Mikeymac5306 Posted yesterday at 12:04 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:04 PM Little eye candy to look at on the 6z run. Euro and CMC have it still missing the phase. Followed up by a glancing shot in fantasy land. At least it's something to look at no? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted yesterday at 12:09 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:09 PM It was soup out there although it has now suddenly mostly lifted IMBY within the past half hour or so. My earlier vis. had to be no more than about 100 ft several hours ago. Made it up to 42 yesterday after a 29 low, and am currently at 39, after a low so far of 37. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hurricane Agnes Posted yesterday at 12:13 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:13 PM 8 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Little eye candy to look at on the 6z run. Euro and CMC have it weaker and earlier than this. Followed up by a glancing shot in fantasy land. At least it's something to look at no? Looking at where that 0C line is set up N/W of Philly metro. "Traditionally", there has been some "event" around mid-January, around MLK day, so will see which way the temps go when we get there! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted yesterday at 01:10 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:10 PM 55 minutes ago, Hurricane Agnes said: Looking at where that 0C line is set up N/W of Philly metro. "Traditionally", there has been some "event" around mid-January, around MLK day, so will see which way the temps go when we get there! Yeah seems like every year there's something brewing around MLK Day and about 50% of the time it verifies! In other news. Looks like another rainy Eagles game Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted yesterday at 01:37 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:37 PM 26 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Yeah seems like every year there's something brewing around MLK Day and about 50% of the time it verifies! In other news. Looks like another rainy Eagles game Sunday. Suspect the rain will exit stage right well before kick off - bigger deal IMO will be the wind.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted yesterday at 01:41 PM Share Posted yesterday at 01:41 PM A nice January thaw day on the way although a bit breezy with highs well into the 40's. Even better weather tomorrow with sun and less wind. Shower chances increase Friday and into Saturday which will mark the end of our very brief milder period. We turn back to colder during the day Sunday and we should see normal January temperatures returning for much of next week. We may also start to see some potential for more wintry weather as we move toward the end of next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted yesterday at 04:32 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:32 PM 4 hours ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Little eye candy to look at on the 6z run. Euro and CMC have it still missing the phase. Followed up by a glancing shot in fantasy land. At least it's something to look at no? ...aaaaaaaaannnnd poof! She gone! LOL! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted yesterday at 05:28 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:28 PM 5 hours ago, Mikeymac5306 said: Little eye candy to look at on the 6z run. Euro and CMC have it still missing the phase. Followed up by a glancing shot in fantasy land. At least it's something to look at no? Remember Remember the Wiggum Rule. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted yesterday at 06:49 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 06:49 PM Booked a ski trip to Vermont after MLK Day so expect an I-95 special around 1/20-1/23. That’s how it works, right? 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soadforecasterx Posted 23 hours ago Share Posted 23 hours ago Sounds about right, I also planned a trip with the wife to the Poconos. So I-95 is going to get crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 6 hours ago, zenmsav6810 said: Remember Remember the Wiggum Rule. If we can touch 60F, we ride. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago 12 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: If we can touch 60F, we ride. Does the Wiggum rule require that reading at PHL airport? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 7 hours ago Share Posted 7 hours ago Some large temperature spreads this morning across the area with lower valley locations like Warwick Township with a low at 25.8 degrees while higher spots like here in East Nantmeal could go no lower than 35.7 degrees. Our mild weather continues through Saturday before we turn back to temperatures not too far either side of average for January by Sunday and through much of next week. We have rain chances increasing by later tomorrow and lasting till toward midnight on Saturday night. This could be one of our more significant rain events in the last few months with some models hinting at over an inch of rain. Looking further ahead it appears likely we turn significantly colder by next weekend but at this point no significant winter events are on the horizon. For those on Team No Snow fingers crossed it stays that way! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 6 hours ago Share Posted 6 hours ago 1 hour ago, ChescoWx said: Does the Wiggum rule require that reading at PHL airport? Usually works for respective reporting stations in SE PA. Worked in my studies for kdyl and kphl, cannot confirm other reporting stations. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago FWIW ICON has the storm next Friday. GFS has it in the Outer Banks. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JTA66 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 28 minutes ago, Mikeymac5306 said: FWIW ICON has the storm next Friday. GFS has it in the Outer Banks. No point over analyzing anything beyond day 5. But it is a Nina and I suspect at some point the Outer Banks up to VA Beach will get smacked while we enjoy cold cirrus. Let's save our sanity and accept that now. 50F at noon. Just sitting here being patient for the time being. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 7 minutes ago, JTA66 said: No point over analyzing anything beyond day 5. But it is a Nina and I suspect at some point the Outer Banks up to VA Beach will get smacked while we enjoy cold cirrus. Let's save our sanity and accept that now. 50F at noon. Just sitting here being patient for the time being. Of course! Nothing to get giddy about unless it's inside 5 days. Right now, it's just fun to look at during a slow day at work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zenmsav6810 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 16 hours ago, Ralph Wiggum said: If we can touch 60F, we ride. Seems like a fringe case. I'm not sure if we'll make the threshold. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago GFS was actually a weenie run. Snow on snow on snow after the 14th. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Iceman Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago I'll take this look any day, progressive for sure but we will not be lacking for cold. Mid month onwards is looking great and honestly getting better as we get closer in time. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/gfs-ens/2026010812/gfs-ens_z500a_namer_41.png gets even better imo after that but that's fantasy land. 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhiEaglesfan712 Posted 1 hour ago Share Posted 1 hour ago For the first time since November, I'm using my fan. I can feel it getting warmer... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 53 minutes ago Share Posted 53 minutes ago Some folks had asked me to perform an analysis of both the Winter and Summer Average Temperature by Complete Decades for just here in Chester County from the 1900's thru the 2010's. You will see the very cyclical nature of our warming and cooling patterns. Overall, we have seen some slight warming of winters and conversely some cooling of our summers across Chester County PA. The warmest decade for both summers and winters was way back in the 1930's. Of note so far here in the partial decade of the 2020's we are so far running as the warmest winter decade since the 1930's!! However, last winter was the coldest winter in 10 years and we are off to a colder than normal start to this winter so we will wait and see if this is the start of the next cooling trend across the County. These are also updated on the http://www.chescowx.com website. Let me know if you have any questions. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mikeymac5306 Posted 35 minutes ago Share Posted 35 minutes ago 1 hour ago, Ralph Wiggum said: GFS was actually a weenie run. Snow on snow on snow after the 14th. All the major models have the storm on the 15-16th plus a follow up storm on the 18-19th. Plenty of time to dial them in and get to fantasy land later on. Point is we have something to track! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted 30 minutes ago Share Posted 30 minutes ago 21 minutes ago, ChescoWx said: Some folks had asked me to perform an analysis of both the Winter and Summer Average Temperature by Complete Decades for just here in Chester County from the 1900's thru the 2010's. You will see the very cyclical nature of our warming and cooling patterns. Overall, we have seen some slight warming of winters and conversely some cooling of our summers across Chester County PA. The warmest decade for both summers and winters was way back in the 1930's. Of note so far here in the partial decade of the 2020's we are so far running as the warmest winter decade since the 1930's!! However, last winter was the coldest winter in 10 years and we are off to a colder than normal start to this winter so we will wait and see if this is the start of the next cooling trend across the County. These are also updated on the http://www.chescowx.com website. Let me know if you have any questions. It’s amazing to understand the incredible amount of variables that go into temperatures over time. There are many variables!!! Thanks for taking the time to compile the data this is close enough to me to just add a degree of two in my location. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 23 minutes ago Share Posted 23 minutes ago 5 minutes ago, Kevin Reilly said: It’s amazing to understand the incredible amount of variables that go into temperatures over time. There are many variables!!! Thanks for taking the time to compile the data this is close enough to me to just add a degree of two in my location. Thanks Kevin! it's my original training and early career as an accountant that makes me like to play with numbers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Birds~69 Posted 23 minutes ago Share Posted 23 minutes ago 51F/Looks like we may not go below freezing tonight... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted 12 minutes ago Share Posted 12 minutes ago 9 minutes ago, Birds~69 said: 51F/Looks like we may not go below freezing tonight... Have not hit freezing here the last 2 nights- tonight will be our 3rd straight.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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