Is we back? February discussion thread

[The 4 Seasons]

[MJO812]

Weathernet

[moneypitmike]

Wake me when it cuts the canal.

[CoastalWx]

Euro AI ensembles looked ok but the mean is way south. Need to get them onboard for me to entertain this more. 

[Kitz Craver]

She cometh?

[mahk_webstah]

12 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Euro AI ensembles looked ok but the mean is way south. Need to get them onboard for me to entertain this more. 

I’m skeptical 

[CoastalWx]

Long range isn’t that inspiring. 

[CoastalWx]

4 hours ago, MJO812 said:

Feeding my newborn and watching the models. He smiled when I showed him the euro.

Wait until he sees a 595 decameter ridge over the east in summer. He’s gonna love heat and dews.

[Damage In Tolland]

Those posters that canceled this yesterday feeling foolish 

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Those posters that canceled this yesterday feeling foolish 

Yep we cancel 

[Damage In Tolland]

Just now, CoastalWx said:

Yep we cancel 

Lmao 

[Damage In Tolland]

Looks like it will be a paster finally. Get some meat into pack with warmer profile. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Relying on euro on an island good luck (if we get more guidance on board then I'm game) / 6z AIFS with a solid trend north last 4 runs .. 

 

[CoastalWx]

6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Relying on euro on an island good luck (if we get more guidance on board then I'm game) / 6z AIFS with a solid trend north last 4 runs .. 

 

6 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Relying on euro on an island good luck (if we get more guidance on board then I'm game) / 6z AIFS with a solid trend north last 4 runs .. 

It does try to tickle cape

[CoastalWx]

18 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Lmao 

I’m not taking about 1-3” crap. I mean a coastal.

[ineedsnow]

We 6z EURO

[mahk_webstah]

21 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Those posters that canceled this yesterday feeling foolish 

I’m usually optimistic but not this time, at least for NOP

[ineedsnow]

[ineedsnow]

Temps look marginal but I think.we would be ok here

[mahk_webstah]

Euro ai a bit north tickling cape.  19th interesting with 988 on Huron transferring to 988 off portland.  More confluence and that’s a biggie

[dendrite]

It’s a weird look on the euro with that late diving energy in the northern stream to bring this north. It doesn’t really look like it should have any business digging like that and the other models aren’t doing it either. 

[CoastalWx]

Just now, dendrite said:

It’s a weird look on the euro with that late diving energy in the northern stream to bring this north. It doesn’t really look like it should have any business digging like that and the other models aren’t doing it either. 

Yep. Pancake ridge to the west too. I’ll sell anything good.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

I'd assume this is as good as it gets before it ticks back south.. 

Power out for days in SNE.. 

A lot of the features are in place by 72-96 hours would be an epic fail by the euro or an even worse fail by all other guidance 

[mahk_webstah]

3 minutes ago, dendrite said:

It’s a weird look on the euro with that late diving energy in the northern stream to bring this north. It doesn’t really look like it should have any business digging like that and the other models aren’t doing it either. 

Shitstreak ftw for a change?

[Damage In Tolland]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m not taking about 1-3” crap. I mean a coastal.

Snowy 

[mahk_webstah]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yep. Pancake ridge to the west too. I’ll sell anything good.

Terrible when 3 Mets come in and ruin everything.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

Even that run verbatim there's just no cold air, would be 90% rain in the WCB.. 925 is torched til the end 

[CoastalWx]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Even that run verbatim there's just no cold air, would be 90% rain in the WCB.. 925 is torched til the end 

Yep I saw that. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Terrible when 3 Mets come in and ruin everything.

Happy to be wrong, but having a tough time seeing it.

[Sey-Mour Snow]

00z is a better setup to draw in the cold, 6z was worse synoptically which torched us.. I guess I could see a thread the needle but it's very low odds, bc we just don't need a NW trend, we also need a cold tap with a shitty airmass in place