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I wish we would see heavier stuff in the city. It’s very fine here. Like literal dust. .

I don’t think anyone is calling for something big. We’d all enjoy a plowable 2-4” event.

Sure is! I'm currently at 26.2/10 with a real feel of 13.

Models usually don’t get exact timing for the relaxation of a pattern which has persisted for several weeks. This is why I have been using the general recent climatology in December. Every year since 2011 from Philly to NYC there was at least 1 day reaching 55 or greater from the 17th to the 25th. That period is still 9-17 days out which is beyond the reliable model skill. It doesn’t mean every day or even most days will be this warm. But the general December patterns over the years which have had a cold December 1-16th had moderated in the departures from the 17th through the 31st.

Prefect!! Been tracking the webcam in BR today. Looks great!

2.5” inches in Nelson County at a steady 28 degrees

And yeah, I’m just eyeballing, but I would put The Fan/Carytown at only a half inch so far. Maybe an inch in some spots. .

Was shoveling this morning at -1. Snow depth was between 9-13” overall. Pretty crazy to get a 6” event without even an advisory.

It’s cold today - 26 at 2:20 here.

any word from the EPS?

That’s my old spot. I’m about 10 mins south of there and it’s coming down solid

Measured in three places -one 3.5, one 3.75, and one just under 4 (below) Going to call it 3.7" at 2:15 in Lynchburg VA

If it's a clipper, you can forget about it. The last time a clipper panned out in this area was on January 22, 2005, and that was over 20 years ago now.

What do you think is going on in the city? Weird micro-climate things? Urban heat island effect? I’m genuinely perplexed by how this storm seems so much weaker inside the city limits versus when I was outside of them at my job today day. .

3-4” would be big. Max totals forecast in warning area were 3-5”. This wasn’t ever going to be bigger than that, it was a borderline warning event in Va

If this piece of PV energy that's closed off could even dig into the base of the trough just a tick earlier this would allow for LP to explode just south of Long Island. Might actually be some room to get the Cape a decent whack out of this

It snowed here for about 30 minutes around 10 to 10:30 this morning. MJO is active with KW in 6, so the weather is reflecting that on modeling. Not sure what pattern reshuffle we will get, but unless we can get the EPO to move west, and get that death vortex out of the GOA we are going to be watching systems fly by to the north of us. Good news for the NE Kentucky, Va and north. On runs where the ridge in the west sharpens and Western Canada goes from -PNA to +PNA the cold gets unleashed.

EPS is similar - just less interested in both. But still appearing on the means.

Euro not so enthused

That would be sweet.

Latest HRRR, fwiw.

Wow, okay, I would maybe put downtown at .5" Watching the plows circle around down here with nothing to plow.

And for stores that sell ChapStick.

Define big totals? I think 3-4 inches (only in the grass) could be the big winner with this system. Timing was bad. Middle of the day, rates weren't super heavy, weak system. I'm sure those who got a nice snow globe day are happy. I would be too.

Been stuck in a rain snow mix for a couple hours and back edge is here. Thought we might have a chance at a coating but oh well. Congrats Va people what a start yall are having