KeithB Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Too early yet It's out to hour 63.....15 more minutes.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 It's out to hour 63.....15 more minutes....so, what's the verdict for Wednesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Close miss, nailed by inv trough Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Close miss, nailed by inv trough Congrats SNE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Close miss, nailed by inv troughnailed, being over 6 inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Well....at least there is a coastal and it's bringing it up the coast. Still looks like 4-6 inches if this were to verify, with very big snows in New England again ( and further south for those big snows than the 12z run) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 nailed, being over 6 inches? WAY over 6 inches for them. Western 2/3rds of MASS, and all of NH gets 12+ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nyblizz44 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Well....at least there is a coastal and it's bringing it up the coast. Still looks like 4-6 inches if this were to verify, with very big snows in New England again ( and further south for those big snows than the 12z run)okay, at least it looks like we'll still be in the game over the weekend and we'll see where it goes from there we all know how things can change radically and in this time range Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I have no problem with this run. I was worried about nothing coming up the coast ( as per the GFS). The euro holds serve with a coastal that brings a lot of snow everywhere north of the Connecticut/Mass border. What's that?...80-85 miles from NYC? We wouldn't need a huge shift, and we are 5+ days out still Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 00z ECM @ 132 hrs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Close miss, nailed by inv trough Crazy inverted trough in New England. Makes the one that hit central New Jersey look like a snow shower. The low off the coast bombs much earlier. Correct me if I'm wrong but I think we want an earlier phase? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 24 hr snowfall Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 snowfall.jpg 24 hr snowfall yup. Not awful for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Metasequoia Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I'm assuming by looking at the Snowfall map that the low tracks very near Boston. Is this correct? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Nibor Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 I'm assuming by looking at the Snowfall map that the low tracks very near Boston. Is this correct? No, ots. Inverted trough causes the snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Just for laughs . Day 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KeithB Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Alot of opportunities out there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman19 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 No, ots. Inverted trough causes the snowLol inverted norlun troughs usually work out geat for us..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted February 20, 2015 Author Share Posted February 20, 2015 Lol inverted norlun troughs usually work out geat for us..... As does day 7 surface maps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doorman Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=gem-ens®ion=namer&pkg=z500a&runtime=2015022000&fh=132&xpos=0&ypos=44 Mid-Week Storm Road Block....coastal trend watch the guidance today if the trends hold then the Euro track shown here would be very legit -imo over simplified??? maybe....but maybe not??? V \/ \/ http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf-ens/2015022000/ecmwf-ens_z500_mslp_namer_6.png http://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/ecmwf-ens/2015022000/ecmwf-ens_z500_mslp_namer_7.png WPC day5 http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/9lhwbg_conus.gif I like this threat for the Metro http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/discussions/hpcdiscussions.php?disc=pmdepd IN THE EAST... FOCUS WILL BE ON INTERACTION BETWEEN INCOMINGNORTHERN STREAM ENERGY WITH POTENTIAL SFC WAVE DEVELOPMENT OFF THESE COAST TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY. GEFS/ECMWF ENSEMBLES HAVE TRENDEDTOWARD A MORE DEFINED SYSTEM NEAR THE 40N/70W BENCHMARK BYWEDNESDAY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Just for laughs . Day 10 Nice.jpg Nice2.jpg These may should not even be posted. The euro has been a disaster this season. I can't recall any storm the euro has hit past 4 days this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
White Gorilla Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Just for laughs . Day 10 Nice.jpg Nice2.jpg If you throw darts long enough, a bullseye should happen eventually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Early but it looks like the Euro will lose the Wednesday system this run. The 00z EPS mean was very unimpressive so I'm not shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Indices wouldn't support any major system. We're getting close to the end now and I think 2 weeks from now we'll be seeing much milder air either coming in or right on the horizon. We may have one more moderate snow event before everything flips. Gfs has been impressive as of late and is now trumping the Euro at every turn. It was also less amplified with tomorrow's system before the other models caught on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Indices wouldn't support any major system. We're getting close to the end now and I think 2 weeks from now we'll be seeing much milder air either coming in or right on the horizon. We may have one more moderate snow event before everything flips. Gfs has been impressive as of late and is now trumping the Euro at every turn. It was also less amplified with tomorrow's system before the other models caught on. And still some parts of the area are well over 30 inches for the winter. Indices haven't been good at all for our area and we still had a good winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Indices wouldn't support any major system. We're getting close to the end now and I think 2 weeks from now we'll be seeing much milder air either coming in or right on the horizon. We may have one more moderate snow event before everything flips. I'm not a big fan of using indicies to make a case for why a storm would or wouldn't occur. I think they are useful when trying to sniff out a pattern ahead of time that might be more favorable or unfavorable, but not once an actual system shows up on the models within a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rittenhouse Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This kind of pattern is good for a Miller A storm...followed by milder air. Something to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 This kind of pattern is good for a Miller A storm...followed by milder air. Something to keep an eye on. 2 chances of a storm next week. One is middle of the week and one is next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 And still some parts of the area are well over 30 inches for the winter. Indices haven't been good at all for our area and we still had a good winter. We haven't had a major system have we? Incorrect the -EPO/+PNA were very favorable for delivering constant cold but the +AO in particular didn't allow us to cash in on many major storms. The city east got extremely lucky with the New England blizzard while just to the west we got shut out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted February 20, 2015 Share Posted February 20, 2015 Miss with both storms on the euro for next week. Another run, another solution by the Euro. It is becoming a weenie model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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