328 replies to this topic

[wisconsinwx]

Well, Kenosha already has what looks like a little LE band affecting them, so they should do quite well in the next 6 hours or so.

[turtlehurricane]

Low pressure directly over Madison, we have the lowest pressure in the state at 1013.5 hPa. Probably has something to do with the good rates we're seeing considering this was supposed to be a non-event. .02" liquid in the bucket last hour.

[BeastFromtheEast]

New Graphic from MKE

[Alek]

wisconsinwx, on 10 February 2012 - 10:06 AM, said:

Well, Kenosha already has what looks like a little LE band affecting them, so they should do quite well in the next 6 hours or so.

given the wind direction out ahead of the front, i doubt that's LE...possible meso low but i can't get a good look.

[turtlehurricane]

wisconsinwx, on 10 February 2012 - 10:06 AM, said:

Well, Kenosha already has what looks like a little LE band affecting them, so they should do quite well in the next 6 hours or so.

That's certainly a frontal band since the wind is blowing offshore at the sfc. Onshore winds and LES are gonna be behind the front.

[magoos0728]

Big flakes here in Kenosha...about 2 miles off the lakefront. Doesn't appear to be lake effect...not with the winds I'm seeing here.

[weatherpsycho]

I hope the overperformance in WI is a good sign for us in southern MI!

[blue60007]

Moderate snow and 1/2 mi vis at LAF. Some stickage to the grass now that the temp has dropped to 32.

[pondo1000]

blue60007, on 10 February 2012 - 10:40 AM, said:

Moderate snow and 1/2 mi vis at LAF. Some stickage to the grass now that the temp has dropped to 32.

What was your projected start time for snow?

[Stevo6899]

Is today the day metro detroit gets its first advisory of the year!!??

Looks like the bands will setup north of 59 so i doubt it.

[wisconsinwx]

Who's surprised that the break in intensity is around Milwaukee, and the band to the north seems to be fading in intensity? Not me, I guess we're still going to be getting a dusting to a half inch. MKX is a .

[Ajdos]

Stevo6899, on 10 February 2012 - 10:47 AM, said:

Is today the day metro detroit gets its first advisory of the year!!??

I'm thinking the same.....3-5" seem possible..

[Alek]

wisconsinwx, on 10 February 2012 - 10:48 AM, said:

Who's surprised that the break in intensity is around Milwaukee, and the band to the north seems to be fading in intensity? Not me, I guess we're still going to be getting a dusting to a half inch. MKX is a .

looks to me like MKX nailed it...no headlines, accums up to an inch at most. Hardly a weenie call.

[Alek]

Stevo6899, on 10 February 2012 - 10:47 AM, said:

Is today the day metro detroit gets its first advisory of the year!!??

Looks like the bands will setup north of 59 so i doubt it.

2.1" final call.

[wisconsinwx]

Alek, on 10 February 2012 - 10:50 AM, said:

looks to me like MKX nailed it...no headlines, accums up to an inch at most. Hardly a weenie call.

I'm talking about their weenie diagram further up this page that encircles the Eastern CWA with 2-3" potential.

[wisconsinwx]

Wow at the Fon du Lac report though! 3", with thunder/lightning and whiteout conditions. Maybe the radar is deceiving. It doesn't look that much heavier up there than here.

[Alek]

wisconsinwx, on 10 February 2012 - 10:51 AM, said:

I'm talking about their weenie diagram further up this page that encircles the Eastern CWA with 2-3" potential.

wisconsinwx, on 10 February 2012 - 10:53 AM, said:

Wow at the Fon du Lac report though! 3", with thunder/lightning and whiteout conditions. Maybe the radar is deceiving. It doesn't look that much heavier up there than here.

facepalm

[Alek]

cool looking sinusoidal wave with the front

[Andy]

wisconsinwx, on 10 February 2012 - 10:53 AM, said:

Wow at the Fon du Lac report though! 3", with thunder/lightning and whiteout conditions. Maybe the radar is deceiving. It doesn't look that much heavier up there than here.

We are experiencing near white-out conditions at times. I would say visibility is less than 1/4 mile at this point (I can't see the the other end of our campus). Winds are gusting and appear to be maintaining at least 20-30 mph (Large flag is fully extended at all times). Still SN+ at the moment and I would say we have to be close to 2" now.

I would say MKX did a good job.- If anything, they probably could have put up an advisory for the SE counties for wind and blowing snow alone.

EDIT: Check that, not SN+ - I would say we are at just a moderate snow at the moment

[foster]

TWN and EC have 4"+ in the forecast

[turtlehurricane]

Holy heck it looks like a blizzard out there! Winds gusting up to 30 mph w/ what looks like +SN. This should be the worst of it since we're right on the front.

[weatherpsycho]

foster, on 10 February 2012 - 11:38 AM, said:

TWN and EC have 4"+ in the forecast

Taiwan has 4"+ of snow. WOW

[Alek]

seeing some 35 dbz on the line pushing into MKE.

[turtlehurricane]

Check out this timelapse, it really hits in the last image at 10:40.

http://quad.aos.wisc...min_640x480.mov

[Alek]

turtlehurricane, on 10 February 2012 - 11:45 AM, said:

Check out this timelapse, it really hits in the last image at 10:40.

http://quad.aos.wisc...min_640x480.mov

imagine what it's like east of you where returns are much stronger.

[Stevo6899]

2-4 along and north of 69. 1-3 south. Darn

[turtlehurricane]

Alek, on 10 February 2012 - 11:46 AM, said:

imagine what it's like east of you where returns are much stronger.

Sometimes the radial elevation change of the radar plays tricks, this is one of those days. It's no coincidence the highest dBZ is right next to the radar, I bet we're getting similar stuff here.

[Alek]

turtlehurricane, on 10 February 2012 - 11:50 AM, said:

Sometimes the radial elevation change of the radar plays tricks, this is one of those days. It's no coincidence the highest dBZ is right next to the radar, I bet we're getting similar stuff here.

maybe, but someone had mentioned thunder with that band further east, which leads me to believe it's a little stronger.

[turtlehurricane]

Alek, on 10 February 2012 - 11:52 AM, said:

maybe, but someone had mentioned thunder with that band further east, which leads me to believe it's a little stronger.

Snowplows sound like thunder.

Strikestar has nada, and they would have it.

http://www.strikesta...ndex.aspx?id=30

[wisconsinwx]

Moderate to heavy snow and wind has begun. I might've spoken too soon regarding Milwaukee's weenie short term forecast.

[Andy]

Front has passed. Here comes the LE bands...

 1052am_radar.png   1.52MB   1 downloads

[Alek]

turtlehurricane, on 10 February 2012 - 11:54 AM, said:

Snowplows sound like thunder.

Strikestar has nada, and they would have it.

http://www.strikesta...ndex.aspx?id=30

the poster also mentioned lightning but he is less than reliable, probably shouldn't have taken it at face value.

[Thundersnow12]

snow just started here, solid -SN with fairly nice dendrites.

[Ajdos]

DTX

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-101900-
MIDLAND-BAY-HURON-SAGINAW-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
LAPEER-ST. CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND...BAY CITY...BAD AXE...
SAGINAW...CARO...SANDUSKY...OWOSSO...FLINT...LAPEER...
PORT HURON...HOWELL...PONTIAC...WARREN
1142 AM EST FRI FEB 10 2012


...LIGHT SNOW THROUGH THE EARLY AFTERNOON...

LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT THE AREA THROUGH THE EARLY
AFTERNOON TODAY AS MOISTURE SPREADS INTO THE REGION AHEAD OF A
COLD FRONT. SNOW AMOUNTS THROUGH 200 PM SHOULD RANGE FROM A
DUSTING TO A FEW TENTHS OF AN INCH. MORE MODERATE SNOWFALL IS THEN
EXPECTED TO SPREAD INTO THE AREA AFTER 200 PM AS THE COLD FRONT
BEGINS TO DROP ACROSS THE AREA. ACCUMULATIONS FROM LATE THIS
AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT ARE EXPECTED TO RANGE BETWEEN 2 AND 4
INCHES ALONG AND NORTH OF THE I-69 CORRIDOR AND BETWEEN 1 AND 3
INCHES SOUTH OF THERE. MOTORISTS ARE URGED TO USE CAUTION WHILE
TRAVELING TODAY...ESPECIALLY THIS EVENING WHEN SNOW WILL BE THE HEAVIEST.

$$

HLO

[turtlehurricane]

You know it's a good day when the forecast goes from a 20% chance of snow a day before to 2-3" (well, maybe 1-2" based on the wording, but I'll take it).


955 AM CST FRI FEB 10 2012

...A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW AND BLOWING SNOW TODAY...

A BAND OF MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW ALONG AN ARCTIC FRONT WILL AFFECT
SOUTHEAST WISCONSIN FROM LATE THIS MORNING THROUGH THE MIDDLE OF
THE AFTERNOON. NORTHEAST WINDS WILL GUST TO 35 TO 40 MPH WITH THE
INITIAL ARRIVAL OF THE COLD FRONT AND SNOW...AND THE BLOWING SNOW
WILL PRODUCE BRIEF WHITEOUT CONDITIONS. ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW
COVERED AND HAZARDOUS. SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WILL RANGE FROM 2 TO 3
INCHES BY THE MIDDLE OF THE AFTERNOON WITH LESSER AMOUNTS OVER
SOUTH CENTRAL WISCONSIN.

THIS BURST OF SNOW AND WIND WILL MAKE FOR HAZARDOUS TRAVEL OVER
THE MILWAUKEE METROPOLITAN AREA BY LATE MORNING AND THROUGH THE
AFTERNOON. THE HEAVIEST SNOW AND GREATEST WIND WILL OCCUR AROUND
THE MIDDLE OF THE DAY.