Heisy Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 I totally agree, verbatim we're looking at HECS outputs from the Euro. I'm not biting yet though, will wait until Thursday 0z for full confidence, and even then there will be shifts in directions that screw New England, or screw the Mid-Atlantic, or screw somebody. I do think a super tucked solution will favor Central PA more where they get a CCB and SE PA might dry slot. But then again, it depends on the exact passage of the 700 and 850mb lows.100% agree, for the city more worried of a tucked solution vs a miss. We shall see! Exciting times . 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 It’ll be 2010 all over again if this happens, I know most places only got under a foot but the snow piles this morning are already something else. With little melting this week, where the fuck would 20” of snow even go? Yeesh. but man would that be an EPIC storm to experience. Keep expectations low as we saw how much changes even inside day 4, but I don’t know how any self proclaimed weenie can look at that euro run and not feel a little tingle. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just for fun before we turn to the 12z runs, end of the Euro had 16-18" of snow fall in 6 hours across Central Jersey. And the storm was just getting started. 1 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Here I am... like groundhogs day.... on TT looking at the colors waiting for frames to load Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 9 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Here I am... like groundhogs day.... on TT looking at the colors waiting for frames to load Albedo man says-- Ain't going to do jack shit - pessimistic attitude gotta love it? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Think 12z GFS is closer, but don't think it is going to do it based off of Frame 150 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 2 minutes ago, Duca892 said: Think 12z GFS is closer, but don't think it is going to do it based off of Frame 150 It's exactly where we want it to be at this point imo. Comes together slightly too late for us but I'm encouraged that it's another model that has jumped on the idea of being an intense low off the east coast next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 yea about the same after hour 150 to 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Just now, The Iceman said: It's exactly where we want it to be at this point imo. Comes together slightly too late for us but I'm encouraged that it's another model that has jumped on the idea of being an intense low off the east coast next weekend. Agreed 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 From MA forums. CMC with steps toward EURO. Ladies and Gents. Long week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 GFS is exactly where you want it. CMC is just incredible. A 955mb bomb on the benchmark. Sure verbatim its a tad east for some, but look at the trends... this one isn't done correcting yet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 26 Author Share Posted January 26 And here we go again! I’m not tired yet!!! (Although I’d like this to hold off till later Saturday evening since I have to drive back from State College that day.) 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Albedoman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 4 minutes ago, LVblizzard said: And here we go again! I’m not tired yet!!! (Although I’d like this to hold off till later Saturday evening since I have to drive back from State College that day.) the most appropriate video clip for all of us right now----rolling rolling keep those doggies coming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 14 minutes ago, Newman said: GFS is exactly where you want it. CMC is just incredible. A 955mb bomb on the benchmark. Sure verbatim its a tad east for some, but look at the trends... this one isn't done correcting yet. The high pressure center keeps shifting west majorly. ... also GFS and the NAM show some squalls/disorganized clipper like features Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 20 minutes ago, Newman said: GFS is exactly where you want it. CMC is just incredible. A 955mb bomb on the benchmark. Sure verbatim it’s a tad east for some, but look at the trends... this one isn't done correcting yet. Wouldn’t it draw in warm air if the LP deepens too much? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Duca892 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 GFS ENS were posted in the MA forums definitely an improvement over 6z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Zeus Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 GEFS backing that wagon up on the 12z run. Like the look for now, considering how far out we are in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 963 at the benchmark . I’m with Heisy, I think I'm more concerned with a super tucked solution than a miss east at this point. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 6 minutes ago, Zeus said: GEFS backing that wagon up on the 12z run. Like the look for now, considering how far out we are in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 26 Author Share Posted January 26 At this point we want the GEFS to be a miss to the east. 9 times out of 10 the GFS and its ensembles are the last ones to catch on with a storm like this. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 12 minutes ago, The Iceman said: 963 at the benchmark . I’m with Heisy, I think I'm more concerned with a super tucked solution than a miss east at this point. Flush! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVLion77 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 So this looking like a classic Miller A, correct? The Miller A’s are easier to forecast and conceptualize. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 minute ago, LVLion77 said: So this looking like a classic Miller A, correct? The Miller A’s are easier to forecast and conceptualize. Miller A bomb Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 EURO AI wayyyyy east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 sounding like congrats Virginia Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVLion77 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 Miller A bomb Excellent, yeah, the B’s have so many moving components, especially the handoff between the primary and the new coastal that it makes it so difficult. Although we certainly have cashed in with both over the years, and have had much heartbreak with both! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 ECM OP east this run like the Ai skynet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MickeyTim6533 Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 euro east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 1 hour ago, LVblizzard said: And here we go again! I’m not tired yet!!! (Although I’d like this to hold off till later Saturday evening since I have to drive back from State College that day.) Same, although we were planning to stay Saturday night. Going to hockey game at stadium..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 26 Share Posted January 26 4 minutes ago, MickeyTim6533 said: euro east right where we want it at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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