Nov 28-30th Post Turkey Day Wintry Potential

[sbnwx85]

Last hour of the HRRR plus kuchera amounts. It’s making me a little nervous seeing how far north that warm air is budging in… and a potential dry slot.

[Baum]

^ somewhat expected. - perLOT AFD
 

THE INCREASINGLY FAVORED TRACK OF THE SURFACE LOW FROM WEST-   CENTRAL ILLINOIS TO FAR SOUTHERN LAKE MICHIGAN LATE SATURDAY   AFTERNOON AND NIGHT INDICATES THAT SNOWFALL QUALITY WILL   DIMINISH THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS AS LOW-LEVEL WARMING OCCURS   BELOW AN APPROACHING MID-LEVEL DRY SLOT. IT IS POSSIBLE THAT   AREAS EAST OF I-57 MIX WITH OR EVEN BRIEFLY CHANGE OVER TO   DRIZZLE DURING THE EVENING. THE BACK EDGE OF THE SYSTEM WILL   THEN DEPART LATE SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY MORNING, ENDING   THE BROADER SYNOPTIC PRECIP POTENTIAL.  

[Sciascia]

Operational NAM cooking up another weenie run, especially for E IA/NW IL/SW WI. Hi-res NAM still high but a couple inches lesser.

[SchaumburgStormer]

6 minutes ago, Sciascia said:

NAM cooking up another weenie run, especially for E IA/NW IL/SW WI

Widespread 10-12+. Would be fun