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If we have another decade like this during the 2020s, then yes....I will assume we have reached a tipping point at which the back ground warming has rendered the pattern irrelevant for east coast snowfall prospects, but I am just not there yet. I think that's a pretty fair stance.

Nah we got a lot of interesting weather, this is just bad luck. Stein even got the synoptics here. It’s not like it’s convection.

the pac warm pool won't reload after this nino and we'll get dateline forcing forever

Just Blizzards and wind.

That thing is massive

I saw this and thought it might resonate

Epitomizes your online contributions over the course of the past two decades....what a waste of a degree. Plenty of highly esteemed contributors like @bluewaveand @raindancewx are pretty painfully objective with regard to east coast winter prospects...it's not about that. You just don't offer much of value not because you aren't capable, but you allocate all of your time and energy towards mindless trolling.

snow, all the time

blah blah blah

Any seasonal meteorologist worth a damn would understand that there are multidecadal trends and oscillations at play that are independent of the background warming.....they have all been about as hostile as it gets for east coast winter enthusiasts throughout the 2020s. If you feel the planet is going to warm enough to negate the more favorable shift of the multidecadal hemispheric trends and increased moisture availability, then I would be more than willing to wager against you.

0.17” overnite imby/Columbia. 1.78” so far in July.

You just don’t live in a good area for any kind of weather really

There is as much as 4" difference just in my town.

I would bet it ends up around 140W.

Here is the latest Falls Lake level and it made up about half of what it lost during the peak of the most recent heatwave.

just under an inch here of perfect falling rate, nourishing rains. I can imagine all you dystopian codependent nega-nauts are oddly displeased by the gentle beauty of everything is awesome lol And no, Scott. when dealing with social media/blue light psychotropic stimulus addiction, a 1,000 feet of ocean covering the land will still be stein if there's no other source for a drug fix

July 7 2000: Torrential rains douse the southern Twin Cities metro area with 8 inches in a three to five hour span in northern Dakota county. Eagan receives the most damage; many homes were flooded. 1955: A tornado hits Marshall, leaving one dead and 13 injured. Hail causes one million dollars in damage. For Tuesday, July 7, 2026 1905 - The mercury soared to 127 degrees at Parker, AZ, to tie the state record established at Fort Mohave on the 15th of June in 1896. (The Weather Channel) 1915 - A severe wind and thunderstorm caused heavy damage and 38 deaths in and near Cincinnati, OH. Many older buildings were demolished. The steamship Dick Fulton was overturned. (The Weather Channel) 1981 - Montana was in the midst of a snowstorm that dumped ten inches at Glacier National Park, and produced winds to 90 mph. Meanwhile, Denver, CO, set a record high with a reading of 101 degrees. (The Weather Channel) 1987 - Thunderstorms spawned eight tornadoes in Colorado, and three in West Texas. Thunderstorms also produced softball size hail at Bula, TX. In the midst of a record thirty-nine day string of 100 degree days, the temperature at Tucson, AZ, dipped to 66 degrees, marking their third straight record low for the date. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1988 - Thirty-eight cities in the north central and northeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. Youngstown, OH, hit 100 degrees, and for the second day in a row, Flint, MI, reached 101 degrees, equalling all-time records for those two cities. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - Thunderstorms produced severe weather during the day, with more than 100 reports of large hail and damaging winds from Ohio to Massachusetts and New Hampshire. Thunderstorm winds reached 90 mph in Sullivan County, NH, and golf ball size hail was reported in Pennsylvania. Twenty-four cities, mostly in the southwestern U.S., reported record high temperatures for the date. Afternoon highs of 105 degrees at Cedar City, UT, and 114 degrees at Moab, UT, were all-time records for those locations. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) Observances: 7 Tue World Chocolate Day 7 Tue Global Forgiveness Day 7 Tue International Peace & Love Day 7 Tue National Deck Day 7 Tue National Dive Bar Day 7 Tue National Dora Day 7 Tue National Day of Rock ‘n’ Roll 7 Tue National Father Daughter Take a Walk Day 7 Tue National Koi Day 7 Tue National Macaroni Day 7 Tue National Strawberry Sundae Day 7 Tue Tell the Truth Day

0.32” over the past week.

i'm sure the +2c climate base state after this nino will be great for snow

Things were much greener last July. These excessive 100 degree days has stressed a lot of the plants here and the lawns. Recent dew points and exceptional heat has started some blight in tomato plants. The WPC has increased rainfall in the 3 day, 5 day and 7 day outlooks. Not sure its the Nino starting so early, but I will take it. Also, in regards to severe potential, the 10 th and the 15/16 th look interesting on machine learning NSSL https://x.com/TylerSebreezy/status/2074470678669992148 Day-by-day NSSL machine-learning severe probabilities for the next 2 weeks below highlight severe potential lare this week and this weekend into next week with a potential upper-level ridge pattern setting up in the Plains.

Any updates on the power situation. I feel like I'm waiting on them to pull the rug out from under me and push it back further Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

We know you think this will be the warmest winter on record.

1.20" of rain with some lightning n thunder for effect last night. A good soaker. Highs around 80 today. That'll feel nice.

Just like I thought this decade would be worse than the 2010's...and winter 1996-1997 would be worse than 1995-1996. It's not rocket science.

of course you think that