All Activity

EPS is 90s even for the 4th.

Went back and took another look at the 06/12z GFS. They both try to pop a 597dm ridge at the peak of the heat on Friday into Saturday. If this holds, then it open the doors to some possibilities: Scattered or even widespread 100 degree air temperatures are possible Thur - Sat The strength and placement of the ridge would preclude afternoon convection Low temperatures may fail to fall below 80 degrees, perhaps even the low 80s in the Urban Heat Islands We might see the heat wave tail into the end of the weekend

You’re missing a deluge by 5 miles currently. Just FYI.

Finally a real storm winds up to 40mph for 10 straight minutes! Insane rain!

What's it say about the early July thunderstorm pattern? Heat that big could really amp them.

It’s a metaphor, not literal description.

If, and it's still a decent if given the Euro mid range heat bias, the Euro is right then it's Excessive Heat Warnings for everyone even back to Cumberland and Keyser.

Euro and GFS were not showing widespread <0.1 through Sunday at that time. Mt. Holly was the odd one out making a rather bold claim. Try again.

Sunday and Monday aren't much better on the 12z Euro Sunday 2pm 2mT Monday 2pm 2mT

I’m wondering if W Yellowstone Gateway, which is at 6,666 ft, could get some snow: ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM 6 PM THIS EVENING TO NOON MDT MONDAY... * WHAT...PERIODS OF WET SNOW EXPECTED. TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATIONS UP TO 4 INCHES ABOVE 6500 FEETINCLUDING THE CITIES OF BIG SKY, WEST YELLOWSTONE, TARGHEE PASS, AND RAYNOLDS PASS 942 AM MDT SAT JUN 27 2026 TONIGHT COLDER. RAIN SHOWERS AND CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING, THEN RAIN SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW ACCUMULATION UP TO 4 INCHES. LOWS 31 TO 37.IF W Yell. Gate can somehow get any measurable SN late tonight, it would be a new record latest in season meas. on record by 20 days! They’ve had no meas. June 9th-Sep 14th although records go back only to 2007. But even just a T would be notable as they’ve had only 2 Ts June 28th-Sep 4th since 2007:Records: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/Climate?wfo=tfx https://grizzlyrv.com/what-is-the-elevation-of-west-yellowstone/

I edited my post above and added the images

LOL You claimed that pro Mets working at a NWS forecast office must be smoking crack based on correctly updating their previous forecast, because YOU didn't agree. You. who have zero credentials(nor ability as a hobbyist) to properly interpret model guidance. Keep digging dude.

The 12z Euro and GFS actually upped the ante with the placement and strength of the 500 mb ridge. A stout 594dm ridge from the OH/KY border to Cape Hatteras. If that holds it's a legit setup for heat. Hope it holds, we haven't had a good heat wave in years!

Ended up with a few minutes of drizzle. Looks like we picked a good week to head to Cape Cod to do an outdoor event by the beach.

12z Euro apparently left the oven on for Thursday to Saturday looking at 2mT Thursday 2pm 2mT Friday 2pm 2mT Saturday 2pm 2mT

Fourth of July weekend looks kind of like crap

We need a write up on what went wrong

And nothing more, calling out people here requires more substance. Seems to me you had no way to prove me wrong at the time and opted for a dig. Quite petty.

I have a 'rating', but I'll keep it to myself.

Breathing fire, eh? Extreme, unprecedented hyperbole warning!

I guess we DO have weird squabbles outside of winter........sad.

Toasty... 226pm ZFP for DC metro WEDNESDAY...Sunny, hot with highs in the upper 90s. Heat index values up to 110. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Clear. Lows in the upper 70s. .THURSDAY...Sunny, hot with highs 100 to 105. Heat index values up to 115. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 80. .FRIDAY...Sunny, hot with highs 100 to 105. Heat index values up to 110.

What in the world is going on in here...? @JenkinsJinkies - Take this stuff to banter. It is pretty obvious to see reading through this thread as an uninvolved third-party who is/was the aggressor. We are all here for the enjoyment of weather. Calm down and just take the L. It's okay to have a difference of opinion - it's how you act that matters. Quit while you're ahead - you're flirting with child-like temper tantrum territory... Nobody wants to open this thread to you having some weird argument in public. Get a room.

Cell just popped over me with boundary that passed north and blew east over I 395