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January 2026 regional war/obs/disco thread


Baroclinic Zone
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Just now, Sey-Mour Snow said:

That 6z GFS sums up our luck the last several years.. 15 days of ridge out west trough in east, parade of shortwaves diving under us , nothing bites.. what a joke

It's going to reverse course violently at some point, dude....even factoring in CC...John would even admit that. I still say this season is going to eventually have a run.

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5 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

That 6z GFS sums up our luck the last several years.. 15 days of ridge out west trough in east, parade of shortwaves diving under us , nothing bites.. what a joke

You mean you don’t get off on the PV sitting over your face with bare ground?

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41 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I wouldn't give up hope on a nice stretch, but odds of hitting climo snowfall this season in my area are on life support...unimaginable 8th consecutive season.

Yeah we’re in bad shape for areas that can’t make it up with a couple of decent warning events. 
 

The funny part is the pattern still looks totally serviceable with plenty of cold around and nearby in S Canada but if we’re not getting any of these shortwaves to play ball, it’s all meaningless. Can’t buy an event to actually verify. 

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I will say that the EPS continues to get snowier and snowier in the LR. They never got too bullish about the 1/15-1/20 period but they been really liking the period after that. So for us masochists who like tracking these things, that would be your beacon of hope. 

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6 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I will say that the EPS continues to get snowier and snowier in the LR. They never got too bullish about the 1/15-1/20 period but they been really liking the period after that. So for us masochists who like tracking these things, that would be your beacon of hope. 

I buy it...I know someone like @qg_omegawill beat me over the head for that, but this season is going to eventually produce....I don't think I'm going to challenge my futility record.

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11 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

I will say that the EPS continues to get snowier and snowier in the LR. They never got too bullish about the 1/15-1/20 period but they been really liking the period after that. So for us masochists who like tracking these things, that would be your beacon of hope. 

Nothing gives me goosebumps quite like ensembles 10+ days away.

 

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