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January 2026 Short/Medium Range Thread


John1122
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1 minute ago, *Flash* said:

The hesitancy of NWS-Nashville and NashSevereWx...I don't get it. Their downplaying of the weekend event is irking me. 

They both sit on these things until it's obvious. I kind of get NashSevereWX's hesitancy as they are entirely social media based and crowd-funded, and when stuff doesn't go to forecast, they get absolutely hammered. 

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4 hours ago, John1122 said:

It was a ton of ice along the 40 corridor, I remember Crossville was devastated. I got several inches of sleet and snow. (It may have been a different year but I think it was 2010)

The terrible Crossville Ice Storm was 2/21/15.

January 29-30, 2010 Crossville got a decent bit of ice (due to a warm nose) on top of about 5-6" of snow, but nothing at all like 2015.

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I like seeing which models sniffed this out at range.  This forum had this window from way out there.  Just looking at some posts(Jed and Jax go pick up your long ranger awards).  The hapless and much maligned and lowly GFS nailed this window at full range(pretty sure 384!), including the big high.   Ensembles from all models also hit this at almost d15.  The GFS has historically had some skill(or is it a broke clock is right 2x a day) at d16.  Pretty incredible for a that model or any model.  Honestly, I am intrigued that it was able to due that given its struggles this winter.  

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