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  2. Don’t think the RGEM is gonna do it seeing it at hr60 as it is a bit flatter. Stronger trailing wave but I don’t think it will have room. Would love to be wrong!
  3. Maybe we should start raising the flag with the fork on it. Quite a few letdowns again this winter.
  4. This reminds me of the invt that hit eastern NE recently. Also connected to a strong coastal low.
  5. It started last year especially. Every time it showed something it would end up mirroring the European model even when the European model would go back-and-forth... it always took about two cycles but it would always end up mirroring it. It's just terrible the GFS -nobody can convince me otherwise at this point. And yes I do think the Canadian model is better at this point and the Ukie
  6. RGEM is juicy. 1”+ stripe centered on I66/Rt50 corridor.
  7. They do usually move east over time but sometimes they never happen at all. Probably the least predictable of the different features.
  8. Apologies if this is in the banter category, but The B52s might suggest a Rock Lobster.
  9. If we didn't have Bob and Ryan Gil we'd be screwed with rip and readers.
  10. I feel like that nam shitstreak helps the convergence on Saturday but is more detrimental for the following bigger system.
  11. I'm sticking with what the Euro AI shows but you already know that cause I say it a million times! Euro AI is the new king in town!
  12. Definitely better there I think than south with the initial thump.
  13. That invt trough has up to .5 qpf. Worst case here is we are right between the two.
  14. If that inverted trough can move a bit further east we can get an ok snowfall.
  15. too many opinions here. the pros say something might happen, probably won't. go through this all season in boating/fishing season....will we get seasick or rocked at sea or not? if we stay home, the weather will be better than forecast, if we go out, it will be worse.....can't win.
  16. I’m expecting pretty much zero up this way from Monday. Hopefully it improves
  17. Setup is way different. Not Juno and probably not even close here.
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