Ju-ply 2026 Obs and Disco - Kicking it off with heat, humidity, and ... severe?

[kdxken]

 

[Cyclone-68]

15 minutes ago, kdxken said:

 

Yay! Missed yet another one lol 

[Brewbeer]

2 hours ago, Prismshine Productions said:

I'm baking up here from the humidity
 

 

humidity is great for plants and if you are in the pool or sitting absolutely still, otherwise it blows

[Brewbeer]

1 hour ago, Brewbeer said:

 

humidity is great 

humidity is great when you want to mow your lawn, get drenched in sweat, and then covered in grass clippings ejected from the mower  

[klw]

4 hours ago, dendrite said:

Just got 5 drops

I hope my gif helped to break your bad luck

[JACKASS]

7 minutes ago, Brewbeer said:

humidity is great when you want to mow your lawn, get drenched in sweat, and then covered in grass clippings ejected from the mower  

Only the office dwellers with lawn services wish for it.

[VivaManchVegas]

Last week we had storms go north and south.  This week it was west and east.  4.65 for the month.  This week was 2 inches. 

[dendrite]

What in the sam hell is going on

[dendrite]

Onto Ughust

[VivaManchVegas]

And now for the cherry on the top... someone hit a skunk or scared it.... air is dead still....just closed all the windows.  Dank and stinky comes to mind. 

[vortex95]

15 hours ago, WxWatcher007 said:

We agree. Though anomalous OHC ups the ante if the atmosphere is willing to cooperate. The stability in the tropical Atlantic has been a common feature this decade, and deserves a lot more attention.

It was horrendous last season after making real strides in previous years. AI ensembles quickly proving their worth in identifying windows for TC genesis and surpassing the GFS. 

Yes, higher OHC means what can form and intensify has better potential. 

However, one thing I have learned is that there is lot more to it, and it is surprising/counterintuitive at times.  This underscores what I say a lot, you can't think of the global system in a 1-2-3 linear manner.  Human nature is conditioned though for this, as in correlation = causation in a very basic sense!

Look at this BAMS paper concerning EPAC and WPAC TC intensification rates.  You'd think the WPAC would be "better" for everything concerning TCs b/c it is the most active region on the globe, but that is not true.
 

noaa_54129_DS1.pdf

[Chrisrotary12]

7 hours ago, dendrite said:

What in the sam hell is going on

I wanted Mt. Washington baked out for Mid-Am in October but looks like they got too much rain. 

[tamarack]

July 2026 numbers:

Avg max:   76.6   0.3 AN   Hottest day, 87 on the 2nd
Avg min:    55.6   0.7 AN  Coolest day, 46 on the 24th
Mean:       66.6   0.5 AN

Precip:  2.20"   1.72" BN    Wettest day, 0.67" on the 22nd.
After having 6 days with thunder in June, we had only one in July, tying 2010 and 2023 for the lowest.

July '26 temps were +10 during the first 4 days and -1 on the next 27. 
The month had 2 noteworthy events, first being the HHH of 1-3, upper 80s (avoiding 90+ thanks to the trees) with low 70s TD.  2nd was the brief squall on the 16th.  It dropped 1/4" in 5 minutes with gusts approaching 50 mph and cut the power, causing our on-demand generator to run for 7.4 hours.