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its a new run and it runs every hour..

I think you’ll do better than that

I always forward to your post.

Looking at radar scope the ocean affect stretches the entire island! Wow.

That’s total…lol

You are getting over a foot. Congrats

Already coated up here. Excited to see how this goes. Headed to head shortly

I don't want a major ice storm either. We typically get the waa and that leads to sleet or fzr

newest run.. whatever you got in the last hour minus from those totals

He’s wild

Over 7 inches here with moderate snow.

Ocean effect snow coming into southern areas of nyc lol. Rgem shows a few more inches for the area. Snowing good here

I have a friend in Ridgewood NJ just east of NYC. They only have 3 inches and are in that nasty dry slot.

Better angle

First flakes in Charlotte, VT. 8.1°F/1°F 4.5” OTG at the start.

What's new. I have a hard time even getting excited for these storms anymore. Any storm predicted 6+ inches winds up busted. The 2-4 inch storms often times come to fruition. Whoopty damn do

I don't trust a model past 120 hours right now though I talk plenty about them - that is the fun of tracking, right? As for snow climatology, I am actually AN. Many of you are exactly at normal as climatology hasn't supported snow yet. I know it easy to see places like Indiana, Illinois, and Ohio get snow. That would be like Atlanta comparing their snow climatology to here. Mid-West climatologyis definitely NOT our climatology or standard here at any time of the year - not even close. Until models get the NAO/AO/EPO/PNA situation worked out....gonna be a slog in regards to figuring things out. My rule of thumb right now is that if any model sees a cold front...it likely verifies. Again, go to ensembles members and count them. Try to find the median for a run (not the mean which could be skewed) and look to see if that number increases as time gets closer. Right now, the GEM and counting ensemble members is about the only way to go. As for Nina...again, middle and west Tenn have taken E TN to school during the past several Nina winters. Nina winters have tempered the snow drought in those areas which had been huge. NE TN is in a significant snow drought as are portions of SW VA. Members this way just don't say much about it. Weak Nino and Nina winters(this is one!) are when NE TN peeps score....so I think this winter might end up differently due to the QBO. Remember, the end of January and February is a month when wavelengths shorten. That adds more opportunities than the dead of winter. I think the biggest obstacle going forward is below normal precip and not temps. So, if you need something to worry about...that is the fly in the ointment and has been for several days on modeling. @Holston_River_Ramblermentioning the STJ as key is an underrated post. I think we have a warm-up sometime after the 6th, but I can't really perceive when as that window is probably a good snow window as well. For now, it looks like several cold fronts dropping down. Most of these fronts have been correcting southward and stronger as the day nears - let's see if that trend continues. But again, until we know the duration and intensity of the NAO and any subsequent ridge out West...very tough call but I lean seasonal right now w/ a mix of warm and cold days. In about two weeks, seasonal will get the job done. The "now you see it and now you don't" Aleutian ridge runs are not helping models after day 8!

Saying it once it's fine but saying it many times over and over doesn't make it fun.

Is that additional ? Seems high

Seems like that dryslot is filling to some degree. Hopefully we'll keep this nice bursty stuff going a little while longer.

So go enjoy your snow and stop playing on the weather forum? I got 4” IMBY but just was hoping for more that’s all. Guess I’m being greedy because the storM Two weeks ago was an over performer do everyone on the island

Update: radar filling in all the way up to buffalo

Take a deep breath and hug your family. They’re more important than this. .

2z RAP gone wild

Thunder snow report on Block Island .