93ISP: 81JFK: 80

5/19 Highs EWR: 99 TEB: 98 PHL: 98 BLM: 98 New Brnswck: 97 TTN: 96 LGA: 96 ACY: 94 NYC: 93 ISP: 81 JFK: 80

Models are printing out maybe 4-7 inches by next Tuesday in Buda. Meanwhile the yellow and red rain returns just keep right on backbuilding over and over and we are absolutely LOVIN the rain! Over an inch, up to 16.1 on the year, this is very good for our part of Texas in mid May.

So 95-98 MTW to maybe 58-65 Friday?

mesos were so-so, but you could see how a very solid event could get going along I-90 ish

perhaps another highly dangerous flood

73/68 at midnight in PWM is rare even in peak climo. Wind just needs to go calm and it'll drop some.

I will say this event was rather impressive given the slightly anticyclonic flow aloft. Usually w/ such hot temps and that kind of flow aloft, it remains capped. One thing though the cell coverage did to rage into a SQLN at first. Cells were small clusters but intense.