Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,502
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Weathernoob335
    Newest Member
    Weathernoob335
    Joined

The Psuhoffman Storm


Ji

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 6.9k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Looks like another miss. Not giving me much confidence.

Depends on the miss. Is it missing in the same manner every other storm has this winter? Or is it just sliding it OTS? If it's the latter, that would be a new miss, and maybe something to watch for moving north as the model deals with the energy over the next several days..

Link to comment
Share on other sites

With a trough that positively tilted there's no wonder why the storm looks like a hot mess. Starting to go neutral by 150 but... too late? Probably.

yeah. It stays positively titled after it passes the MS River. That's too late for a coast-hugger. GFS can't seem to decide which stream is going to dominate so it sort of splits the difference. I'd still say this was a small step in the right direction, but a long way to go to the PSUHoffman storm of redemption.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It certainly continues a winter pattern of making people wait run to run for the models to get a handle on the various elements making up each preciptation event threat. One of the amazing things about last winter (aside from the storms themselves) was how well the models were able to signal something big was coming many days ahead of the event. While the details were always being worked out, you could see the set-up for the storms well ahead of time. This year, under this regime, much messier modeling and more frustrating to follow. All of which means, when we finally cash in on one of these, it's going to be extra-sweet...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

the qpf 162-168 is fairly unbelievable given the low location etc. oh well.

Details at this point. Need the southern energy not to hang back. Need to win the dance of northern and southern energies for a change this winter. At least there is still something here to keep an eye on. Not saying the outcome will be different then our parade of misses so far, but, like Red from Shawshank, I need to hold some hope...

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...