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no GFS is ready to destroy us on March 13th
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
winter_warlock replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
Who woulda thought we'd have to wait till March to get a real snowstorm -
From 6z??
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After this morning we are at 52.5 in Ardsley.
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I'm still waiting for the 1000-year storm that drops 12" in my yard. That would be peak crazy.
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Clipper Fires In Wednesday Feb 25 Disco/ Obs
codfishsnowman replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
1.4 -
I feel every molecule of your pain, only ten disgusting inches The southeast corner of my county hit 22"
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
winter_warlock replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
I'm following it while working -
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
LeesburgWx replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
You aren’t a real one if you head to Houston instead of being here spending 7 straight days chasing 1-2 inches from a coastal that melts 18 hours later -
Clipper Fires In Wednesday Feb 25 Disco/ Obs
weatherwiz replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I believe there was a special weather statement -
winter_warlock started following Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
winter_warlock replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
That's total snow not 24hrs -
Love the pics / vids. Especially like the snowman on the fire escape!
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Assuming there actually is a -AO/-NAO flip around 3/20 (Equinox). I wouldn’t say there’s still plenty of time for NYC metro area snowstorms at that point. Have they happened 3/20 and beyond? Yes. Would I gamble that there’s going to be an NYC snowstorm pattern setting up 3/20 - early April? Not so much. After 3/15, south of New England, it’s very late for that. Obviously not impossible and has happened before with anomalous, freak snowstorms, but yea…..
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Outta gas and Outta Time: Early March Winter Storm finale
stormtracker replied to Ji's topic in Mid Atlantic
You're not a real one unless you are following a potential Warning criteria event that will likely turn into a slushy inch with temps of 33 degrees. But by the time you realize that, you will be way too vested and have to see it through -
Is we back? February discussion thread
RUNNAWAYICEBERG replied to mahk_webstah's topic in New England
How are you feeling today…have you recovered? https://www.nbcnewyork.com/weather/weather-stories/video-nypd-snowball-fight-mamdani-washington-square-park/6469055/?amp=1 -
Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
MikeB_01 replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
GFS is better yes. Euro has something to watch, but its very weak in comparison to the other models -
E PA/NJ/DE Spring 2026 Obs/Discussion
RedSky replied to PhiEaglesfan712's topic in Philadelphia Region
Today's euro mega torches after next Wednesday, a week of false spring? -
Clipper Fires In Wednesday Feb 25 Disco/ Obs
codfishsnowman replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Especially with the timing...at least for most of CT. Was there even a special weather statement? -
Beer?
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
MJO812 replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Canadian Geese migration begins in front of 80+ degrees March 12th? -
It came north.
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Pittsburgh/Western PA WINTER ‘25/‘26
RitualOfTheTrout replied to Burghblizz's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Right now I think we are right where we want to be. Some models North, some to the South. Don't really want any more South on that GFS op run though. -
I think it may be over cooked. Admittedly don't have a lot of confidence though. I've seen this in the past where these early season modeled warm bulges end up 18 hours of misty warm sector. I've literally seen a D11-14 run of 75 F days end up verifying one day of 62. What happens is the progressive footprint sped up the frontal advance 1 hour/run for week's worth until the first 2 days are claimed. Meanwhile, the wedged in BD air mass is 18 hours too fast to erode out in the guidance. No one wins: no snow; warmth gypped. This one does have the index/ens spacial synoptics backing the -PNA, so we'll see. I'm perfectly happy with melt and mud and leave it at that for now... which no one wins in that boredom either. Ha
