leesun Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I'm not sure I totally agree with that. I've seen many times where the SREF's could have been used as a leading indicator or a hedge, if you will. This last storm, for example had the 850's warmer than the NAM and the other Op's. It turned out the way to go. I think it depends on what the situation is. With a volatile situation the Srefs aren't that useful. If the rest of the suite is wetter we can bet the 3z Srefs follow suit which is of zero help. It's reinforcing what we already knew.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 any word on school closings in CT?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MaineJayhawk Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 any word on school closings in CT?? So far ... Elite Driving School Closed Granville Academy in New Haven Postponed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 So far ... Elite Driving School Closed Granville Academy in New Haven Postponed thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Scott, what do you think of that southerly inflow over that cold. Dome, almost OES like for the southern coasts wonder if we get someone enhancenent going from an odd direction. Could happen for sure, will need to see how it looks in the am as models lock down. What we have in the 0z nam is the 18z rgem which is encouraging. Between the rgem nam and euro we have pretty good consensus on .3 to .45 ish...with local enhancements etc....nothing wrong with that. Hoping to see a solid signal for a low around or nw of the bm on all models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 any word on school closings in CT?? New England English for Canucks two hour delay Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leesun Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Right now, I'll take an RGEM/NAM compromise (which is certainly possible) and look forward to next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 New England English for Canucks two hour delay fortunately online course available http://www.ehow.com/how_5893767_talk-like-new-englander.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Here's a good map I use to gauge changes in the runs (Euro only)....24 hour height change maps....This is the 12Z Euro from today....probably doesn't apply to Friday, but has worked like a charm most of this winter (for the big storms)....I still think you get to 90'' by the way. Not to be a jerk, But i don't really think you are suppose to post that map from "That" site on here even though you paint shopped the name off of it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Could happen for sure, will need to see how it looks in the am as models lock down. What we have in the 0z nam is the 18z rgem which is encouraging. Between the rgem nam and euro we have pretty good consensus on .3 to .45 ish...with local enhancements etc....nothing wrong with that. Hoping to see a solid signal for a low around or nw of the bm on all models. Said it before, reminds me of 94 , just a straight powerful overunning quick hitting snowy six to ten hour period Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 RGEM is less amplified than 18z which is not a surprise considering it was on the stronger side of the guidance envelope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Not to be a jerk, But i don't really think you are suppose to post that map from "That" site on here even though you paint shopped the name off of it You're right, I shouldn't have....was just illustrating a point.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 You're right, I shouldn't have....was just illustrating a point.... By the way, It was a good point... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 This event blows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 This event blows. Chunks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 This event blows. I thought you were embracing all events now that your ku fetish has been satiated?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Chunks This scream OES circle jerk the more I look at it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I thought you were embracing all events now that your ku fetish has been satiated?? That was before I realized how much I got poured on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 This scream OES circle jerk the more I look at it. It may replace your losses today but not much more........ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 You're right, I shouldn't have....was just illustrating a point.... and you said you had no interest in joining Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 This scream OES circle jerk the more I look at it. Not really....the best will be in the east and southeast areas because thats where the deepest moisture is but the circulation never really gets going enough for good OES. This event screams high ratio advisory. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 It may replace your losses today but not much more........ Bingo...and it will be low density crap that will be 90% illusion and will evaoporate as soon as the sun comes out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BDR Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 There's something awry when a Canadian and a Mainer are checking school cancellations in CT. BTW, I wonder when Waterbury Schools are going to close, it's just a matter of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Not really....the best will be in the east and southeast areas because thats where the deepest moisture is but the circulation never really gets going enough for good OES. This event screams high ratio advisory. Same thing as far as I'm concerned, which is about as far as Kev's weenie is long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I think the GFS is out to hr 3...I know it is early in the model run, but I am trying to figure out how to read the model...where should I be looking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 I think the GFS is out to hr 3...I know it is early in the model run, but I am trying to figure out how to read the model...where should I be looking? H5 heights\MSLP overlay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowMan Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 H5 heights\MSLP overlay. On twister data...which section is the H5 heights? Is the 500mb? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 By the way, It was a good point... Nothing has changed.....the only thing is how fast the system organizes off of ACY and bombs inside the BM....it's still 3-6" SNE wide and maybe more..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cpickett79 Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 Ray ....feel the same .....BUT it will just be nice to have flakes in the air.....i am starting to get like a snow snob.....i don't want 23F powder that i could clear with a fan. i'd rather it plaster to everything at 30F and then get a deep freeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted January 20, 2011 Share Posted January 20, 2011 On twister data...which section is the H5 heights? Is the 500mb? Yep.....feel free to ask whenever confused....it's our pleasure to assist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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