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Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range


WxUSAF
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7 minutes ago, Maestrobjwa said:

All winter they have been hawking warm just to bail out later. They have been deeply unserious this winter, lol

That week is probably our last legit shot until next year.

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12 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

Still have PTSD from that.  Seriously.  .10 for the year.

Had 3 perfect track phasing bomb 40F rainstorms that winter. If Nino is moderate to strong I’d feel pretty optimistic. If it’s a super Nino, back your umbrella

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37 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

Had 3 perfect track phasing bomb 40F rainstorms that winter. If Nino is moderate to strong I’d feel pretty optimistic. If it’s a super Nino, back your umbrella

That was awful. Mountains from SC north got buried

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1 hour ago, konksw said:

Only really shows up like that on the GFS op. All the ensembles, Euro, GEM, show a toasty Saturday. 

 


 

 

Both the Euro and AIFS are showing it at some point between Thursday and Sunday, though the exact timing has been bouncing around.  I suspect one of these days is going to be a lot cooler than currently forecast.

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This strong front keeps showing up on the euro Ai and euro to a degree. It’s also on the EPS. Around day 8-9. We saw the euro have that fantasy event. It was also loading up at the very end of the run. It’s a +PNA pattern, but not much blocking showing up so probably would have to time waves perfectly

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21 hours ago, WxUSAF said:

Dude we’re getting a 97-98 redux lol

if we have an east based super nino heading into fall...then yea best to just assume the winter is going to be a dead ratter.  I know you were joking but some do just automatically assume Nino=Snow.  Which is funny because I remember after we had 3 dead ratter nino's in a row, 1992, 1995, and 1998, the prevailing thought before 2003 was Nino=warm snowless winter lol.  Then we had a run of extremely snowy nino's and it flipped the other way.  The truth is somewhere in between and that it depends on the details.  

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