Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026

[Jmoon]

28 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Thanks P. Allen Smith

He knows it all brother. 

[StantonParkHoya]

He knows it all brother. 

I know it’s time to put away the dreams of snow and cold and embrace the season of Spring


.

[GaWx]

2 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said:

I know it’s time to put away the dreams of snow and cold and embrace the season of Spring


.

 It’s already been like summer for many in the SE on many days this month. Many are headed for one of the warmest Marches on record. I have enough summer as it is. I’d prefer March be more like a spring month. Thus, I’m looking forward to the cooldown and am hoping April overall comes in less warm than March. This has zero to do with snow.

[Coach McGuirk]

Supposed to be 83 tomorrow here, a record high. 

[Upstate Tiger]

4 hours ago, StantonParkHoya said:

I know it’s time to put away the dreams of snow and cold and embrace the season of Spring


.

Why?  She smells like a blooming Bradford Pear tree, is covered in an obnoxious yellow powder, draws flies, and can’t make her mind up from one day to the next.  

[NorthHillsWx]

Tomorrow is a real threat to push 90 degrees in areas. My point click is showing 87. Record high for the date is 85. Today’s forecast shows 82, with the record to beat being 81. It is starting out cooler than forecast though, currently sitting at 51 

[NorthHillsWx]

If RDU hits 90 tomorrow it will not only break the daily record, it would be the earliest 90 degree day in RDUs history. The average first 90 degree day for RDU is May 11, if that puts into perspective how impressive that would be. I’m not saying it will happen but with a forecast high of 87 it would not take much to come close 

[suzook]

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Tomorrow is a real threat to push 90 degrees in areas. My point click is showing 87. Record high for the date is 85. Today’s forecast shows 82, with the record to beat being 81. It is starting out cooler than forecast though, currently sitting at 51 

Crazy. Could be 90 tomorrow, and mid 20's beginning of next week. Definitely a possibility of damage to plants bloomed already. My Bermuda grass is already 80% green. 

[Met1985]

Speaking of one extreme to the next. This is as extreme as you can get. 90 1 day and possible flakes the next.

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[eyewall]

The Euro shows it to a lesser extent for Thursday. Either way the ground will be super warm.

[GaWx]

 The 6Z GFS suite is looking really stupid in being on its own including all of the main short term models in showing a snow threat in portions of C and E NC on Thu (3/12). Why is the GFS showing this??

GFS (Kuchera):

 

GEFS mean (10:1):

 

GEFS mean is almost all from the clueless members 4 and 14 with a small assist by 2 and 7 while the other 26 members essentially have nothing outside of the mtns:

[NorthHillsWx]

Extremely active storm track but fortunately it seems west of here for the near future. Possibly a significant tornado day in Texas and maybe even Illinois today. If energy keeps rising from Texas to Michigan we will keep catching tail end of systems with highest severe threats when they are this week west of here

[Upstate Tiger]

12 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 The 6Z GFS suite is looking really stupid in being on its own including all of the main short term models in showing a snow threat in portions of C and E NC on Thu (3/12). Why is the GFS showing this??

GFS (Kuchera):

 

GEFS mean (10:1):

 

GEFS mean is almost all from the clueless members 4 and 14 with a small assist by 2 and 7 while the other 26 members essentially have nothing outside of the mtns:

The 06Z GFS shows some post St. Pattrick's Day snow for the SC coast .  That would cause some confusion for those who celebrated a little late the night before.  They would wake up thinking they slept through spring, summer, and fall.