MJO812 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 29 minutes ago, Sundog said: It looks like models have generally below normal temps in the east for the remainder of the month. And to start November. Good coastal signal showing up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 31 minutes ago, Sundog said: It looks like models have generally below normal temps in the east for the remainder of the month. Good call from back on October 14 by yourself. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago 35 minutes ago, Sundog said: It looks like models have generally below normal temps in the east for the remainder of the month. Strong blocking regimes often result in cooler than normal conditions, even at this time of year when wave lengths are shorter. The strongly negative NAO is having an influence. The NAO has now been at or below -1.000 for six consecutive days and is forecast to remain between -2.000 and -1.000 through the rest of the month. Select Mean Temperature Data for October 22-31, 1980-2024: NAO -2.000 to -1.000: 51.0° All Other Cases: 55.0° 1980-2024 Mean: 54.3° 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Just a little below average for this time of year since the Northern Hemisphere is so warm. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 5 hours ago Share Posted 5 hours ago Having my solar panels installed today. Snuck them on before the tax credits expire. Hoping for lots of sun going forward… Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 18 minutes ago, psv88 said: Having my solar panels installed today. Snuck them on before the tax credits expire. Hoping for lots of sun going forward… Do you get to report your monthly output for SREC $? My SREC $ runs out in 2.5 years, but was able to get them for 15 years. Depending on the value, I typically get back around $4k per year besides not paying a bill. I think that has changed a bit since 2013 though. Also, get a squirrel guard if you haven't already done so! I see NJ now has this. I guess I was in the old program because I get around $180 per SREC. SREC-II is the current program: New Jersey's SREC-II program offers a fixed incentive of $85 per SREC for 15 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 6 minutes ago, FPizz said: Do you get to report your monthly output for SREC $? My SREC $ runs out in 2.5 years, but was able to get them for 15 years. Depending on the value, I typically get back around $4k per year besides not paying a bill. I think that has changed a bit since 2013 though. Also, get a squirrel guard if you haven't already done so! I see NJ now has this. I guess I was in the old program because I get around $180 per SREC. SREC-II is the current program: New Jersey's SREC-II program offers a fixed incentive of $85 per SREC for 15 years. I have no idea lol. I guess I’ll find out. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FPizz Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Just now, psv88 said: I have no idea lol. I guess I’ll find out. Looks like no for NY, that stinks. I've had panels for 9 years since I moved into my house if you have any questions. I'm sure you studied up though. A current market: New York does not have an active SREC market for solar owners to sell certificates to utilities to meet state-mandated solar requirements. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 4 minutes ago, FPizz said: Looks like no for NY, that stinks. I've had panels for 9 years since I moved into my house if you have any questions. I'm sure you studied up though. A current market: New York does not have an active SREC market for solar owners to sell certificates to utilities to meet state-mandated solar requirements. Thanks. We do have the net metering which will be nice. Also the tax credit for putting on my new roof this year will be big 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 59 / 38 partly cloudy. Looking dry till Sunday then deal with cutoff/ trough and coastal 10/28 - 11/3 period as discussed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Records: Highs: EWR: 87 (1947) NYC: 85 (1947) LGA: 86 (1947) JFK: 77 (1978) Lows: EWR: 30 (1997) NYC: 32 (1969) LGA: 32 (1969) JFK: 33 (1969) Historical: 1761 - A hurricane struck southeastern New England. It was the most violent in thirty years. Thousands of trees blocked roads in Massachsuetts and Rhode Island. (David Ludlum) 1843 - "Indian Summer" was routed by cold and snow that brought sleighing from the Poconos to Vermont. A foot of snow blanketed Haverhill NH and Newberry VT, and 18 to 24 inches were reported in some of the higher elevations. Snow stayed on the ground until the next spring. (22nd-23rd) (Sandra and TI Richard Sanders - 1987) (The Weather Channel) 1878: One of the most severe hurricanes to affect eastern Virginia in the latter half of the 19th century struck on October 23, 1878. This storm moved rapidly northward from the Bahamas on October 22nd and hit the North Carolina coast late that same day moving at a forward speed of 40 to 50 mph. The storm continued northward passing through east central Virginia, Maryland and eastern Pennsylvania. The barometric pressure fell to 28.78". The five minute sustained wind reached 84 mph at Cape Henry. During the heaviest part of the gale, the wind at Kitty Hawk, North Carolina registered 100 mph. The instrument itself has finally blown away and therefore no further record was made. 1920: Famed research meteorologist Theodore Fujita, was born on this date in Kitakyushu City, Japan. Fujita, known as "Mr. Tornado" after developing the international standard for measuring tornado severity, also discovered microbursts. 1947: Fish fell from the sky in Marksville, LA. Thousands of fish fell from the sky in an area 1,000 feet long by 80 feet wide possibly due to a waterspout. 1969: Boston, Massachusetts had a high temperature of 38 °F the coldest high temperature for October. (Ref. NOAA Boston Weather Events) 1987 - Thirteen cities in the southeastern U.S. reported record low temperatures for the date. It marked the sixth record low of the month for Greer SC and Columbia SC, and the ninth of the month for Montgomery AL. Showers and thunderstorms deluged Corpus Christi TX with five inches of rain. Winnemucca NV reported their first measurable rain in ninety-two days, while Yakima WA reported a record 96 days in a row without measurable rainfall. (Storm Data) (The National Weather Summary) 1988 - Denver, CO, reported their first freeze of the autumn, and Chicago, IL, reported their first snow. In Texas, afternoon highs of 93 degrees at Austin and San Antonio were records for the date. (The National Weather Summary) 1989 - A storm moving out of the Gulf of Alaska brought rain and high winds to the Central Pacific Coast Region. High winds in Nevada gusted to 67 mph at Reno, and thunderstorms around Redding CA produced wind gusts to 66 mph. Locally heavy rains in the San Francisco area caused numerous mudslides, adding insult to injury for earthquake victims. (The National Weather Summary) (Storm Data) 1997: Freeze 30°F killed tomatoes in Annandale, VA the earliest since 1992. (Ref. Annandale Weather Records) 2003: Arizona: Phoenix sets a record high and also breaks the record for the latest date for a triple-digit temperature as the temperature soars to 100 °F. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2005: Hurricane Wilma produced high winds pushing a high storm surge that breached a wide stretch of Havana, Cuba's seawall flooding area neighborhoods, spreading up to four blocks inland. (Ref. Wilson Weather History) 2007: Northern Louisiana: Cold air descends over northern Louisiana setting daily low maximum temperature records. El Dorado only reaches a high of only 52°F and Monroe, 54°F. (Ref. WxDoctor) 2015: On this day, Hurricane Patricia became the most powerful tropical cyclone ever measured in the Western Hemisphere as its maximum sustained winds reached an unprecedented 200 mph (320 kph) and its central pressure fell to 879 millibars (25.96 inches of mercury). Hurricane Patricia became the strongest Pacific hurricane on record shortly after midnight CDT early on Oct. 23. Air Force Hurricane Hunters had flown through the eye of Patricia and reported a sea-level pressure of 894 millibars as measured by a dropsonde inside the eye itself. Wind measurements suggested that the pressure measurement was not in the exact center of the eye and was probably not the absolute lowest pressure, prompting NHC to estimate the minimum central pressure at 892 millibars in its special 12:30 a.m. CDT advisory. Tropical cyclone strength comparisons are typically based on minimum central pressure. At 892 millibars, Patricia shattered the Eastern Pacific basin's previous record of 902 millibars set by Hurricane Linda in 1997. While a number of typhoons in the western North Pacific have been stronger, Patricia is now by far the strongest hurricane on record in any basin where the term "hurricane" applies to tropical cyclones – namely, the central and eastern North Pacific basins and the North Atlantic basin, which includes the North Atlantic Ocean itself plus the Gulf of Mexico and Caribbean Sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wdrag Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago Good afternoon everyone, Self - caution. Use your own interp. Some time before any thread on a possible (in my mind probable) 1-3" rain event with a brief period of power outage fully leafed tree power outages on the coast and even isolated slight R# eddy transfer 40-45 MPH gusts inland beneath the potential 850 MB se 60 kt jet on the 30th. That rainfall if it occurs (it can still end up less than 1" for us with the bigger heavy rain in New England), will bring most if not all OKX climate sites close to normal monthly totals. So... another cycle or two of ensembles before committing. ECAI hopefully is on the right track as its been steadiest. Of interest is the 06z ECAI distant Melissa 850mb inflow feed but outlier long shot at this point. FOLLOW NHC. I plan to start the November thread sometime this weekend after a look see on how fast this Canadian block breaks down week two or beyond. A period of wet snow or snow shower-rain showers seems to be in the offing (suggestion via modeled by some ensembles) for I84 high terrain sometime the first 7 to 10 days of November due to the repeated digging of Canadian short waves. Waiting til the weekend to start November. 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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