Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Baja low a bit more east and open 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Angle looks better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Big ice for Mitch west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Snow breaks out around 9pm Saturday. Still faster than euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 500mb looks improved too in terms of phasing 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Franklin0529 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 minutes ago, Ji said: 500mb looks improved too in terms of phasing It looks like it wants to come north. Juiced up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Everything looks more backed up west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Over a foot 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 7 minutes ago, Ji said: Big ice for Mitch west Ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1040mb High in NY state when the precip starts. Here's the potential we're looking at.. it counts sleet as snow depth, but a shift north would look like this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SLPressure Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 TT maps look like 8-10 for dc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SomeguyfromTakomaPark Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Just now, SLPressure said: TT maps look like 8-10 for dc. Kuchera is 16.5 for dc, you would think we could actually get some decent ratios here on the northern side of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Kutchera I’d like 12-17 lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silver Meteor Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 1 hour ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: 6z NAM at 84hrs phasing much better than the 0z GFS Exciting 1055mb High? Seriously? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 WB 6Z GFS 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 ft in southern VA including the Northern neck lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Nice bump North on GFS! Nice to see it still on board! 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
osfan24 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Nice. I love where we sit right now with heaviest totals in South Central VA. We all know that will end up this way. 2 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 2 ft in southern VA including the Northern neck lolThis storm is going to cause insane hardship for those they don’t get snow 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 5 inches of sleet for Carolinas 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 Safe to say the High pressure to the north is overdone, and the storm will shift a little north even if it means a little less phasing? I guess I'm asking what is the difference in outcome if the High pressure is 1035mb vs 1040mb? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, Stormchaserchuck1 said: Safe to say the High pressure to the north is overdone, and the storm will shift a little north even if it means a little less phasing? I guess I'm asking what is the difference in outcome if the High pressure is 1035mb vs 1040mb? I would think the mix line moves north from NC to somewhere across south/central VA into lower delmarva, and the snowfall amounts north of that stay the same or a bit less. Just an educated guess Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 3 minutes ago, Terpeast said: I would think the mix line moves north from NC to somewhere across south/central VA into lower delmarva, and the snowfall amounts north of that stay the same or a bit less. Just an educated guess All systems go. This agreement is something we haven’t seen in a very long time. A few more days of wobble watching. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 I guess the fly in the ointment is that we basically have a non storm with GFS AI. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Silver Meteor Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 20 minutes ago, Ji said: Whew, that's a relief! Remember earlier estimates for ZR south of Virginia were horrific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solution Man Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 24 hours of white smoke Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 WB 6Z GEFS ticked north compared to 0Z. 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted January 20 Share Posted January 20 10 minutes ago, Weather Will said: I guess the fly in the ointment is that we basically have a non storm with GFS AI. Actually GFS AI is very similar to op GFS at both 500mb and sfc low positions. It's the precip shield that's a bit different, but I don't trust AI models on precip. I trust them more on 500mb and storm tracks 6 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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