E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion

[RedSky]

I think a decent enough thaw period works in the third week of February before cold reloads

 

[Ralph Wiggum]

Drought guy is going to end up with a 3-week out Nostradamus-type snowstorm call for the burbs next weekend. Now the euro has it too.

[Ralph Wiggum]

Will the folks who stated winter is over (in the midst of the coldest outbreak in decades mind you), please raise your hands and immediately go to the back of the class. 

[Voyager]

14 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Unfortunately yes

3 polar vortex disrupting CME's in November, December and start of February with one of the top active ending solar cycles since the Carrington event. This could be a one in 500 year or more occurrence. Historic stuff studies will be done.

 

 

How does all this correlate to sensible weather?

[JTA66]

1 hour ago, Mikeymac5306 said:

Never! I will take 100-degree weather over this any day! Even fighting fire. 

Not being a firefighter, I will take your word for it.

I’m just a cold weather person. If I had my way, the temp would never get above 64F and the dews never out of the 50’s.

So jealous seeing old people walking around in sweaters in August while we’re under excessive heat warnings. Another reason I’m looking forward to becoming a cranky old man. 

[JTA66]

33 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Unfortunately yes

3 polar vortex disrupting CME's in November, December and start of February with one of the top active ending solar cycles since the Carrington event. This could be a one in 500 year or more occurrence. Historic stuff studies will be done.

 

 

How much for Philly?

[Birds~69]

20 minutes ago, Voyager said:

How does all this correlate to sensible weather?

Hopefully it means a continued cold winter which will extend well into late Spring followed by double digit below normal temps during Summer with clouds and rain most of time...

14f

[Duca892]

Just checking GFS 12Z back on for next week??

[RedSky]

44 minutes ago, Voyager said:

How does all this correlate to sensible weather?

Mostly below normal, would be surprised if at least one more PV intrusion doesn't take place

[MJO812]

1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said:

Drought guy is going to end up with a 3-week out Nostradamus-type snowstorm call for the burbs next weekend. Now the euro has it too.

Eps on board

[Voyager]

24 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Mostly below normal, would be surprised if at least one more PV intrusion doesn't take place

Good God. I really need to move somewhere permanently warm. I can somewhat take an average winter. This I simply cannot.

[Voyager]

34 minutes ago, RedSky said:

Mostly below normal, would be surprised if at least one more PV intrusion doesn't take place

Actually, I appreciate your honest response, but it just ruined my birthday, and yes, I might need some mental help soon. I could have stayed in Arizona after my mom passed, in a beautiful ranch duplex, in a suburb of Phoenix, but I've been told over and over by the wife that if I did that, our marriage would be over. So I sold, and back to PA I came. And now look at me. A borderline ranting lunatic because of the excessive cold, which I hate with an unbridled passion.

Like I said, I can handle normal eastern PA winters, with cold periods interrupted by moderations and thaws. This I can't. 

[PhiEaglesfan712]

2 hours ago, Voyager said:

How does all this correlate to sensible weather?

Don't listen to them. When people say that the cold will never end, you know the opposite is going to happen, and cold pattern is nearing this end. Look at what happened when people on AccuWeather, in early March 2015, were saying that April and May 2015 will be colder. April ended up above average, and May was at or near record warmth.

Expect March to finish with above average temperatures, and April to be a Top 10 warmest month.

The only way for the cold pattern to continue is if the sun is replaced with a smaller star. (Not going to happen.)