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EC is close to a top end scenario, but I would put it at the 75-90th percentile at this point. 12z UKMet yesterday was the 99th percentile. This run is very very impressive.

Damn! It changes east TN over to rain:

seems were on our way there.. this could be great!

Caution, mix in southern zones.

It does exactly what I wanted it to do in my analysis: "In order to reach our theoretical limit we want to see 1. All of the SW energy comes east 2. A sharper and further west NS trough 3. A more south NS trough to capture the surface low and prevent mixing."

We got it!!

NWS and local mets lean heavily toward EURO. Expect their forecasts to shift accordingly.

The Euro is not the model you want to hope is wrong. No model is perfect including that one. But that’s not the one I would want to be rooting against.

Yep, some mix at the end but the damage is pretty much done by then

Holy shit. This is a memorable one if it holds.

Euro was about to cook!

Euro is a FOLKS! Thank you to all who joined us for Happy Hour. See you at 0z!

Look at the trends. It moves north every run. At this rate, only Washington DC will see snow.

18Z Euro Total QPF through 144 with seemingly more to come

Take the wheel of this effing bus! Hold up, you have a license dont ya kid? Meh, dafuq does it matter anyway. Ride on!

Ummm did you guys see the end of the 18z euro ? Waiting for WB but damn that’s close to a monster for us.. just saw brooklyns post after I hit submit

Just insane!!

FWIW the cmc parallel which will be replacing the cmc eventually has been showing a full phase run after run. The 18z euro looks almost spot on to its 12z run. Just throwing that out there .

Euro doesn't snow much in NC this run brick. 75% ice

18z Euro is disgusting. Brings rain into the lower plateau glacier load of ice

Still a lot of time, but not the trends you want to see at this stage if you're a snow lover in central piedmont. 18Z EURO ejection looked much different

What’s the record snowfall in Blacksburg? Was it ‘93?

I knew this run was gonna go nuclear as soon as @bncho said the sw ejected faster. Good gloppity!!

ECMWF is a full phaser