ineedsnow Posted yesterday at 06:27 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:27 PM One is not like the other 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted yesterday at 06:29 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:29 PM 4 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: When you dig deeper into the model analysis it's a pretty encouraging look IMO and should have folks interests peaked. I get part of the "fun" is just whipping out SLP and snow maps to see something but you gotta look beyond those. Record negative EPO is all I need to see. Expect an all time Arctic outbreak end of the month or start of Feb. Those -50 temps will be on the move. With the STJ increase its going to get very stormy. Look for our very climo big timer to occur between the 24th and 31st. Possibly finally an entire east coast mauler. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted yesterday at 06:30 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:30 PM Just now, Typhoon Tip said: yeah, I see some boat missing by those making an "analysis" of these 12z guidance.... haha. The Euro was really close .. really really close to going bonkers with that Jan 15 thing, which was a massive step toward amplitude comparing the prior run. The CMC also moved significantly toward a deeper +PNA with coastal implications heavily flirted. I dunno. From this range? I call that plenty to look at. IMO, this is one of the best modeled looks we have had in several years. I really hate saying that because that's been said multiple times each of the last few winters but not only is there consensus in how the teleconnections trend and align but how they become structured. That period around Jan 15th...I find it extremely difficult to believe there would not be something around...unless we totally lose the look. But as long as we maintain this look I think we are going to have 2-3 storm threats within a 10 day period. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted yesterday at 06:30 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:30 PM 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: One is not like the other Yeah 2 different radar sites 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted yesterday at 06:30 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:30 PM 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: Record negative EPO is all I need to see. Expect an all time Arctic outbreak end of the month or start of Feb. Those -50 temps will be on the move. With the STJ increase its going to get very stormy. Look for our very climo big timer to occur between the 24th and 31st. Possibly finally an entire east coast mauler. 100% agreed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted yesterday at 06:34 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:34 PM 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Yeah 2 different radar sites Yesterday OKX had me dry while BOX showed what was actually occurring light to moderate snow burst. I am about equal distance from both radars. It happens Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted yesterday at 06:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:37 PM 21 minutes ago, weathafella said: I think when folks see totals in the 60s while BOS is 110 they feel cheated. Oh western CT not all of CT like what was posted. Still epic depths all around. Coldest snowiest Feb ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted yesterday at 06:38 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:38 PM 2 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Yesterday OKX had me dry while BOX showed what was actually occurring light to moderate snow burst. I am about equal distance from both radars. It happens Guarantee he is getting virga. BOX is sampling his area at 5kft. ENX is 10kft. Won’t comment on your scenario, but wind under the beam can affect ground truth. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 06:39 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:39 PM 33 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Whiners in CT about 2015? 106 inches who is whining? Look at those max depths state wide. Only whiners are those who constantly think they should JP in areas that rarely Jackpot Ask the CT guys who brought it up. No one talked about JPs.....we were just discussing how none of us likely being left out of the focus area. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 06:42 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:42 PM 20 minutes ago, weatherwiz said: When you dig deeper into the model analysis it's a pretty encouraging look IMO and should have folks interests peaked. I get part of the "fun" is just whipping out SLP and snow maps to see something but you gotta look beyond those. Well, Paul....to be fair, many of us have been doing that for years now with little fanfare. ...so it's natural to want to wait until something makes at least into the medium range before giving it the time of day. I don't think anyone is debating the PNA spike in that time frame. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted yesterday at 06:42 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:42 PM 1 minute ago, dendrite said: Guarantee he is getting virga. BOX is sampling his area at 5kft. ENX is 10kft. Won’t comment on your scenario, but wind under the beam can affect ground truth. Yep agree. Often OKX is underrepresented here but is priceless watching echoes come off the south coast. I miss gravity waves. OKX has the best view of them. BOX and TBOX are beautiful to watch OES and seeder feeder bands. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted yesterday at 06:43 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:43 PM River East FTW that year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted yesterday at 06:43 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:43 PM temp above 32 for first time since 12/28. finally some ice melted off the driveway, but the shady part of it is going to need more than 33 degrees 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted yesterday at 06:45 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:45 PM 3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Ask the CT guys who brought it up. Dont paint an entire state under one umbrella. Like me saying all of Mass is bitching about Jan 05 when someone in a subbyhole only got a foot while the Cape had 3 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted yesterday at 06:45 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:45 PM lol for the love of god, please verify 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
brooklynwx99 Posted yesterday at 06:46 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:46 PM also, more of a signal on the EPS for the 15th... makes sense with the PNA spike Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 06:47 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:47 PM 4 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Dont paint an entire state under one umbrella. Like me saying all of Mass is bitching about Jan 05 when someone in a subbyhole only got a foot while the Cape had 3 feet. Not sure who did that...I had 22". Sucks for them. But CT is where the two guys that responded to me were from, which is why I said "CT". No one ever explicitly claimed that the whole state got porked. This is the risk of jumping into dialogue after the fact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted yesterday at 06:47 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:47 PM 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: River East FTW that year Is it too much to think we are on the cusp of a record 2011 like run in a few weeks? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 06:51 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:51 PM 5 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said: lol for the love of god, please verify I would prefer that verify with SE heights a hair more subdued. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted yesterday at 06:53 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:53 PM 6 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Is it too much to think we are on the cusp of a record 2011 like run in a few weeks? Probably 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted yesterday at 06:55 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:55 PM 9 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Well, Paul....to be fair, many of us have been doing that for years now with little fanfare. ...so it's natural to want to wait until something makes at least into the medium range before giving it the time of day. I don't think anyone is debating the PNA spike in that time frame. I'm talking more about saying an upcoming stretch looks boring or quiet or writing off an upcoming stretch just because a storm isn't popping up on guidance. I would definitely wait until we're closer to get super excited and hopeful, but right now we stand in a good spot...much better than looking at a ridge in the east 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 06:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:56 PM 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Probably As much as I don't feel February will behave like a traditional La Nina....I don't think we have ever had a truly high-end run during the month of February in a cool ENSO....January and March, sure... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted yesterday at 06:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:56 PM 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Probably I don't know but even so I am having my other Knee replaced the 13th so it's a lock we get smoked when I can't play in it. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 06:56 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:56 PM Just now, weatherwiz said: I'm talking more about saying an upcoming stretch looks boring or quiet or writing off an upcoming stretch just because a storm isn't popping up on guidance. I would definitely wait until we're closer to get super excited and hopeful, but right now we stand in a good spot...much better than looking at a ridge in the east Oh, absolutely...yea. I just think people are bruised, battered and gun-shy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted yesterday at 06:57 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:57 PM Just now, Ginx snewx said: I don't know but even so I am having my other Knee replaced the 13th so it's a lock we get smoked when I can't play in it. Speedy recovery, bud...you are one tough SOB. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted yesterday at 06:59 PM Share Posted yesterday at 06:59 PM 1 minute ago, Ginx snewx said: I don't know but even so I am having my other Knee replaced the 13th so it's a lock we get smoked when I can't play in it. Good luck on the knee Steve! At this rate you’ll ski next season. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted yesterday at 07:00 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:00 PM 2 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said: Oh, absolutely...yea. I just think people are bruised, battered and gun-shy. At least with nothing modeled we don't have to endure D10+ snowfall maps from 750 different models after every run 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted yesterday at 07:00 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:00 PM Just now, 40/70 Benchmark said: Speedy recovery, bud...you are one tough SOB. Had nerve block yesterday. Actually last knee was easy. Bionic man now so much hardware the body scan at the airport goes crazy. Two knees a shoulder an ankle and 4 rods in the back 6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted yesterday at 07:01 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:01 PM 13 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said: Is it too much to think we are on the cusp of a record 2011 like run in a few weeks? I don’t see that. I’m not very optimistic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted yesterday at 07:02 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:02 PM 1 minute ago, weathafella said: Good luck on the knee Steve! At this rate you’ll ski next season. Unfortunately with the risk of paralysis from a fall with my back I can't take that risk. Believe me that hurts more than any surgery 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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