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“Cory’s in LA! Let’s MECS!” Jan. 24-26 Disco


TheSnowman
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2 minutes ago, Diggiebot said:

Isn’t this an extreme cold setup. Saturday is going to be frigid. Wouldn’t this keep things south and make it harder to bump north or does this system carry so much warm gulf air north that it can override the cold. It seems like a really unusual setup overall. 

Just depends how quickly and proficiently they phase.

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1 hour ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

Imagine the melts if it turns into a snow to rain situation...lol

Tbh the mid level support isn’t there to anchor the high. Given the intensity of the trailing shortwave it’s not much to see it slide east and become that giant surface high that merges with the WAR that we’ve seen happen so many times before….

The Canadian surface high kicking east like 24 hours sooner is basically the only thing that needs to change to take on a high amplitude MJO phase 7 look which we will be in at go time…

Not much given still 100 hours out. 

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5 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

Tbh the mid level support isn’t there to anchor the high. Given the intensity of the trailing shortwave it’s not much to see it slide east and become that giant surface high that merges with the WAR that we’ve seen happen so many times before….

The Canadian surface high kicking east like 24 hours sooner is basically the only thing that needs to change to take on a high amplitude MJO phase 7 look which we will be in at go time…

Not much given still 100 hours out. 

Even if it theoretically tuned to rain, there would still be a hell of a dump first.

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5 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

It's not going inland with that PV there.

 

This is wonky. The dual surface lows..

What I’m thinking is more that the lead wave fizzles and the trailing surface reflection is our main storm up here…

An how that would change the mid level evolution if that lead wave is dampened completely.

IMG_3302.png

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