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On the bright side, who is going to do anything about it. And if you do the neighbor's sidewalk they'll never rat you out.

Surface output should be better on the euro, but the fact it's not a CAM is probably the reason why it's only good at best. We're stacking a 980 LP on itself, and precip is only this heavy? I don't buy it.

Wakefield better step it up for RIC every model giving us warning criteria

This is it, nam going nail this big storm as it's last whoorah before being retired soon! It's going out like a wrecking ball!

I agree, but if I get 5", I'll break every single one of my kid's toys.

Aside from the coastal effects, I think Feb 78 was a dud here, snowfall wise. My family lived in West Medford at the time, so I'm sure they got crushed there. It's going to be wild for a time here..and I'm going to have to rely on the ESandwich Coop for snow totals.

What’s up with the hyperbole today? We analyze model runs here…even the ones that aren’t the snowiest or the ones that tick SE. No one is saying the large scale features are changing. It’s just IMBY posts. But I do get a kick out of latching onto the roided out mesos yet when they nuke into NNE they get tossed for being over done. Never change weenies.

Yeah but it has no discernible impact on the short term forecast, contrary to what some may imply.

When QPF gets better, we will rarely post upper-levels…

My thoughts are if you want to sound professional, know the difference between “what” and “why”.

It's actually a myth that Nina's favor the coastal areas. Randomness from not enough analogs. The La Nina main effect is a stronger North Pacific High, which is a slight SE ridge correlation in the cold season. The patterns aren't always uniform El nino or La nina either, there are many other factors that cause what happens.

Just got one at Lowes 10 mins ago

That is what matters actually

steve d earlier said any subsidance would be in western jersey not in nyc

What are they going to do? Call the police? Driveways need to be clear.

Good test for the AI with such a complicated and dynamic setup. It’s been west of the deterministic at times, but it was jumpy a few days ago. Seems to be locked in now. Still will miss the banding structures, but the orientation of the QPF is probably fairly good in a spatial sense. I’d lean more towards the hi-res tonight moving forward.

Screw that I'll run my commercial 2009 ariens track drive monster at midnight full bore if I have to lol

And yet...these "improvements" don't seem to be changing much for Balt/DC. Snow maps still end up looking the same while improving west.

It's the reason the storm is happening this way so it's completely relevant, imo

It'll be too late by then.

Great trend to have this close to start time.

Looks amazing here

21z RAP has me getting 15-18"

Could be going somewhere for snow, thunder snow, coastal flooding and wind... I would say montauk or Nassau County..