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i said i would step away from posting for 48 hours if we didn't see a north trend from the models last night and we did so in here

consistency and agreement with other models is key in any event iMO

That was ugly. My eyes are bleeding

I mean every single model is showing the same thing except the GFS. Ensembles are as well. I mean there's really not much more you could ask for?

In your opinion, what do we need to keep it primarily snow?

Long way to go. Basically 4 days out

Question will be how long can we snow before the changeover

We are following the trend on a group of computer models. If only one of them said this, once, then you would be correct to throw it away. As it is, several models have shown this for a substantial period of time.

It's always a war it seems. Especially along I-40.

We got what you meant. Great that you’re here on the forum!

We’re 5 days out so you really think what you’re seeing now holds true on Sunday?

0z comparison?

My favorite thing about this run is we got the start time under 5 days

Still plenty of room for this to come north. GFS is a terrible model. BAM and all those snarky northern guys are gonna be right aren’t they?

15F near 1pm

I consider the GFS solution unlikely as of now because of little support from other model guidance and the history of this model showing extreme solutions at this range in the past

He said he would if the gfs didn't improve the next run and it did massively lol. .

Part 2 will have terrific ratios.

Euro jumped super north with thermals. Kinda the Virginia storm theory

Yeah it will, the good thing is even in a less phasey solution we're most likely gonna snow. Very likely we get at least a moderate hit. The extra coastal stuff will take more time to be resolved.

I thought u self banned yourself .

Euro is starting to run, the 500 mb vorticity looks very favorable, waiting to get the actual simulated radar and totals. But good sign as of right now. 6PM Saturday. Notice the energy isn't bottled up like a bowling ball to the SW like it is on the GFS, that's your first sign this run should come in favorable for us. vs the same time on the GFS.

Why can’t we have anything nice??