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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
40/70 Benchmark replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It's well coupled IN THE TROPICS. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
40/70 Benchmark replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
I had .19" yesterday and .04" early this AM for a .23" total. I didn't expect that much additional after midnight. -
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Central PA Summer 2026 Discussion/Obs Thread
mahantango#1 replied to Voyager's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
1.72 rain yesterday. 6.59 for the month. 31.80 for the year. -
My Augusta 5 model blend for today thru Thursday has increased from 1.49 yesterday to 1.81" this morning. The latest GFS at only 1.00" believes development is too far off shore. Subsidence may be a stretch but it amounts to the same thing.
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Yeah the radar was deceiving, it was a steady light rain until late in the day here, 1.28" total.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
The GFS is so bad. Look what it does in one run. -
It does appear that there is somewhat more dry air around than I had thought yesterday. So, today and even tomorrow could have some periods of sunshine with a diminished risk of showers. An offshore storm will need to be watched closely toward the end of the week.
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2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
It's well coupled. Just look at how dead the hurricane season has been. Strong aleutian low pattern will set up and we'll get flooded with pacific air all winter. If anything we've been much warmer than previous strong Ninos thus far for the summer and now September due to CC effects. I'm seeing a warmer version of 97/98 for us. -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
PhiEaglesfan712 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
If the el nino continues to 2027-28, then we'll get a Part 2. Otherwise, the next ENSO thread will be about a la nina. The last 2 years didn't have a clear ENSO state, and we got to 260 and 307 pages. There won't be a new thread until the next season. - Today
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Our week of rain turned into a rainy day on Tuesday followed by beautiful dry weather. Woohoo my schedule won't get destroyed.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
MJO812 replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
1 run -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
MJO812 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
There are other factors -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
SnoSki14 replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Gfs wants nothing to do with it -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
moneypitmike replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Naming storms it s a boon to the industry as property deductibles are much, much higher for a named storm than for a non-named storm. #followthemoney -
2026-2027 Record-breaking El Nino
SnoSki14 replied to Stormchaserchuck1's topic in Weather Forecasting and Discussion
A record breaking east based Nino is a death sentence. -
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
kdxken replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
90-100 mph for the higher elevations of connecticut? -
Stat: Ravens' 15th loss since 2019 after holding a double-digit lead, per ESPN.
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
Damage In Tolland replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Great news! Please jack up Seems like 50-70 mph for a good chunk of the region -
Radar estimate was only like .3, actually a tad over .6. Annoying ass light rain lol
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Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
Both euros are pretty bad for the coast. -
Septorcher 2026 Discussion - Endless Summer
CoastalWx replied to Damage In Tolland's topic in New England
.17 so at least something mast night -
