ravensrule Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, dailylurker said: I always get missed unless there's no chance of rain and I'm in the middle of staining a huge deck. Only one tiny cell in the entire state. That's when I get hit lol You have a huge deck?. Unfortunately mine is small and nobody enjoys sitting on it. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
midatlanticweather Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 OMG have you seen the UKMET? it shows absolutely nothing 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dailylurker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 11 minutes ago, ravensrule said: You have a huge deck?. Unfortunately mine is small and nobody enjoys sitting on it. No lol. My business restores decks and pavers. I could restore your deck and it would be beautiful. You'll love sitting on it after im done. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, dailylurker said: No lol. My business restores decks and pavers. I could restore your deck and it would be beautiful. You'll love sitting on it after im done. Good to know. I have a Bluestone porch so i couldn't use your services, but if i have any friends i will definitely keep you in mind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 12z EURO AIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Yeah AI is way north with precipitation 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, WxUSAF said: Yeah AI is way north with precipitation Can you pin this thread? Thanks. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, bncho said: 12z EURO AIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIIII Could be right because it skips right over us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 WB 12Z EURO AI total precip. compared to 6Z 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TSSN+ Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 2 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah AI is way north with precipitation All the models go to what it had been showing being south then it decides to flip the other way now lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, Weather Will said: WB 12Z EURO AI total precip. compared to 6Z We get 1-2 inches of snow out of .86 QPF. Lot or rain in there somewhere 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Euro has precip entire while 850 is sub zero, but it's light 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 It's close as fuck in the next panel 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
baltosquid Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 This thing is gonna bait us so hard, isn’t it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bncho Posted February 12 Author Share Posted February 12 LFG!!! 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Lose complete thermals after that panel, but it's pulling away Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, stormtracker said: It's close as fuck in the next panel As in me being 60 miles North of you makes me happy?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 WB 12Z AI EURO Low is intensifying more this run which is great, but a little too far off the coast this run. We need perfect track and intensity for this to work with marginal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 6 minutes ago, WxUSAF said: Yeah AI is way north with precipitation I don't think this is likely, but at the same time I am a little surprised so many have totally given up on it. Especially for places NW of 95! It's actually trended colder the last 24 hours...now we really just need the wave to end up a little more amplified. I can remember plenty of times we were in worse shape at 72 hours and got some snow. Not saying this is likely, just that it's not such a crazy long shot that its time to be saying NEXT yet. We've tracked worse odds things than this. 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 1 minute ago, baltosquid said: This thing is gonna bait us so hard, isn’t it This honestly is the most tease storm I've seen. When we're about to give up, the EURO/AI comes in and dangles the bait just close enough that we think we can reach it. Hope is a dangerous thing in this game. 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ravensrule Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Just now, psuhoffman said: I don't think this is likely, but at the same time I am a little surprised so many have totally given up on it. Especially for places NW of 95! It's actually trended colder the last 24 hours...now we really just need the wave to end up a little more amplified. I can remember plenty of times we were in worse shape at 72 hours and got some snow. Not saying this is likely, just that it's not such a crazy long shot that its time to be saying NEXT yet. We've tracked worse odds things than this. Talk dirty to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, ravensrule said: As in me being 60 miles North of you makes me happy?. Sure, ok. Yeah 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paleocene Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, stormtracker said: This honestly is the most tease storm I've seen. When we're about to give up, the EURO/AI comes in and dangles the bait just close enough that we think we can reach it. Hope is a dangerous thing in this game. Just opened this thread after not looking since the 06 6z Euro, and... Damn it. I'm still in 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 I see the thread got pinned. Storms are always better when AmWx is playing catch up. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 3 minutes ago, Paleocene said: Just opened this thread after not looking since the 06 6z Euro, and... Damn it. I'm still in I'm still not a believer, but I'm going to follow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hstorm Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 Wasn't yesterday's prevailing wisdom that the Euro AI never wavers and had already put the nail in the coffin on this storm? 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psuhoffman Posted February 12 Share Posted February 12 5 minutes ago, stormtracker said: This honestly is the most tease storm I've seen. When we're about to give up, the EURO/AI comes in and dangles the bait just close enough that we think we can reach it. Hope is a dangerous thing in this game. For the last 48 hours with the exception of that one crazy euro run that went nuts...what we've seen is pretty consistent across guidance IMO. There are clearly two main likely permutations here. If the wave is weaker and too much energy gets focused on that frontrunner secondary the storm slides south. If the wave is just a bit more amplified and or focuses on the main STJ wave we have the chance of some snow. The snow idea pops up randomly across about 20% of the guidance because that's probably about the odds of that solution. So we keep randomly seeing that idea pop up on something. That result is still in there...still a possible option, we just need to thread the needle with the amplitude and track of the wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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