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Best lift looks below DGZ on most guidance too so I don’t love it. But some of these runs have very intense rates for 2-3 hours. So if someone gets a surprise 4-6”, it will be because they prob ended up in a narrow area of very strong lift/rates.

The GFS is pretty fun this weekend… sadly it’s pretty much in an island.

Very true but we track lol hope for the best

My understanding has been that the p v was to split and send down at least two cold lobes into central then the eastern US late this month, but the MJO would be somewhat muting, and delaying its effects here on the east coast. Was it a pile of rubbish i've been reading, or still being worked out?

Eps progress

So EURO EPS suite says we are still in the game for a winter storm this Sunday. Only 6-7 days to go....

He made the Junior chorus last two years, and senior this year.

Hot damn….get that aloe ready cause you gonna be crispy

18z EPS & 18z AI EPS look great as well for the Sunday chance. Lots of maps are posted in the Mid Atlantic thread for your viewing pleasure.

Temps kinda suck at the end of the run on the mean, but plenty of time to correct that error.

WB EURO AI 7pm Sunday pressure locations.

Divide by 3 on those maps. I'd take an inch, this is all a bonus if we can score either Saturday or Monday

Lots of Eps members west of mean. EDIT: Lots of 8's and 9's there too!

The ride generally isn’t good and often does not arrive at the destination. But at times the bumpy fitful ride ends up at a Great location

Because no snow for Richmond. Their season kaput

appreciate it. thanks

Hollup...this is supposed to be my storm, right? The one where if it happens I will take the merciless trolling? I'll tell you what...If we get to Thursday and it’s still a thing, then I'll start the thread if that's okay with the mods. I might call it the "We don't get big storms after Feb 20th" thread, or the "Ain't no way..." storm! I doubt it works out but it's a win-win for me in terms of trolling!

Wouldn’t be taking much money from you so there’s that.

End of the run-

I’m thinking 2-4” here…maybe 1-3”. Well see how quickly things cool.

WB EURO AI 1pm and 7pm Sunday

18z Euro at least has the storm off the coast which it didn’t have at 12z. Progress.

WB 18Z AI EURO ( prob. For 6 inches or more.)

I'm not disagreeing with you. Maybe my constant search for cold and snow has given me cold bias algorithms. Is there still two trains of thought on this or has there been some type of agreement. From what I'm gathering the Europeans don't seem to agree with this but everything i've read, is a few hours to a day old so maybe a lot has changed.

Vort is further west this run, which is good. Better ridging north of Montana too.