Mid-Long Range Discussion 2026

[Met1985]

Just now, NorthHillsWx said:

Just wow at snow totals in NE this morning. 26-30” totals showing up from eastern Long Island into rhode island with providence approaching its all time record. They still have hours to go! I think 35” is doable in places up there 

I hope they break all kinds of records up there. As a snow weenie this is awesome to watch.

[NorthHillsWx]

4 minutes ago, Met1985 said:

I hope they break all kinds of records up there. As a snow weenie this is awesome to watch.

Yep I don’t care where you are these powerhouse nor Easter’s are fascinating and must see viewing. This is the rare one that shows Mother Natures max potential for winter storms on the east coast. Sub 970 low with 4”+ per hour rates and gusts recorded on coast approaching 90 with multiple major cities reporting blizzard conditions simultaneously. This is going to be one of the benchmark east coast events 

[NorthHillsWx]

Down to 966. 41 mb drop in 24 hours… I mean just wow

https://x.com/nwswpc/status/2025935039670743465?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g

[Upstate Tiger]

1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Down to 966. 41 mb drop in 24 hours… I mean just wow

https://x.com/nwswpc/status/2025935039670743465?s=46&t=NyKvXvI1o-sJQb-68mmo4g

966 is amazing.  Check this out.  Tells you all you need to know. 
 

[NorthHillsWx]

Just now, Upstate Tiger said:

966 is amazing.  Check this out.  Tells you all you need to know. 
 

March 93 was 960. This one is entering rare territory as it continues to deepen 

[NorthHillsWx]

One other thing while I nerd out over this system- some areas north of 20” have seen ratios around 8:1. There is A LOT of beef to what’s fallen so far. It is insanely hard to get these amounts with any storm much less one with poor ratios like this one. That has to be mashed potatoes up there 

[NorthHillsWx]

Worth a watch 

https://www.earthcam.com/usa/massachusetts/provincetown/?cam=capecodbay

[GaWx]

~1.65” of liquid equivalent has fallen at NYC/C Park as of 11AM and it was still coming down! This storm is nearly beyond description.

This is snow deserving gold medal status at NYC as it is their biggest snow in a decade. More snow has fallen there since yesterday than even some of the Olympic ski areas this entire month!

[NorthHillsWx]

9 minutes ago, GaWx said:

~1.65” of liquid equivalent has fallen at NYC/C Park as of 11AM and it was still coming down! This storm is nearly beyond description.

This is snow deserving gold medal status at NYC as it is their biggest snow in a decade. More snow has fallen there since yesterday than even some of the Olympic ski areas this entire month!

And the euro didn’t even have the storm 3 days out. It didn’t start getting a clue until 12z on 2/20. GFS was on an island by itself and barely wavered for a week! Second biggest American victory this week

[Met1985]

40 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

And the euro didn’t even have the storm 3 days out. It didn’t start getting a clue until 12z on 2/20. GFS was on an island by itself and barely wavered for a week! Second biggest American victory this week

Ill second that by saying the Euro at most had us getting maybe an inch of snow across the mountains and the gfs was painting a different story. Well we've had anywhere from an inch to 7 plus inches of snow and I've had snow falling now for 19 hours straight and 6 inches on the ground.  The Euro missed this badly. 

[BornAgain13]

The Euro holds weight but its not the king in my opinion.

[NorthHillsWx]

Providence with 32.6” smashes their old record of 28” and is still under the death band. They will be close to 40” by the time this winds down this evening 

[wncsnow]

3 hours ago, BornAgain13 said:

The Euro holds weight but its not the king in my opinion.

No model is perfect

[olafminesaw]

Some signs of life in the long range. Maybe some kind of frozen slop about a week from now. Not entirely sure if I want that to happen.

[Daniel Boone]

6 hours ago, Met1985 said:

Ill second that by saying the Euro at most had us getting maybe an inch of snow across the mountains and the gfs was painting a different story. Well we've had anywhere from an inch to 7 plus inches of snow and I've had snow falling now for 19 hours straight and 6 inches on the ground.  The Euro missed this badly. 

It was horrible with this . The Nam Suite and HRRR was here as well. The Canadian Suite did best for back here in the Cumberlands.

[KrummWx]

I booked this trip to Manhattan back in November...can't believe I got lucky enough to arrive the day before this event. I will say, in midtown Manhattan, I don't think I ever saw blizzard conditions. Windy and heavy snow yes (obviously), but not sure I saw true dictionary definition blizzard. At any rate, seemed to be ~21", 54th @ Broadway. Most I've seen since Boxing Day 2010 when I lived in South Jersey near Philly.

Central Park was a full blown ice rink around Gapstow and the Pond. The hills turned into a shared chaos, people inching down sideways, others attempting a confident stride and immediately regretting it, arms flailing like cartoon characters before gravity won. Every few seconds you’d hear that half gasp half laugh as someone caught themselves at the last possible second, or didn’t. Strangers were bracing strangers, forming these random temporary alliances just to survive a 30 yard descent. Suits, tourists, joggers, kids, all equally humbled by basic physics. And somehow, with the skyline framed through snow loaded branches and the lamps glowing against that deep blue dusk, the whole slippery circus felt kind of perfect.

Also, my bagel adventure this morning while it was still coming down

https://youtu.be/QcteDqxqOUk?si=zieMQ98iKXcDUyic

[Coach McGuirk]

Jan 3, 2018 was 949 MB

[Coach McGuirk]

7 minutes ago, Coach McGuirk said:

Jan 3, 2018 was 949 MB

Now that was a blizzard for the Hampton Roads. 

[suzook]

6 hours ago, KrummWx said:

I booked this trip to Manhattan back in November...can't believe I got lucky enough to arrive the day before this event. I will say, in midtown Manhattan, I don't think I ever saw blizzard conditions. Windy and heavy snow yes (obviously), but not sure I saw true dictionary definition blizzard. At any rate, seemed to be ~21", 54th @ Broadway. Most I've seen since Boxing Day 2010 when I lived in South Jersey near Philly.

Central Park was a full blown ice rink around Gapstow and the Pond. The hills turned into a shared chaos, people inching down sideways, others attempting a confident stride and immediately regretting it, arms flailing like cartoon characters before gravity won. Every few seconds you’d hear that half gasp half laugh as someone caught themselves at the last possible second, or didn’t. Strangers were bracing strangers, forming these random temporary alliances just to survive a 30 yard descent. Suits, tourists, joggers, kids, all equally humbled by basic physics. And somehow, with the skyline framed through snow loaded branches and the lamps glowing against that deep blue dusk, the whole slippery circus felt kind of perfect.

Also, my bagel adventure this morning while it was still coming down

https://youtu.be/QcteDqxqOUk?si=zieMQ98iKXcDUyic

What's great about the North East, especially NYC is everything is open, even during a blizzard!!! Bring some bagels down for me please!!! If you are a pizza guy, go to Joe's pizza, and pizza suprema across from msg.

[olafminesaw]

Next bit of interesting weather is some training of heavy rain cells Thurs/Friday that could lead to flash flooding concerns over a narrow stripe 

[Upstate Tiger]

1 hour ago, olafminesaw said:

Next bit of interesting weather is some training of heavy rain cells Thurs/Friday that could lead to flash flooding concerns over a narrow stripe 

Looks like cart path only again this weekend but will take the rain. 

[wncsnow]

Just like that the models are decreasing rain totals again for this week