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Blizzard of 2026 Storm Thread/OBS


Mikeymac5306
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Wife measured 16.5 in NE Philly. I'm right on the border of Bensalem, so we were under that deathband over night for a while. I had to go to work this morning and when I stepped into the snow it was knee high, drifts were even deeper. Impressive storm! 

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13.7 as of 7 am: https://x.com/NWS_MountHolly/status/2025923299184693488
AC - 14.5
Trenton - 15.6

AC is a bit lower than I would have predicted. Perhaps PA, NJ, DE actually underperformed overall vs a number of the catastrophic level forecasts? I cannot see wrap around Snow giving much more meaningful accumulation in the region. New England does seem to be getting hammered. I’ll be interested to see the final totals up there.
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Just now, LVLion77 said:


AC is a bit lower than I would have predicted. Perhaps PA, NJ, DE actually underperformed overall vs a number of the catastrophic level forecasts? I cannot see wrap around Snow giving much more meaningful accumulation in the region. New England does seem to be getting hammered. I’ll be interested to see the final totals up there.

The 19.2 at the Mt. Holly office seems a bit high, considering where PHL, Trenton, and AC measured.

Islip is going to set a new record snowfall, but to me, the list feels incomplete with the por not including 1958. I wish their por started about 10 years earlier.

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3 minutes ago, LVLion77 said:


AC is a bit lower than I would have predicted. Perhaps PA, NJ, DE actually underperformed overall vs a number of the catastrophic level forecasts? I cannot see wrap around Snow giving much more meaningful accumulation in the region. New England does seem to be getting hammered. I’ll be interested to see the final totals up there.

Everyone in this circle is 18-24” then it looks like a secondary maximum in freehold/monmouth area. It was actually pretty well modeled I would say.

IMG_2263.thumb.jpeg.59771d112a1ff72930f0d7ac67711416.jpeg

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5 minutes ago, PhiEaglesfan712 said:

The 19.2 at the Mt. Holly office seems a bit high, considering where PHL, Trenton, and AC measured.

Islip is going to set a new record snowfall, but to me, the list feels incomplete with the por not including 1958. I wish their por started about 10 years earlier.

Not high at all, the deform band pivoted right in that area. Also lol at implying the NWS is measuring high…watch the radar loop

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In south philly the depth is 12" currently but I measured 12" inches at 3 AM... so the compaction was real! Actual total probably more like 16"? I think the heaviest returns were just east of us almost all night. 

 

NWS verified. I'm sorry I ever doubted them. 

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Everyone in this circle is 18-24” then it looks like a secondary maximum in freehold/monmouth area. It was actually pretty well modeled I would say.
IMG_2263.thumb.jpeg.59771d112a1ff72930f0d7ac67711416.jpeg

It was modeled well in terms of there being a major coastal storm and significant accumulations, but I think huge chunks of Mount Holly‘s territory underperformed, in some cases rather dramatically. The jersey shore, northern DE, and much of Mount Holly‘s area in PA dramatically underperformed their predictions.


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37 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said:

How did Sea Isle fair snow and costal flooding wise?   Thanks Paul.

 

My favorite part of the storm besides pretty trees and blizzard conditions was seeing 2” of snow in Sea Isle at 33f and Media 38f and watching the snow rain line move NW pretty amazing dynamics the thunderstorms were cool too offshore last night.

What a storm!

Hey Kevin. My brother has a place a couple blocks from me they briefly lost power. I can tell by the below view of my driveway down there that we did not get any flooding. It would have washed the street clean of snow. I asked him to get me a measurement this morning. image.thumb.png.d8bbc34d6e3aebecc5909d4938f69108.png

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3 minutes ago, LVLion77 said:


It was modeled well in terms of there being a major coastal storm and significant accumulations, but I think huge chunks of Mount Holly‘s territory underperformed, in some cases rather dramatically. The jersey shore, northern DE, and much of Mount Holly‘s area in PA dramatically underperformed their predictions.


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That’s the nature of banding and coastal storms…some areas jack while others underperform. Overall this was well forecasted outside of the nw and sw edge.

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That’s the nature of banding and coastal storms…some areas jack while others underperform. Overall this was well forecasted outside of the nw and sw edge.

I would agree with the difficult nature of predicting these storms, but I highly disagree with that assessment that they predicted this well. A very high percentage of Mount Holly‘s forecast geographical area greatly underperformed their Sunday forecast.


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1 minute ago, LVLion77 said:


I would agree with the difficult nature of predicting these storms, but I highly disagree with that assessment that they predicted this well. A very high percentage of Mount Holly‘s forecast geographical area greatly underperformed their Sunday forecast.


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I know you’re a little salty because you’re in the screw zone but let’s just say I disagree. There is a widespread area of 18-24” and 12-18”. This did not greatly underperform unless your expectations were out of whack.

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I know you’re a little salty because you’re in the screw zone but let’s just say I disagree. There is a widespread area of 18-24” and 12-18”. This did not greatly underperform unless your expectations were out of whack.

I’m not salty at all. It was an added bonus on an above average year. But factual reality is that likely 3/4 of their geographical area under performed their forecast to a very significant degree.
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1 minute ago, LVLion77 said:


I’m not salty at all. It was an added bonus on an above average year. But factual reality is that likely 3/4 of their geographical area under performed their forecast to a very significant degree.

lol hyperbolic to the extreme. If you believe 3/4 of the mt holly cwa underperformed there’s no arguing because that just isn’t reality.

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23 minutes ago, Mo Snow said:

Old City this morning around 9AM

Screenshot_20260223_100103_Gallery.jpg

That's right near the Visitor's Center across from Independence Mall (and that President's House exhibit).  Used to work a couple blocks from there for 30+ years.

I am currently at 31 w/dp 31 and the snow had briefly dropped down to SN- but there is some back-building with heavier returns nearby so am back to SN with blowing and drifting snow now.  My weather station anemometer is plastered and frozen in place. :lmao:

kdix_20260223_1526_BR_0.41.png

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