Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,663
    Total Members
    25,819
    Most Online
    tmcandrew
    Newest Member
    tmcandrew
    Joined

Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026


BooneWX
 Share

Recommended Posts

Significant improvements on this weeks drought monitor for pretty much everywhere in region besides northern piedmont of NC. Some areas have gone all the way to just the “abnormally dry” category and much of SC and eastern NC is now only in “moderate” category. 
 

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Southeast

  • Like 2
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

21 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Significant improvements on this weeks drought monitor for pretty much everywhere in region besides northern piedmont of NC. Some areas have gone all the way to just the “abnormally dry” category and much of SC and eastern NC is now only in “moderate” category. 
 

https://droughtmonitor.unl.edu/CurrentMap/StateDroughtMonitor.aspx?Southeast

Good news here. Not surprisingly, the “exceptional” that covered most of SE GA has improved one level to “extreme”. Reason to celebrate as it’s “only” extreme now. :lol:  

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Beautiful weather here past day or two. Felt like football weather out yesterday. Big time improvement on the drought monitor for Georgia. Dropped to D2 Severe Drought in my area. Only 0.23% of the state is in D4 now!

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

 Yesterday’s 12Z EPS had nearly 50% of its members with a TCG in S Gulf/NW Car late next week with most of those then heading to the U.S. Gulf coast the following week. 

 However, the 0Z EPS cut back significantly on the % of members with Gulf TCG vs yesterday’s 12Z run. It will be interesting to see how future runs compare.

 The 6Z GEFS has significantly increased activity vs earlier runs.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

3 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

So so so dry. This is a top 1-2 drought in my lifetime for the Raleigh area. Yard is concrete and just dead besides where I have had time to spray it in mornings. The once a week irrigation rule was fine until it got this hot 

Yea stick a fork in my yard Its done for the year

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 6/7/2026 at 9:06 AM, GaWx said:

 Yesterday’s 12Z EPS had nearly 50% of its members with a TCG in S Gulf/NW Car late next week with most of those then heading to the U.S. Gulf coast the following week. 

 However, the 0Z EPS cut back significantly on the % of members with Gulf TCG vs yesterday’s 12Z run. It will be interesting to see how future runs compare.

 The 6Z GEFS has significantly increased activity vs earlier runs.

 Since yesterday, the non-AI ensemble progged Gulf tropical activity has diminished other than for perhaps the Bay of Campeche, which would be favored to landfall in MX. (The AI never picked up on anything much.)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

5 hours ago, olafminesaw said:

Let's start a GoFundMe to tear down the Appalachians

ecmwf_apcpn_eus_84.png

I often feel the same when they are blocking cold air that is chasing moisture!  Seriously though, I think one way of explaining the drought would be to note that for the last 9 months it has, with rare exceptions, just been oscillating back and forth between a southeast ridge and a NW flow regime.  The NW flow brought us some notable cold stretches last winter but it also kept us bone dry.  Now it's just keeping us dry (and intermittently comfortable).  We need two solid months of the pattern we had around Memorial day with a Bermuda high well of the coast and a trough to the west but not too close, together pumping gulf moisture up from the south west.  And this time please no ridiculous CAD to keep the NC piedmont and west coastal plain stable.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...