2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread

[franklin NCwx]

7 minutes ago, Hvward said:

18z GFS drops the snow line around 50 miles or so.  Puts the NW mountains back in the snow game.

Im liking the later phase flatter solution.  Hopefully that continues. Be nice to be more sleet less ice

[Maggie Valley Steve]

1 minute ago, BretWx said:

IMO for our area an Ice Storm Warning should go up soon. FRAM ZR with the 18z GFS still showing .70in IMBY.

Warnings will go up tomorrow morning per GSP. Ice Storm Warning or Winter Storm Warning remains to be seen. I've got to say the GFS has led the way with the Storm in various ways. 

[Met1985]

Good trends for lights out fellas lol.

[franklin NCwx]

Just now, Met1985 said:

Good trends for lights out fellas lol.

If it keeps trending we can get that lead finger and get a few inches of snow on the ground.

[buckeyefan1]

Ya'll, I've been gone since late yesterday evening at the hospital in cae and I'm skeered to go into the storm thread 

[BretWx]

9 minutes ago, franklin NCwx said:

If it keeps trending we can get that lead finger and get a few inches of snow on the ground.

This would make it worse. At this point we need to be prepared,,, even a few days ago... for a possible severe ice storm... one we haven't seen in 20 years or so. 

Barely any snow is on the table at this point. It's coming down to ZR and SLEET. 

[buckeyefan1]

7 minutes ago, BretWx said:

This would make it worse. At this point we need to be prepared,,, even a few days ago... for a possible severe ice storm... one we haven't seen in 20 years or so. 

Barely any snow is on the table at this point. It's coming down to ZR and SLEET. 

All these model runs are not helping with my '02(03?) and '14 CAE ice ptsd. I absolutely LOVE a good sleet storm though

[franklin NCwx]

8 minutes ago, BretWx said:

This would make it worse. At this point we need to be prepared,,, even a few days ago... for a possible severe ice storm... one we haven't seen in 20 years or so. 

Barely any snow is on the table at this point. It's coming down to ZR and SLEET. 

It would mean less freezing rain, especially for your area. Im not talking a snowstorm.  If you get it to phase later and get an initial start as snow quickly followed by sleet before the freezing rain. Right now its very little sleet and too much freezing rain

[franklin NCwx]

1 minute ago, buckeyefan1 said:

All these model runs are not helping with my '02(03?) and '14 CAE ice ptsd. I absolutely LOVE a good sleet storm though

I would prefer sleet too!

[Als23]

2 hours ago, cold air aloft said:

Met and Steve, when is the last time y’all remember Haywood County having a major ice event, especially up through the Balsams?

In my recollection it’s been maybe 20 years or more. A very rare occurrence around these parts if that verified.

Can't remember last time Haywood had a bad ice storm. Even '02and'05 wasn't anything.  

[BretWx]

Ouch. 

[GoAPPS]

6 minutes ago, BretWx said:

Ouch. 

I’m guessing those lower totals in the southwest mountains are from the Euro amping the system so much that it changes over to just plain rain? Not complaining, if we’re not gonna get any snow, I’d rather it just be rain.