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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026


BooneWX
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This was a really interesting seasonal update. Would love to know their thinking for such a small max in the Apps, lee and piedmont regions, but I assume they’re counting on a lot of diurnal convection and high elevation initiation. Sign me up. Other than snow, nothing beats a 90° day getting its knees taken out by some drifters off the mountains, leading to a nice rain cooled 75° evening on the porch.


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Not to be a downer and I will certainly take the increased rain chances but the first couple of systems next week are weakening cold fronts that will not result in widespread soaking rain. These have all trended weaker up until the day they move through all winter and spring so my hopes are not high. Any rain is good but I don’t think we see much potential for real relief until the very end of next week. 

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16 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Not to be a downer and I will certainly take the increased rain chances but the first couple of systems next week are weakening cold fronts that will not result in widespread soaking rain. These have all trended weaker up until the day they move through all winter and spring so my hopes are not high. Any rain is good but I don’t think we see much potential for real relief until the very end of next week. 

I agree to a point, but it seems likely we will get multiple opportunities over the next two weeks. Sometimes a few .5" rainfalls is better than one big 2" rainfall for busting drought. Hopefully we can stop the bleeding anyway 

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1 hour ago, olafminesaw said:

I agree to a point, but it seems likely we will get multiple opportunities over the next two weeks. Sometimes a few .5" rainfalls is better than one big 2" rainfall for busting drought. Hopefully we can stop the bleeding anyway 

0.5” would be great, I’m worried it will be 0.15”

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