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This line of heavy rain moving south from Northern NJ into Middlesex County is moving slowly and should produce an inch or 2 of rain in some places and wouldn't be surprised if there is more flooding in the usual areas prone to it. No wind thunder etc yet temp dropped from 83 to 69

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20 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

This line of heavy rain moving south from Northern NJ into Middlesex County is moving slowly and should produce an inch or 2 of rain in some places and wouldn't be surprised if there is more flooding in the usual areas prone to it. No wind thunder etc yet temp dropped from 83 to 69

It produced a quick half inch of rain here. Moving slowly as you said, but it's a very skinny line so it doesn't last too long. It was absolutely torrential rain for a little while though. Happy to get the half inch today after the 2 inches the other day. It'll be good to go into the heat wave with high soil moisture. 

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1 minute ago, winterwx21 said:

It produced a quick half inch of rain here. Moving slowly as you said, but it's a very skinny line so it doesn't last too long. It was absolutely torrential rain for a little while though. Happy to get the half inch today after the 2 inches the other day. It'll be good to go into the heat wave with high spoil moisture. 

there was an area of very heavy rain just to your east on radar - would like to hear of any amounts from those areas

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2 minutes ago, FPizz said:

Heading to you're area in a few for a grad party.  Hope it stops soon for it.  

clearing is headed this way for mid - late afternoon - temps will rebound to close to 80 or above in some areas but high humidity for awhile

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28 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

there was an area of very heavy rain just to your east on radar - would like to hear of any amounts from those areas

I'm in Piscataway but near the border of South Plainfield. Those heaviest red radar echoes went right over me. It was a quick half inch. 

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Records:

HIghs:

EWR: 100 (1988)
NYC: 98 (1988)
LGA: 98 (1988)
JFK: 98 (1966)



Lows:

EWR: 58 (1934)
NYC: 57 (1898)
LGA: 62 (1945)
JFK: 61 (2002)



Histprical:

1888 - Heavy snow reached almost to the base of Mt. Washington, NH, and the peaks of the Green Mountains were whitened. (David Ludlum)

 

1909: A deadly, estimated F2 tornado moved ESE across the Simpson Park section of Big Stone City in South Dakota. A bus was thrown from the road and the driver was killed. Two homes and several barns were destroyed. As the tornado crossed the foot of Big Stone Lake, it tore apart a railroad yard and killed four of the 26 Armenian laborers who were living in box cars at Ortonville, MN. 19 people were injured.  A tornado in the eastern St. Louis metropolitan area in Missouri began as a waterspout on the Mississippi River, drove a steamer into a bridge. On land, the tornado destroyed several barns and damaged 15 homes and two factories in the west part of Alton.  (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1912: Boston, MA recorded the end of the longest heat wave ever. It was 9 consecutive days with 90 °F or more.
(Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events)

 

1936: From July 5-17, temperatures exceeding 111 degrees in Manitoba and Ontario claimed 1,180 lives (mostly the elderly and infants) during the most prolonged, deadliest heat wave on record. Four hundred of these deaths were caused by people who drowned seeking refuge from the heat. In fact, the heat was so intense that steel rail lines and bridge girders twisted, sidewalks buckled, crops wilted and fruit baked on trees. Some record temperatures include; 112 degrees at St. Albans and Emerson, Manitoba, 111 at Brandon, Manitoba, 108 at Atikokan, Ontario, and Winnipeg, Manitoba.

1936: Unbelievable heat occurred across the Mid Atlantic states and the deadliest heat wave ever in parts of Canada. Ontario, Canada recorded its hottest temperature ever as the town of Atikokan hit 108°. On the same day in Manitoba, Winnipeg also reached 108°, the highest recorded temperature there since records began in the 1870's. St. Albans set Manitoba’s all-time record as they soared to 112°. In the United States, the all-time record high was set at Rochester, MN with 108°. Other daily record highs were set at Lincoln, NE: 109°; Peoria, IL: 108°; Rockford, IL: 108°, Grand Forks, ND: 108°, Decatur, IL: 107°, Moline, IL: 107°, Dubuque, IA: 107°, Minneapolis, MN: 106°, St. Cloud, MN: 106°, Fargo, ND: 106°, Springfield, IL: 105°, Champaign, IL: 105°, (Ref. Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link)


1939: All-time record highs of 110 °F and 106 °F were set for the city of Scottsbluff, NE and Kimball, NE, respectively, while Cheyenne, WY tied their all-time record high of 100°. Sioux City, IA also tied their all-time record high with 111°. Chadron, NE recorded its 3rd warmest day on record with a record high of 110°. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1970: Seminole County in Oklahoma was hit hard by severe weather during the evening hours. Thunderstorm winds, estimated between 90 and 100 mph, damaged several buildings and blew out several plate-glass windows. Up to 5 inches of rain was also reported producing isolated flash flooding. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1980: Hot weather prevailed from the southeast to the Plains. Daily records included: Wichita, KS: 111°, Columbia, MO: 108°, Dodge City, KS: 108°, Topeka, KS: 107°, DFW Airport, TX: 107°, Macon, GA: 104°, Savannah, GA: 103°, Memphis, TN: 103°, Houston, TX: 103°, Columbus, GA: 102°, Paducah, KY: 102°, Atlanta, GA: 101°, Chattanooga, TN: 100 °F. (Ref. Additional Temperatures Listed On This Link)

1981: Severe thunderstorms moved eastward across the entire length of South Dakota along the northern portion of the state. The storms produced large storms and an incredible amount of wind damage. Hail chicken egg size and up to 9 inches in circumference resulted in 100% crop loss in some areas. Many farmers reported that their crops were devastated by the storms winds and hail. Many trees were stripped of their leaves and large limbs were frequently lost. Winds exceeded 70 mph in many areas. Damage was so extensive that damage estimates were not even attempted. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

 

1987 - Early morning thunderstorms produced wind gusts to 90 mph at Parkston, SD, and wind gusts to 87 mph at Buffalo, MN. Later in the day strong thunderstorm winds at Howard WI collapsed a circus tent injuring 44 persons. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

1988 - Thunderstorms produced heavy rain in southern Texas, with totals ranging up to 13 inches near Medina. Two men drowned when their pick-up truck was swept into the Guadalupe River, west of the town of Hunt. Ten cities in the eastern U.S. reported record high temperatures for the date. Baltimore, MD, reported a record high reading of 102 degrees for the second day in a row. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary)

1989 - Afternoon and evening thunderstorms produced severe weather from North Dakota to Indiana. Thunderstorms in North Dakota produced tennis ball size hail at Carson. Thunderstorms in Indiana produced wind gusts to 75 mph at Fort Wayne. Five cities in the Southern Atlantic Coast Region reported record high temperatures for the date, including Lakeland, FL, with a reading of 100 degrees. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data)

 

1990: The costliest hailstorm in U.S. history occurred along the Front Range of the Colorado Rockies. (Denver, Colorado): Softball-sized hail destroyed roofs and cars, causing more than $600 million in total damage.


1992: An isolated thunderstorm developed over northeast Nebraska and moved into west-central Iowa. Windows were blown out at a store in downtown Onawa and high winds downed trees about 6 miles northwest of Onawa. Golf ball size hail also produced crop damage in Monona County and 3.50 inches of rain fell in a short period of time. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1993: The Great Midwest Flood continued as flood waters came close the Des Moines, IA water treatment plant, leaving the city's 250,000 residents without water for 12 days. (Ref. Wilson Wx. History)

1995: Winds gusted to 86 mph at Barstow, FL damaging several small airplanes and buildings.(Ref. Wilson Wx. History)


1995: Shortly before 2 a.m. a house in Danielsville, PA, was hit twice by lightning. The chimney and roof were damaged and debris from the house damaged 3 cars. (Weather Guide Calendar with Phenomenal Weather Events 2011 Accord Pub. 2010, USA)

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Tomorrow will again feature highs mainly in the lower 80s. Temperatures will remain in the lower to middle 80s on Monday before heat begins to push in from the Plains States.

Some heat from an impressive heat dome over the Central and Northern Plains could send temperatures into the 90s near mid-month. The potential exists for Newark to approach 100° at the height of the short period of heat.

The ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly was +3.4°C and the Region 3.4 anomaly was +1.8°C for the week centered around July 1. For the past six weeks, the ENSO Region 1+2 anomaly has averaged +2.80°C and the ENSO Region 3.4 anomaly has averaged +1.52°C. The ongoing El Niño will continue to strengthen through the summer.

The SOI was -30.66 today. 

The preliminary Arctic Oscillation (AO) was -0.244 today. 

Based on sensitivity analysis applied to the latest guidance, there is an implied near 64% probability that New York City will have a warmer than normal July (1991-2020 normal). July will likely finish with a mean temperature near 78.8° (1.3° above normal). 

Supplemental Information: The projected mean would be 2.3° above the 1981-2010 normal monthly value. 

 

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