Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    18,124
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    happyclam13
    Newest Member
    happyclam13
    Joined

July 2025 Discussion-OBS - seasonable summer variability


wdrag
 Share

Recommended Posts

1 hour ago, steve392 said:

Leaving work saw what looked like a lone storm trying to build to my southeast. 

Over the Newton/Sparta area earlier, we had two distinct cloud formations that were trying to develop something.  I even ran through a brief shower just outside of Newton, heading towards Sparta around 4:45.  Just barley enough for one or two swipes with the windshield wipers.  There was a tiny blip on radar and the only one around for hundreds of miles.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Picard said:

Over the Newton/Sparta area earlier, we had two distinct cloud formations that were trying to develop something.  I even ran through a brief shower just outside of Newton, heading towards Sparta around 4:45.  Just barley enough for one or two swipes with the windshield wipers.  There was a tiny blip on radar and the only one around for hundreds of miles.

When saw this around 630pm I checked radar, nada. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Corona and Brownsville maxed out at 103°.

13th St./16th / Alphabet City 100 82 90 104 88 78 33 0.00 14
3:00pm
6
3:55pm
24.6
160 Ave. / Howard Beach 92 76 84 105 76 95 55 0.00      
28th St. / Chelsea 100 81 89 104 86 82 34 0.00 13
4:05pm
6
4:05pm
23.9
Astoria 100 79 90 105 79 85 32 0.00 10
6:30pm
3
6:40pm
20.7
Bensonhurst / Mapleton 97 79 88 106 79 87 42 0.00     23.9
Bronx Mesonet 99 77 88 101 77 84 32 0.00 15
2:35pm
8
12:00am
23.7
Brooklyn Mesonet 95 78 86 100 78 86 39 0.00 23
6:30pm
16
6:30pm
26.2
Brownsville 103 80 89 105 80 82 31 0.00      
Corona 103 80 90 109 80 83 30 0.00      
E 40th St. / Murray Hill 99 80 90 103 85 82 35 0.00      
East River at Alphabet City                      
Fresh Kills                
11:10am
11:10am
6.7
Glendale / Maspeth 100 80 90 105 80 82 34 0.00      
Gold Street / Navy Yard 99 80 89 104 80 83 34 0.00 16
5:30pm
6
3:15pm
25.4
Lefferts / South Ozone Park 96 77 86 107 77 89 47 0.00      
Manhattan Mesonet 96 79 88 100 79 80 36 0.00 15
2:00pm
9
2:00pm
26.2
Newtown / Long Island City 100 82 90 104 87 77 32 0.00 14
5:45pm
8
4:55pm
25.2
Queens Mesonet 96 78 86 101 78 84 38 0.00 24
5:25pm
17
6:00pm
24.1
Queensbridge / Dutch Kills 102 82 91 105 88 77 32 0.00     22.8
Staten Island Mesonet 98 74 87 101 74 95 33 0.00 16
2:15pm
10
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks like another 100° for Newark today holding in 3rd place behind  1993 and 1949.

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec Most 100° Days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1993 9 0
2 1949 8 0
3 2025 6 155
- 2022 6 0
- 1953 6 0
4 1988 5 0
- 1966 5 0
5 2011 4 0
- 2010 4 0
- 1955 4 0
- 1944 4 0
Link to comment
Share on other sites

13 hours ago, ag3 said:


LOL at Manhattan. Manhattan is the hottest borough. Likely hit 102 there.

ps I don't consider heat historic unless it hits 100 everywhere (including coastal areas).

It's like with HECS, I don't consider March 1993 on the same level as January 1996 (I don't really care how much snow the South or the Mountains got-- it's supposed to snow there.)

It looks we can hit 100 today as it's already in the low 90s here and it's not even 9 am yet lol.  The only issue will be clouds, we have been in and out of clouds this morning (looks like they are of the altocumulus variety).

 

For me to consider heat historic it has to hit 100 all the way to the coast the same way it has to snow 20 inches all the way to the coast for me to consider a snowstorm an HECS.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

4 minutes ago, bluewave said:

Looks like another 100° for Newark today holding in 3rd place behind  1993 and 1949.

 

Time Series Summary for NEWARK LIBERTY INTL AP, NJ - Jan through Dec Most 100° Days
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending.
1 1993 9 0
2 1949 8 0
3 2025 6 155
- 2022 6 0
- 1953 6 0
4 1988 5 0
- 1966 5 0
5 2011 4 0
- 2010 4 0
- 1955 4 0
- 1944 4 0

I think JFK can hit 100 today we're already in the low 90s here.  The only issue is clouds, we've been in and out of clouds all morning here.

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, bluewave said:

Corona and Brownsville maxed out at 103°.

13th St./16th / Alphabet City 100 82 90 104 88 78 33 0.00 14
3:00pm
6
3:55pm
24.6
160 Ave. / Howard Beach 92 76 84 105 76 95 55 0.00      
28th St. / Chelsea 100 81 89 104 86 82 34 0.00 13
4:05pm
6
4:05pm
23.9
Astoria 100 79 90 105 79 85 32 0.00 10
6:30pm
3
6:40pm
20.7
Bensonhurst / Mapleton 97 79 88 106 79 87 42 0.00     23.9
Bronx Mesonet 99 77 88 101 77 84 32 0.00 15
2:35pm
8
12:00am
23.7
Brooklyn Mesonet 95 78 86 100 78 86 39 0.00 23
6:30pm
16
6:30pm
26.2
Brownsville 103 80 89 105 80 82 31 0.00      
Corona 103 80 90 109 80 83 30 0.00      
E 40th St. / Murray Hill 99 80 90 103 85 82 35 0.00      
East River at Alphabet City                      
Fresh Kills                
11:10am
11:10am
6.7
Glendale / Maspeth 100 80 90 105 80 82 34 0.00      
Gold Street / Navy Yard 99 80 89 104 80 83 34 0.00 16
5:30pm
6
3:15pm
25.4
Lefferts / South Ozone Park 96 77 86 107 77 89 47 0.00      
Manhattan Mesonet 96 79 88 100 79 80 36 0.00 15
2:00pm
9
2:00pm
26.2
Newtown / Long Island City 100 82 90 104 87 77 32 0.00 14
5:45pm
8
4:55pm
25.2
Queens Mesonet 96 78 86 101 78 84 38 0.00 24
5:25pm
17
6:00pm
24.1
Queensbridge / Dutch Kills 102 82 91 105 88 77 32 0.00     22.8
Staten Island Mesonet 98 74 87 101 74 95 33 0.00 16
2:15pm
10

you know as well as I do those are inflated lol.

There are no scientific standards being applied with regards to siting (the same can be said about Central Park.)

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 hours ago, ag3 said:


LOL at Manhattan. Manhattan is the hottest borough. Likely hit 102 there.

The heat really hasn't been as strong as what we had in late June (not just the highs but the temperatures in the morning).  Manhattan *probably* hit 100 but we can't be certain, I am 100% certain they hit 100 in late June though.  That was some historic heat when it hit 106 here and then 103 the next day.

 

  • Confused 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 hours ago, Sundog said:

Down into the upper 80s now, thank god we won't be baking at 90 degrees at 1AM

We really need to stop building brick buildings and brick houses.  They are basically ovens.  In my time in the SW and in other places that hot, I noticed how well their buildings cool off in the evenings-- and so quickly.  We need to start building more housing with stone and clay.  Homes built with this material removes heat very quickly.  I really don't care about our winters anymore, they are no longer relevant, we need to build housing that removes heat as quickly as possible.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 hours ago, bkviking said:

2010 was legendary- beginning to end. Fantastic winter finishing up on Feb 26 with the “snowapocalypse” to the early March wind event , to the fantastic early Spring to the classic hot but lower dewpoint summer, to the great finish with Boxing Day. 
 

Plenty if storms in all seasons but plenty of great weather days. One of best years ever. 

That whole period was probably the best period of weather EVER in the tristate area.

I'd start with the 2009-10 winter going all the way through the 2015-16 winter 

great winters in 2009-10, 2010-11, 2013-14 and 2014-15

30 inch snowstorm in January 2016

below zero VD 2016

historic 2010 summer

historic 2011 heat

hit 100 in 2012 and 2013 too

August 2011 deluge

August 2011 earthquake

Irene

Sandy

September 2010 severe wx outbreak

 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Will make my final decision on an OBS-Discussion thread for the upcoming rainfall which I think may produce small pockets of FF within the general 3/4-4"---iso max of 6" I think is possible.  Primary event Noon Thu-Noon Fri (16z/31-16z/1), but preceded north of I80 by scattered heavy showers/iso severe 4PM-10P (20z/30 -02z/31) today.  

Most vulnerable via variability in the modeling - cant be sure where to lock it in but for our subforum between I84 and I95. Todays 12z SPC HREF will be my primary guidance, along with other supporting modeling --HRRR etc. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Create an account or sign in to comment

You need to be a member in order to leave a comment

Create an account

Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!

Register a new account

Sign in

Already have an account? Sign in here.

Sign In Now
 Share

×
×
  • Create New...