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  2. 40/70 Benchmark
    We don't know how it's going to work out....maybe it won't end up mattering and the eastern convection will dominate for a 1997 replica, but I think ignoring alternative outcomes is silly. You can't just pretend the dual forcing isn't there on modeling.
  3. 40/70 Benchmark
    2015 and especially 2023 had the warmth enhance by the MC convection and 1997 had one clean convective node the east. I don't feel like you are being entirely consistent in that you obsessed over the MC activity in previous seasons, but now you ignore that warm pool since it's in the central Pacific.
  4. 40/70 Benchmark
    Literally no one said that......arguing for competing forces to emerge mid season and claiming something is "more important" are two different statements. It's not a matter of something else "trumping" the El Niño, but rather how other factors interact with it and the rest of the hemispheric landscape.
  5. Chinook
    Crazy day for temperature
  6. 40/70 Benchmark
    That's because the El Niño forcing is the only game in town right now .....as the season goes along, it's going to get some competition from the west that 1998 didn't have. I never debated intervals of record warmth...but it's not going to be wall-to-wall.
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  13. dmillz25
    43 here
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  15. HIPPYVALLEY
    29/26. Heat kicked on.
  16. cleetussnow
    True facts. Had I not known better and only read some of these posts, I would expect to burst into flames, drown, and be blown to the 4 points of the compass the moment I walk out the door on a daily basis. Imagine my surprise when it snowed 20+ inches not once but twice in the same winter! Impossible.
  17. Today
  18. PhiEaglesfan712
    We had 3 great [post-volcanic] seasons (1992-93, 1993-94, and 1995-96). Imagine how much worse it would have been without Pinatubo.
  19. Franklin0529
    Not far from me Anthony!! Hope you an your family had a good time. Did you go to casola farms?
  20. pazzo83
    46F here now, after a high of 60F.
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  22. Stormlover74
    I think we'll be ok
  23. Met1985
    Temp down to 36 degrees already. Going to be a cold one tomorrow morning.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Dew points are generally 33 - 35 degrees for many and there's a bit of wind. Frost seems quite possible, but the freeze might stay west of I-81 tonight.
  25. CPcantmeasuresnow
    33.8 at 11:00 pm Only two questions remaining, do we record the first freeze on the 17th or the 18th?Will we record a hard freeze on the 18th? If the midnight temperature is 32.4 does that qualify as the first freeze? I don't think we make 28 by sunrise my guess is 29 for the morning low
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