Feb 25 - 26 Possible Snow

[Harry Perry]

First time caller, long time listener. Well as the title describes… GFS nailed the nor’easter, can it do the same for us? (Not hopeful).
 

GFS Staying pretty steady for the last couple days with a shot of snowfall associated with a cold frontal passage in the late Wednesday night the 25th and lasting through Thursday the 26th timeframe.
 

Ensembles also honing in on the clipper-esk system with a corridor of measurable snow from southeast Minnesota, northeastern Iowa, central/southern Wisconsin, northern Illinois, central/southern lower Michigan, northern Indiana and Ohio. 
 

Hey, it’s something to track before we go back to spring. 

 

 

[A-L-E-K]

X posting my 2.1 final call

 

[cmillzz]

Trending towards weak and suppressed it seems.

[DocATL]

X posting my 2.1 final call
 

Fortune favors the bold.


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[sbnwx85]

GFS on an island last I checked but definitely the one I’m pulling for.

[cmillzz]

AI Euro is largely a nonevent, though its performance as of late has been a bit questionable.

[DocATL]

Euro says why the hell did you start this thread?


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[Harry Perry]

39 minutes ago, DocATL said:

Euro says why the hell did you start this thread?


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[sbnwx85]

Euro stinks. GFS is king.

[DocATL]

Euro stinks. GFS is king.

Euro will reclaim its throne!


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[cyclone77]

Always nice when tracking a system 3 days away and wondering if it will even exist.

[Malacka11]

32 minutes ago, cyclone77 said:

Always nice when tracking a system 3 days away and wondering if it will even exist.

Idk how that ended up feeling like it's the status quo lately but it's tough fs

[DocATL]

Idk how that ended up feeling like it's the status quo lately but it's tough fs

Feels like it’s been the case for us in the western GL’s. Meanwhile, southern snows and coastal miller B’s are showing up at hour 300 and locking in.


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[Chicago Storm]

Feels like it’s been the case for us in the western GL’s. Meanwhile, southern snows and coastal miller B’s are showing up at hour 300 and locking in.


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there has been plenty of false signal all around, as there always is.

[michsnowfreak]

17 minutes ago, DocATL said:

Feels like it’s been the case for us in the western GL’s. Meanwhile, southern snows and coastal miller B’s are showing up at hour 300 and locking in.


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Not even close. East coast storms and rumors of storms bust all the type. 

[DocATL]

Not even close. East coast storms and rumors of storms bust all the type. 

Oh for sure…just some notable events THIS year have transpired that way. Recency bias of course.

[HillsdaleMIWeather]

0Z GFS lost the storm lol

[sbnwx85]

Tough look for my previous comments.

[Harry Perry]

Sweet

 

[cmillzz]

lol, these models

[Chicago916]

In true GFS fashion, it's ensembles improved lol I still think this is a turd storm though.

[michsnowfreak]

1 hour ago, DocATL said:

Oh for sure…just some notable events THIS year have transpired that way. Recency bias of course.

Imagine what it was like in the pre model days. There were no exhilarating good busts, no demoralizing bad busts....every day was a crapshoot. 

[roardog]

17 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

Imagine what it was like in the pre model days. There were no exhilarating good busts, no demoralizing bad busts....every day was a crapshoot. 

I remember pre internet days of the 1990s when I could only look at TWC extended forecast maps that they would update like once a day late morning. Those maps had light snow, snow and I think even heavy snow. Then when there was a chance closer in time you had to wait for the updated NWS forecast in the AM and PM on the local forecast. Now, there’s about 1000 different models updating all day and night to look at. lol

[cyclone77]

32 minutes ago, roardog said:

I remember pre internet days of the 1990s when I could only look at TWC extended forecast maps that they would update like once a day late morning. Those maps had light snow, snow and I think even heavy snow. Then when there was a chance closer in time you had to wait for the updated NWS forecast in the AM and PM on the local forecast. Now, there’s about 1000 different models updating all day and night to look at. lol

I don't remember it ever saying heavy snow on the extended, but whenever it just said snow you knew there was a shot at something legit.