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14z HRRR shows 5-6" throughout Orange County and most of Sussex. You should be good for 2-4" 27° Mod Snow 1" otg

Sitting in front of fire, cold and wet Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

Can’t I just complain to another bunch of anonymously unhinged lunatics with very specific niche interests that most other friends and family can’t comprehend without actually solving the problem? .

...I'm good, dude-

Freezing rain. Was just out in it hiking the past hour. It's 30 here Sent from my SM-S731U using Tapatalk

I know, it's like holding our breath every time we have a new possibility. And as we know with today's event, things aren't set in stone. Even 24 hours before. Fingers are crossed for a good Snow event for all!

22.6°, light/moderate SN, looks to be about 1.2" total new. Just looked at the 14z HRRR, and wow, going to need some nice banding for those totals.

Well, cancel the dry trend, at least for this one. Definitely. 5"+ qpf up here.

No pictures, too involved. 30.7 moderate snow continues, roads covered, lawn getting there. still waiting for that first sign of sleet.

29.5 S-

14z HRRR looks to give 5-6 throughout Orange County 27/26 Mod snow 1" otg

Where are you located?

Straight rain now

Gotta say, we're getting some really nice sized flakes with this one. I'm used to having pixie dust snows here.

Back to a 50/50 sleet and snow mix...temp still holding at 30.7⁰

41 with heavy rain

Thanks for that info. It’s sort of like when we have the strong east northeast wind and we get those bands that look like they’re off to the east. Starting to pick up here again, so I’m sure it will by you too.

33/27 not a drop of rain yet. Should be soon.

I'm still holding at 26 degrees and just crossed an inch. The precipitation hasn't been that heavy through most of it. RE: Schools - I agree. This wasn't a slam dunk and early calls can just as easily waste a day. It ended up working out for Sparta and a few other schools in this immediate area and to the north. I'm sure the main roads aren't horrendous, but the side streets with many hills probably are hazardous. Based on the forecast last night, I expected everything here to just be a slushy coating on the grass by now, so it's exceeded my expectations by a bit.

GEFS AO forecasts: Just 4 days ago (11/28 run), it was forecasting the AO to be at +0.7 on Dec 7th (only 9 days out): Today’s run (12/2) has the Dec 7th AO way down to -2.3 or 3.0 lower than the run from a mere 4 days ago: Thus, even the ensemble means when looking out just 8-10 days have recently been missing high latitude blocking. So, for the time being, I’m taking the 11-14 day progs with more of a grain than usual.

Looks like the back edge of the snow is half hour away from me.

32⁰ light mist

Yes it does, Could rip 1-2"/hr rates when that's nearby.

Got a nice changeover back to snow about 2 hours ago up on the M/D. Ended up with 1.75 slushy inches. Not what I was hoping for but snow is snow, especially this early.