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Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026


BooneWX
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1 hour ago, suzook said:

Ehhh, below normal in mid to late March is not that bad. For my area I'd be shocked if we get below 30 again until end of the year.

I know that we have had hard freezes in March, usually early to mid, before so I don't count out the 20s until the end of the month. 

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1 hour ago, yotaman said:

I know that we have had hard freezes in March, usually early to mid, before so I don't count out the 20s until the end of the month. 

Thanks. Even way down here, record lows til the midpoint of March are in hard freeze territory including a 26 on March 16th in 2017! There were even a couple of hard freezes in late March though they were way back in the 1950s.

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1 hour ago, GaWx said:

Thanks. Even way down here, record lows til the midpoint of March are in hard freeze territory including a 26 on March 16th in 2027! There were even a couple of hard freezes in late March though they were way back in the 1950s.

We frequently get freezes into mid April in central NC. A few years ago during the first week of turkey season (second week of April) I woke up to 24 degrees in Louisburg NC, was absolutely not dressed for that. Long range looks extremely warm for first half of March, but I am confident there will be more sub freezing mornings before April 

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10 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

We frequently get freezes into mid April in central NC. A few years ago during the first week of turkey season (second week of April) I woke up to 24 degrees in Louisburg NC, was absolutely not dressed for that. Long range looks extremely warm for first half of March, but I am confident there will be more sub freezing mornings before April 

 Wow! In terms of light freezes, KSAV has had them as late as April 16th! But that 32 was way back during a colder era, 1962. However, we’ve much more recently in early April had 2 light freezes in 2007 and even a 32 on April 3rd just 5 years ago!

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47 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 Wow! In terms of light freezes, KSAV has had them as late as April 16th! But that 32 was way back during a colder era, 1962. However, we’ve much more recently in early April had 2 light freezes in 2007 and even a 32 on April 3rd just 5 years ago!

We hit 30 that morning. Much of NC away from the coastal areas were in the 20's on that morning.

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40 minutes ago, yotaman said:

I had to go back to 2021 to find an April freeze. Most of NC had a hard freeze back early April of 2021.

 

39 minutes ago, yotaman said:

We hit 30 that morning. Much of NC away from the coastal areas were in the 20's on that morning.

RDU got down to 30 on April 23 of 2021 which was obviously well past the normal last freeze date. That morning was in the 20’s in many rural areas too

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3 hours ago, yotaman said:

I know that we have had hard freezes in March, usually early to mid, before so I don't count out the 20s until the end of the month. 

Not saying it couldn't happen. More of a probably won't. Now higher elevations and more north of me, sure 20's are probable.

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Nine out of the last ten years Eden has seen the temperature drop below 30° in April. 

28.4° April 9, 2025
28.4° April 7, 2024
29.7° April 11, 2023
28.6° April 20, 2022
29.4° April 23, 2021
28.8° April 12, 2020
29.1° April 3, 2019
28.6° April 9, 2018
26.6° March 10, 2017
26.3° April 11, 2016

The latest date the temperature fell below freezing during this ten year period was May 11, 2020 when it dropped to 30.3°. 

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