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Incredible bust for short term model guidance. Some places about to pick up 3" of rain on the day.

Must be your location. Crickets and katydids have been doing their thing for a few weeks here.

I’m laying that grass seed down right after Labor Day. If they don’t ditch the water restrictions, I’m going to protest.

3.60 still going.

It appears per radar that I’m about to get clobbered with heavy rain. Rain started ~5:50PM.

RDT_20260802_162958.mp4

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED Tornado Warning National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 540 PM EDT Sun Aug 2 2026 The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a * Tornado Warning for... West Central Allegheny County in southwestern Pennsylvania... Northern Washington County in southwestern Pennsylvania... * Until 615 PM EDT. * At 540 PM EDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado was located near Imperial, or 8 miles southwest of Moon Township, moving northeast at 30 mph. HAZARD...Tornado. SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation. IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage to roofs, windows and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is likely. * Locations impacted include... Moon Township, Robinson Township, Kennedy Township, Stowe Township, Coraopolis, Sewickley, Imperial, Emsworth, North Fayette Township, Edgeworth, Sewickley Heights, Glen Osborne, Glenfield, Haysville, Pittsburgh International Airport and Enlow. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a well-built building away from windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect yourself from flying debris.

Yeah nothing abnormal. We’ve seen a few up here.

Just got back from athens, second to last day there were fires everywhere. In the first pic, you can see smoke from much larger fires in the background. The one pictured was put out within an hour or two of starting. One of the first things I saw just an hour ago after hopping off the plane was a video of two wildfire helicopters near Athens colliding, allegedly killing two of four crew... just kind of hits because we quite literally could have seen those guys amongst the dozens of copters flying around that afternoon

12Z UKMET has no TC but it does have this vigorous TW on Thu evening moving NW and then NNW from there bringing convection into the NFL/GA/SC coast on Fri 8/7. I may have to watch this. Hopefully it ends up nothing more than this or a low end TS at the very worst:

But management did sign Baz, Bradish, and Alonso to long term deals... We have not had that in the past.

The cause of the Phillies first rain delay is arriving here with some drizzle. 83F with a 73F dew point.

If you move both Adley and Holliday you tell the fan base the rebuild was for nothing, since those are both 1.1 picks. Elias and Alby are gone at the end of the season is my guess.

Eastern side of DC area looks to get hit solidly this evening

Rough cutoff over western fairfax county today. I’m sitting just under .3 while under a mile away is 1 inch plus. Suns now fighting to come out, hoping we still got a batch or two of rain left.

I finished July with 5.69" of rain but my last rain hit was 0.02" this past Thursday. Need a good soaker. No 90s the past 3 days, but 88s for highs including today. Have been watching what was once a solid rain band that has become disorganized as it moved east. Currently an overcast 84 and 73 dp. Also, I don't know if it just this area but I haven't heard any crickets yet. Usually they would have been going last month and the katydids would be warming up now.

There’s always a stressed tree or two that do that.

Damn. My NAM comment from earlier didn't age well lol. Radar looks amazing right now. Looks at that fetch of moisture.

Really have no confidence that Elias is going to make a move here that'd positively impact the team but moving Roger's and Adley would bring some value. Moving Jackson seems like overkill and would probably alienate what's left of the fanbase.

Got a good dose with the last round. 1.39" so far for the day. That's the most in what seems like forever...

About .30 at home; sunny all day in OC.

0.16” so far today, round 2 incoming

A moderate to significant rainfall is likely tomorrow into Tuesday. Much of the New York City area will likely see 0.50"-1.50" of rain. An area of 2.00"-3.00" rainfall with locally higher amounts is possible, especially north and west of New York City. No exceptional heat is likely through the first week of August. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.8°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +2.2°C for the week centered around July 23. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +3.38°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.92°C. The ongoing strong El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -7.77 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.297 today.

Close to .6” so far. We’ll see if that huge slog down near Baltimore gets here.

Up to 3.12” on the day down here in Stafford 77/76