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I’m wondering if hands felt like 2 balloons that day ?

Hey Kevin, I pretty much cured my migraines by eliminating all processed sugar and/or simple carbs as much as possible Take some getting used to it and it might seem boring to eat that way, but after a while you get used to it it’s totally OK I was too maybe three migraines a month for the past 45 to 50 years of my life. Although as I got into my 40s, the actual pain part of the headache that’s where I could bear or tolerated a lot more. But I would still get the aura with a distorted vision ship that lasts for 20 minutes to a half hour. anyway, I tried a lot of different things about diet with some limited success, but they always just came back. The only thing that’s really worked and I’ve had one migraine in the past two years. Only one is no added or processed sugar of any kind and no simple carbs like white bread or white pasta. Sometimes you’re gonna get some of that stuff by accident because we’re Americans and we live under a western cultural diet umbrella but it’s likely related to thresholds of tolerance. If you keep your exposure to that stuff is minimal as possible for me anyway that turned out to be my silver bullet. Upshot is that all those other inflammatory factors if you have any of them get better I haven’t had a cold in two years either by the way, and it’s proven scientifically that it’s better for your immune system if you get sugars from things like fruit, which by the way, you can eat a very sweet mango and a very sweet cantaloupe and the sugar that’s in there doesn’t actually raise your glycemic index I can eat fruit to the cows from home. I don’t get any migraines at all. Beer is OK

The scenario you describe (dry during the cold periods) was the big problem in 1982-83 here. I haven't looked up Colombus but in Detroit, still plenty of snow chances. Ironically in 1997-98 Feb was the really bad month here (the rest of winter was ok, including a snowy mid nov to mid dec) but Cincinnati got buried in Feb. All varies. 2015-16 finished just a bit below avg snow wise at Detroit but above avg snow a bit further north near @roardog.

looks like we turn to a WAR-ish pattern at the end of next week. somewhat torchy with daily storm chances and the all-too-familiar humidity.

No .. I generally am anti medicine. Obviously no vaccines with all the cancers , heart issues etc.. but unless I am really sick with high fever / headache I suffer it out. I do take magnesium everyday to help prevent/manage migraines which I’ve suffered with since 16

Wow, great report. Were you there at home when it passed? Could you see the funnel? Aprox time?

Pot is not illicit. Bet you will down the ibuprofen and Tylenol along with other meds but you closed your mind to the healing benefits of edibles. Your loss.

I was a spotter in Ashaway RI shortly after the western eyeball passed a tornado tore through Collins Rd through my backyard. We tracked it all the way to Bradford RI. There was mention of a possible tornado in SW RI in the official post Bob analysis. Tracked was about a quarter mile wide for 4 miles. Scar is still there lots of twisted trees. NWS never checked it out.

You’ll never , ever catch me doing that shit . Never puffed a cig or any smoke.. no illicit drugs ever. Beer and lots it

If Kev ate edibles instead of beer there would be some quality posting rather than drunk posting.

1/2SM +THC

Weed?

I just assume all high clouds are smoke at this point.

It’s not Ark-worthy, but there are some hints of a multiday shower/storm type pattern starting in 7-9 days.

87 today. What a stretch.

Supposedly the aurora is going to be out tonight, central NE and north. We shall see. Will probably have to use my camera to see it. I have seen two in my life. One was last year in Nov. The other was 30 years ago in the the Wolfeboro area. We did hit 90 today. Edit: temp note

Nice donut over N IL. I think we’ll see some rain fasho but it won’t be much more that .25-.50”. Surrounding areas will do better. Hope I’m wrong tho

I have found something interesting, since the 2012, N. Hemisphere Arctic ice melt low, the Summer sea-level pressure state has been reversing the following Winter. In the 2025-2026 ENSO thread, I used this to predict a -AO for Winter 25-26. Here was May-Sept 2025 SLP anomaly: Analogs [10] Following Winter of 10 analogs (+7 months) Winter 25-26: Something to watch this coming warm season... do we get -SLP or +SLP anomaly over the Arctic (60-90N). Since 2012, -SLP has been followed by following cold season -AO, and +SLP has been followed by following cold season +AO. We are currently going more -SLP over the Arctic: Sorry for the multi-posting, each post is an individuated point that can be responded to by itself.

-PDO numbers this decade.. 77 straight months of negative: Will warm ENSO break this? May 2026 -1.60 April 2026 -1.28 March 2026 -1.18 February 2026 -0.79 January 2026 -0.87 December 2025 -0.39 November 2025 -1.02 October 2025 -1.82 September 2025 -1.71 August 2025 -2.54 July 2025 -3.83 June 2025 -2.62 May 2025 -1.84 April 2025 -1.07 March 2025 -0.81 February 2025 -1.20 January 2025 -0.97 December 2024 -1.57 November 2024 -2.58 October 2024 -3.24 September 2024 -3.10 August 2024 -2.37 July 2024 -2.62 June 2024 -2.93 May 2024 -3.01 April 2024 -1.99 March 2024 -1.27 February 2024 -1.33 January 2024 -1.48 December 2023 -1.20 November 2023 -1.16 October 2023 -1.88 September 2023 -2.52 August 2023 -2.02 July 2023 -2.44 June 2023 -2.67 May 2023 -2.46 April 2023 -3.13 March 2023 -2.50 February 2023 -1.79 January 2023 -1.24 December 2022 -1.85 November 2022 -1.83 October 2022 -1.48 September 2022 -1.78 August 2022 -1.78 July 2022 -2.44 June 2022 -1.42 May 2022 -2.44 April 2022 -2.19 March 2022 -1.63 February 2022 -1.72 January 2022 -2.22 December 2021 -2.47 November 2021 -2.37 October 2021 -2.69 September 2021 -1.70 August 2021 -0.84 July 2021 -1.93 June 2021 -1.89 May 2021 -2.33 April 2021 -1.77 March 2021 -1.70 February 2021 -1.29 January 2021 -0.73 December 2020 -0.92 November 2020 -1.23 October 2020 -0.29 September 2020 -0.75 August 2020 -0.85 July 2020 -0.77 June 2020 -0.86 May 2020 -0.68 April 2020 -1.32 March 2020 -1.68 February 2020 -1.12 January 2020 -0.79 Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) | National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) Stronger El Nino/-PDO Winters are: 65-66, 72-73, 23-24 ^And 65-66 was cold because of -NAO, something that isn't as connected to the PDO (more random). La Nina/+PDO Winters are: 83-84, 84-85, 95-96

Tough but fair 18z guidance relatively aggressive with convection early sat, time to lock in

With 2 colder than average Winters (DJF) in the Northeast (24-25 and 25-26), I was wondering, do we have a higher chance of seeing a cold El Nino Winter next year (26-27)?? (3rd consecutive cold Winter?) Since 1950, I found 10 analogs where there were 2 cold Northeast, US Winter's before an El Nino. That is extremely high. It means 38% of El Nino's were preceded by 2 cold Northeast, US Winters. The odds of one is about 40%, using my guidelines (40-20-40), odds of two 20%, so about +2std, but limited examples [28]. So check it out.. This is the DJF before an El Nino the following year: Winter 25-26: DJF Air Temps 11 months before an El Nino: Winter 25-26: The pre-El Nino composite was a great predictor this past Winter, even outscoring forecasts such as the CPC. Now what did the following, 3rd Winter, El Nino Winter, look like? ^About your average El Nino composite. I'm a little surprised the map isn't skewed colder. The precip is also surprisingly below average in the Mid Atlantic, but this is just based on 10 examples: So history says that 2 cold Northeast, US Winters followed by an El Nino does not lean cold for the 3rd, El Nino, Winter, Disqualifying my thought. It's closer to 50/50, just based on history.

I find this to be an good coincidence -- I say coincidence because the QBO is a Stratosphere index. But since the QBO 30mb data started in 1979, every single December (6) in QBO >+5 and ENSO +El Nino -- has had the same anomaly temperature pattern. There is a >90% chance this will be this upcoming December (+QBO/+ENSO). Not only is every map the same, but they are strong anomalies in the Northeast and Great Lakes in every example. Will be interesting to see what happens in December 2026: Following January in +QBO/El Nino: The map skews warmer for El Nino because the +QBO state favors a stronger Stratosphere Polar Vortex. This has correlation with +AO in the +0-day. Not a definite constant, but a higher average in the mean (deep 10mb SPV) -- El nino by itself correlates with more High pressure in the Stratosphere. +QBO Winter upcoming.

If I made the thread, Super Nino would be in the first post lol

Tomorrow and Saturday will be very warm days with highs in the upper 80s and lower 90s. Should Central Park reach 90°, 2026 would become the first year on record that New York City had a high of 80° or above in March and highs of 90° or above in April, May, and June. Saturday will remain warm before somewhat cooler air arrives to conclude the weekend. Some showers or thundershowers are possible early Sunday. Cooler conditions early next week will give way to a return to above normal temperatures for the remainder of the week. The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +2.2°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.0°C for the week centered around May 27. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +1.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +0.90°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer. The SOI was -35.29 today. The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was +1.920 today.