Is we back? February discussion thread

[Ginx snewx]

59 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

It’s different up here. The cold is deep and the snowpack isn’t super deep, but it’s very solid and should be for a good long while. I think it’s snow piles up here from mid month on.

Scott's being a tool

[Damage In Tolland]

11 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That’s not a given. I guess we wait until PNA drops. Was hoping we could grab something beforehand.

A few days ago I mentioned the NW flow and that’s what we have. So hope for clippers. Not sure we can buckle the flow enough for something larger. 

Euro and EPS have had it everyday for a few days now. I’d take 2-4/3/6”

[ORH_wxman]

The clipper looks more paltry now. Could come back more as a redeveloper but last night’s guidance didn’t like it. You’ll want to see improvements over the next day or so if we want anything more than coatings to an inch. 

[ORH_wxman]

I still think next week could produce…but that’s getting into clown range. 

[CoastalWx]

14 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Scott's being a tool

How? Telling it how it is. Even Will just mentioned it. Gonna have to wait post 10th probably. This cold relaxes big time. Gonna be more marginal cold I think. Euro op even has a cutter as it breaks.

[CoastalWx]

10 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Euro and EPS have had it everyday for a few days now. I’d take 2-4/3/6”

Looks meager and questionable.

[Ginx snewx]

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

How? Telling it how it is. Even Will just mentioned it. Gonna have to wait post 10th probably. This come relaxes big time. Gonna be more marginal cold I think. Euro op even has a cutter as it breaks.

When do we buckle up....

25 in Tampa ouch.

[CoastalWx]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

When do we buckle up....

25 in Tampa ouch.

Well when? I have marks from being buckled up since 2023.

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

How? Telling it how it is. Even Will just mentioned it. Gonna have to wait post 10th probably. This come relaxes big time. Gonna be more marginal cold I think. Euro op even has a cutter as it breaks.

Totally depends on if , huge if, modeling doesn't change 24 times in 4 days. 

[ORH_wxman]

1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said:

When do we buckle up....

25 in Tampa ouch.

I’m more impressed with 31F at PBI. Not easy to get below freezing at West Palm Beach 

[Damage In Tolland]

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Looks meager and questionable.

I’ll be happy to grab a couple inches as modeled 

[Ginx snewx]

24 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Well when? I have marks from being buckled up since 2023.

You have new snow today 2 feet OTG. Take the kids sledding or something. You are a junkie forever chasing your fix. 

[CoastalWx]

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

You have new snow today 2 feel OTG. Take the kids sledding or something. You are a junkie forever chasing your fix. 

Don’t really have anything. It’s to my southeast. 

[CoastalWx]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I’ll be happy to grab a couple inches as modeled 

We’ll see. Just annoyed we missed some chances between this current storm and next weekend. 

[HIPPYVALLEY]

9 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

When do we buckle up....

25 in Tampa ouch.

They were reporting flurries there this morning.  My friend in Clearwater said the water temperature in the golf is below 60° now.  I’ll have to check because that seems low, but definitely cold down there.

[mahk_webstah]

21 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I still think next week could produce…but that’s getting into clown range. 

What’s worked is Southwest flow/over running type situations in the occasional clipper. They are more predictable and dependable. A great coastal can be awesome every once in a while, but they are a few and far between and very fickle. I think towards mid month we get into a much better pattern for snow specially with all the cold air around. I think we’re gonna have a good run.

[Damage In Tolland]

15 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

We’ll see. Just annoyed we missed some chances between this current storm and next weekend. 

It sucks but at least it’s deep winter .. If we can get a few more snowfalls before the pattern flips to mild and warm you mentioned , most of us can be normal snow YTD

[HIPPYVALLEY]

1 hour ago, MJO812 said:

We got lucky with the storm last weekend. Other than that, second winter in a row with alot of cold air around . 

This winter seems much colder than last, right?

[Modfan2]

Just now, HIPPYVALLEY said:

This winter seems much colder than last, right?

Absolutely! I don’t think there have been many AN days since Thanksgiving; at this point a 40 degree day is going to feel like 60!

[HIPPYVALLEY]

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It sucks but at least it’s deep winter .. If we can get a few more snowfalls before the pattern flips to mild you mentioned , most of us can be normal snow YTD

We’re going to need at least two more warning events and some smaller events to get to normal.   We have about six weeks to do it, but I haven’t really looked at the long range.  
I have to go back and calculate my totals but I think I need at least another 20” to hit my average.  

[CoastalWx]

9 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

What’s worked is Southwest flow/over running type situations in the occasional clipper. They are more predictable and dependable. A great coastal can be awesome every once in a while, but they are a few and far between and very fickle. I think towards mid month we get into a much better pattern for snow specially with all the cold air around. I think we’re gonna have a good run.

Cold will be vanishing big time. Will be more normal. Hopefully it’s not lows approaching with 850 temps of -1C.

[CoastalWx]

Wish it was cloud all week.

[Kitz Craver]

All of the melting talk should have been saved for this upcoming week. The pack will get banged up a bit with temps in the low 30’s and sun.

[Go Kart Mozart]

When does the vortex split stuff come into play?

[Ginx snewx]

10 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

We’re going to need at least two more warning events and some smaller events to get to normal.   We have about six weeks to do it, but I haven’t really looked at the long range.  
I have to go back and calculate my totals but I think I need at least another 20” to hit my average.  

38/60 ish here well within reach with 8 weeks left.

[Ginx snewx]

8 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

When does the vortex split stuff come into play?

Remember March 18?

[CoastalWx]

4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Remember March 18?

That probably is a month not repeated for a long long time. The amount of storms and ferocity can’t be matched. 

[Ginx snewx]

23 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

It sucks but at least it’s deep winter .. If we can get a few more snowfalls before the pattern flips to mild and warm you mentioned , most of us can be normal snow YTD

Flip to mild and warm?

[Ginx snewx]

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

That probably is a month not repeated for a long long time. The amount of storms and ferocity can’t be matched. 

We definitely never say never. But yeah that was incredible 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

Flip to mild and warm?

Just going by what was mentioned. I had thought weeklies were cold and snowy thru mid Morch but apparently not or things changed.