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3.5 inches. Condo Association is plowing. Ony do that if they measure 3+. Surprised when I got up.

When will the main thread be locked down to storm mode? I learn a lot reading on here but it’s difficult scrolling through meaningless posts. .

sounds about right....i'm hoping my mulch doesn't warm up too much

Depends if the models can stop themselves from laughing hysterically at the absurdity of someone calling the Gulf of Mexico the "Gulf of America." If they can avoid frying their circuits from uncontrollable giggling, the resulting model outputs should become more accurate.

I mean nothing supports 2’ really. I’d want to see like at least 1.7” QPF modeled in a broad area to entertain its

Me too. That is how us Fredericktonians do it!

With consistent QPF over 1 inch and some case? And ratio is projected to be quite high due to a frigid air mass and very deep DGZ. Most models have had this for Southern New England at least for two days now, right?

Euro Ai is more gfs like than euro like fyi. .

Maybe only slushy accumulations on grass car tops? @paulythegun

NAM is always amped, that's what the A stands for.

I'd bet on a compromise. We all still win. Lots of snow follow by a mini ice age, followed by lake effect quality cold smoke on the tail. I feel like this is a mini blizzard of 96 here in the lowlands.

Of course there is

How much accumulation do you think WNc sees from this? I typically say half of this map but their temps are 20-25 for the duration. Rates are not insanely heavy. .1-.15 an hour

Forgive my ignorance (I’m just a long time lurker) but will winds pick up towards the tail end? As much as I would love to see blizzard warnings, not in this scenario where there is so much ice potential. I know there was discussion earlier about this but haven’t seen anything about it recently. Is it safe to assume they will have limited impact?

Yall, enough going on about the name of a body of water in this thread

How is the snow going to stick when it's almost 50 degrees today

That's all they do now, go with the Euro verbatim and call it their in house model.

Yea, that snow map is tricky from NWS.

It's a broadbrush cover you ass preliminary assessment.

Freezing rain can definitely happen at those temps, but you need a crazy strong and shallow inversion aloft (I.e., very warm air just above the surface). We’ll see on Saturday what soundings look like. I think our area will mostly mix wirh sleet and maybe go to freezing drizzle at the end (which often happens as storms wind down and dry air starts moving in aloft).

All the models can pound sand. Worthless

right now as it stands every model shows 6-12 inches of snow followed probably by a bunch of sleet. The GFS is the only model that shows pure snow for the city and west if you use kuchera probably getting around 12-18 inches according to GFS. Hopefully the GFS is right. Even if the other models that are showing that warm nose aloft it's fine we're still getting a good amount of snow followed by heavy sleet which will have staying power for our snow cover for weeks!

add a string of lights to it and make it festive

Easterly inflow @ 850 over that airmass? Take 'em up.

@Buddy1987if we see more south shifts, I could see us getting in that 3-6" down here but im thinking 2-4" here of total Snow/Sleet combined and then a lot of ZR. What's your thinking?