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sorry that was a typo, the storm that just happened Feb 6-7
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I don't see anything for then, my notes have .3" on 1/4 and .1" on 1/5.
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
Ji replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
sad. We have had no precip since the Jan 25 storm and will not have anything till Feb 16. Thats 25 freakin days bro of no precip in the winter. How is that possible? -
Let’s talk winter!! Ohio and surrounding states!! 24'-25'
dilly84 replied to buckeye's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Something potential brewing 144 hours out. GFS too south for us, Canadian/Icon too far north. What do we think? Worth tracking? -
Speaking of big picture ... the big picture is trying to see-saw the pattern into a -PNAP structure. Whilst some of these prior runs were also driving a trough through the eastern rising heights of that -d(PNA) ? that's a red flag, and probably why the operational GFS is pulling the rug on that event as a no show. I should have seen this myself sooner but heh, I'm seeing it now. It may 86 the idea altogether, but I wouldn't go more than middling with all that in mind. I think those eye-candy Euro runs from the other day are less able to verify given the large scale is negatively interfering. This is the mirror equivalency to ending a heat wave on Aug 10 after a hot summer, and the models looking tepid out in time. The warm enthusiasts are arguing that the back isn't broken this and that... while cool enthusiasts are overselling the significance of it... rinse repeat.
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Feb 10-11 Mid Week Minor Event - Ride the hot hand?
Damage In Tolland replied to HoarfrostHubb's topic in New England
Reggae probably will tone it down somewhat . I just think a general 1-3” from north of NYC to I-90 and 2-4” north of 90 makes sense -
Yeah I agree, the track and setup pretty much scream Miller-B so if anything were to fall as anything frozen more than likely going it's to be zr or sleet. My point is the models don't have it figured out yet and a lot folks seem to be writing it off. I feel like anytime a wedge setup could happen we won't really have the answers until almost go time, especially if the models are somewhat close over the next few days with temps in the mid 30s.
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research shows that negative people have better outcomes than positive people, who tend to think that mole is nothing or that blood in the stool is just a hemorrhoid...of course, the weather is an independent variable
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With the primary jumping from Indianapolis to secondary developing in southeastern N.C., deepening and finding a home around Nagshead/Norfolk, GGEM dumps 18" on Augusta County. GEPS comes in with 15 inches. What a trip!! That I give a 1% chance of verifying, unless the EURO spits out 12 inches. Then, that 1% leaps to 5%. If this was Thursday 12z, different ballgame.
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12z CMC definitely colder and the GEFS came in better. Unreal swings of these models. They definitely dont have a clue yet
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I do think it's over for significant snowfall, at least south of central VA. Would be an ice storm and anything significant seems like a stretch at this point in time
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Two years ago I had snowdrops blooming 2nd week of February. This year I just have snow. I like this better
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February 2026 Medium/ Long Range Discussion: 150K Salary Needed to Post
Ji replied to Weather Will's topic in Mid Atlantic
well the glacier will still be around and my favorite kind of weather is heavy snow falling so.... -
than post some
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We are talking about next Monday. We should be using ensembles at this range not operational runs
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i think he meant for the storm lol. Westerly got 11.6" and there was a Voluntown 4SW report of 10.8 but thats the only report i saw over 10 in CT. How much did you get for the Jan 6-7th event? and @IrishRob17 what was your total for Jan 6-7th I have like hardly any reports for Orange County, besides a few
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i think he meant for the storm lol. Westerly got 11.6" and there was a Voluntown 4SW report of 10.8 but thats the only report i saw over 10 in CT.
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Good! Maybe we can move towards a model compromise by mid week.
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They did, 14.2 in Kingston, RI cocorahs. With many reports 11-12"
