dmillz25 Posted Saturday at 11:31 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:31 PM 12 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said: Please elaborate? The lol wasn’t enough to say I was joking? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2025 Posted Saturday at 11:38 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:38 PM what does the euro show Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Saturday at 11:42 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:42 PM 4 minutes ago, WeatherGeek2025 said: what does the euro show 1 to 2" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted Saturday at 11:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:48 PM 14 minutes ago, dmillz25 said: The lol wasn’t enough to say I was joking? Lol! Gotcha. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
the_other_guy Posted Saturday at 11:48 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:48 PM Are we really talking about a 4 inch snowstorm in NYC metro off a warm front with marginal cold to start? Hey, I hope it works! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted Saturday at 11:56 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:56 PM 6 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: Are we really talking about a 4 inch snowstorm in NYC metro off a warm front with marginal cold to start? Hey, I hope it works! If the snow/overrunning move in quickly while the cold air is still in place it can work. If it delays and the cold air moves out, it won’t. We’ve seen this game before. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Saturday at 11:56 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:56 PM 6 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: Are we really talking about a 4 inch snowstorm in NYC metro off a warm front with marginal cold to start? Hey, I hope it works! No one is Coating to 2 inches possible , higher end if the southern trend continue. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted Saturday at 11:56 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:56 PM Just now, jm1220 said: If the snow/overrunning move in quickly while the cold air is still in place it can work. If it delays and the cold air moves out, it won’t. We’ve seen this game before. Its not a strong low . Its a shredded low with blocking . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted Saturday at 11:56 PM Share Posted Saturday at 11:56 PM 7 minutes ago, the_other_guy said: Are we really talking about a 4 inch snowstorm in NYC metro off a warm front with marginal cold to start? Hey, I hope it works! No more marginal than last week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 12:01 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:01 AM 4 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said: No more marginal than last week This is why I think mostly accumulations for the city on colder surfaces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 12:17 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:17 AM 1 minute ago, NEG NAO said: I wouldn't be throwing around limited numbers now - we were doing that 60 hours prior to last weekends storm and it over performed - leave all options open this far out......... Last airmass was colder than this one . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted yesterday at 12:21 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:21 AM 6 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Last airmass was colder than this one . not according to SnowGoose - he wrote previously-- "The airmass believe it or not is better than it was with the last event. At least to start. Its 32/13 on the NAM at 12Z. The bigger risk with this is it just is largely too far north in the end." 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North and West Posted yesterday at 12:30 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:30 AM Huh? The link to the NWS blend of models is the TOTAL snowfall out to 89 hours, which is Wednesday. Look at what it’s showing…that’s now till Wednesday, total. And the GEFS is in complete disagreement with its own operational run, that is fact and it’s a red flagyou guys are spending Christmas together, aren’t you. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted yesterday at 12:38 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:38 AM 42 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Its not a strong low . Its a shredded low with blocking . I’m in Austin currently and flying back on Tuesday so part of me doesn’t want this to happen, but if it does and we can secure the White Christmas great. Somehow through a miracle my flight took off yesterday even though the first 15 minutes were pretty white knuckle. Wearing shorts and temp around 70, 70s expected for the rest of my time here. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 12:49 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:49 AM 10 minutes ago, jm1220 said: I’m in Austin currently and flying back on Tuesday so part of me doesn’t want this to happen, but if it does and we can secure the White Christmas great. Somehow through a miracle my flight took off yesterday even though the first 15 minutes were pretty white knuckle. Wearing shorts and temp around 70, 70s expected for the rest of my time here. I dont think it will . We shall see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted yesterday at 12:55 AM Share Posted yesterday at 12:55 AM 5 minutes ago, MJO812 said: I dont think it will . We shall see. It’ll delay my flight back somehow so it’s guaranteed to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sussexcountyobs Posted yesterday at 01:20 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:20 AM 22 minutes ago, jm1220 said: It’ll delay my flight back somehow so it’s guaranteed to happen. 22 minutes ago, jm1220 said: It’ll delay my flight back somehow so it’s guaranteed to happen. Weather is always the airlines excuse. It's in most cases not the weather. It's because they suck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted yesterday at 01:21 AM Share Posted yesterday at 01:21 AM 1 minute ago, sussexcountyobs said: Weather is always the airlines excuse. It's in most cases not the weather. It's because they suck. We took off yesterday afternoon so not always. Any snow threat always seems to do it though. I thought for sure I’d be delayed by a ton or canceled. Had a couple screams on the plane on the way out of JFK. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 02:34 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:34 AM Nam shifted north Nothing for NYC 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 02:47 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:47 AM 0z fv3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted yesterday at 02:55 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:55 AM 20 minutes ago, MJO812 said: Nam shifted north Nothing for NYC Well I think we’re in a very sensitive spot. If it shifts too far north then it’s just rain showers. If it shifts too far south then it’ll probably get shredded even more. Not sure the cards are there for us for this one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 02:56 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:56 AM Just now, Krs4Lfe said: Well I think we’re in a very sensitive spot. If it shifts too far north then it’s just rain showers. If it shifts too far south then it’ll probably get shredded even more. Not sure the cards are there for us for this one Broken record Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CPcantmeasuresnow Posted yesterday at 03:18 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:18 AM 1 hour ago, jm1220 said: We took off yesterday afternoon so not always. Any snow threat always seems to do it though. I thought for sure I’d be delayed by a ton or canceled. Had a couple screams on the plane on the way out of JFK. What was the issue? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 03:25 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:25 AM RRFS 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wishcast_hater Posted yesterday at 03:25 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:25 AM Broken recordBlock this guy. I did last year, the only time I see his post is when someone quotes it. . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 03:27 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:27 AM 2 minutes ago, MJO812 said: RRFS All models have shifted north. I like a dusting to an inch for NYC 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Krs4Lfe Posted yesterday at 03:29 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:29 AM 1 minute ago, MJO812 said: All models have shifted north. I like a dusting to an inch for NYC I would assume it would have to be moving pretty quickly in order for accumulations to be that low ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 03:37 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:37 AM 8 minutes ago, Krs4Lfe said: I would assume it would have to be moving pretty quickly in order for accumulations to be that low ? Light precip Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted yesterday at 04:05 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:05 AM Then there's the gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted yesterday at 05:35 AM Share Posted yesterday at 05:35 AM Gfs went south and euro went north Goodnight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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