TWCCraig Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 86/74 Pretty uncommon for this part of the south shore to have no sea breeze all day and temps this warm this late. Would be interesting to see if we're cooler this time tomorrow Most models have a sea breeze developing in the early afternoon, will effect mostly NYC and points east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wxoutlooksblog Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago 30 minutes ago, Sundog said: I think they peaked at 87 88 WX/PT 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Highs Clouds in the way for most of the day with a decent comeback later in the PM EWR: 92 ISP: 91 JFK: 91 TEB: 91 LGA: 90 ACY: 90 New Brnswck: 88 BLM: 88 NYC: 88 PHL: 88 TTN: 87 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago Clouds through 4PM and still made it to 90 here, in most placed even with almost a full day of clouds forecasts highs were only missed by 6 - 8 degrees. Had we partly cloudy/ sunny conditions - highs would have over performed in my opinion. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 4 hours ago Share Posted 4 hours ago What is left of the MCS and clouds still seen of the last few loops riding around the rim of the expanding ridge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 9 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Highs Clouds in the way for most of the day with a decent comeback later in the PM EWR: 92 ISP: 91 JFK: 91 TEB: 91 LGA: 90 ACY: 90 New Brnswck: 88 BLM: 88 NYC: 88 PHL: 88 TTN: 87 90 here. My forecast high was 91 for today. Not a huge bust… the winds were under forecast big time. Took the boat out and it was blowing 25-30 mph, got soaked. They did slacken in the evening, but it was really blowing earlier 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Picard Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Well they had it half right, it got very sticky and warm here in the late afternoon - standing over the grill was brutal. Weather station read a 101 heat index around 5:30 pm with a dewpoint of 78. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, Picard said: Well they had it half right, it got very sticky and warm here in the late afternoon - standing over the grill was brutal. Weather station read a 101 heat index around 5:30 pm with a dewpoint of 78. Correct. Temps verified east of the city but maybe not west and southwest. The rain and wind forecast was horrendous 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 7 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Clouds through 4PM and still made it to 90 here, in most placed even with almost a full day of clouds forecasts highs were only missed by 6 - 8 degrees. Had we partly cloudy/ sunny conditions - highs would have over performed in my opinion. Temps may over perform tomorrow then. Widespread 100s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Similar placed ridge at 500MB to Jul 17-18 2013 which produced 100 degree heat. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Still 85 / 73 here nice lifting board for tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 18z GEMLAM has 108 degrees Tuesday afternoon in SW Nassau County hahahahahahahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 2 minutes ago, Sundog said: 18z GEMLAM has 108 degrees Tuesday afternoon in SW Nassau County hahahahahahahaha LibertyBell with the highest max temp in the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Sundog said: 18z GEMLAM has 108 degrees Tuesday afternoon in SW Nassau County hahahahahahahaha The area just out ahead of the seabreeze will roast for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 1 minute ago, Cfa said: LibertyBell with the highest max temp in the region. Where's @LibertyBellwhen you need him lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 83/78 (HI 92) here at 9PM, I’m used to this being from Queens but it’s always a welcome surprise here well outside of the heat island. Pure unadulterated heat outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago High of 89.2 here. A tremendous bust. Forecast was 96-97. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Can someone post the 18z Euro's highs for Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago The temperature is dropping like molasses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 9PM LGA: 88 EWR: 88 NYC: 85 JFK: 84 New Brnswck: 83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 4 minutes ago, Sundog said: Can someone post the 18z Euro's highs for Tuesday? Looks like 105 in NYC / NE-NJ NYC/NJ metro 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago On a side note the ECMWF AI Ensembles package will launch July https://events.ecmwf.int/event/487/ On Tuesday 1 July 2025, the first version of the Artificial Intelligence Forecasting System (AIFS) Ensemble model will be released and supported operationally. This release marks another milestone in ECMWF history, as AIFS ENS v1 will be the first AIFS ensemble model to be made fully operational. AIFS ENS, v1 model will not be an upgrade of currently experimental diffusion AIFS ENS model. It is a first version of a new model that is trained using a version of the Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS), a loss function that helps ensure the forecasts are both accurate and well-calibrated. In addition to operationalisation of AIFS ENS, v1 will bring several new data and graphical probabilistic prodcuts available in the EMCWF Open charts platform. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uofmiami Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 51 minutes ago, psv88 said: Correct. Temps verified east of the city but maybe not west and southwest. The rain and wind forecast was horrendous 5 degree bust for me in the point & click. 93 and only got to 88. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago 11 minutes ago, SACRUS said: Looks like 105 in NYC / NE-NJ NYC/NJ metro 67 in Montauk and 107 in the city. k 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Just now, uofmiami said: 5 degree bust for me in the point & click. 93 and only got to 88. Winds were more northerly than expected. For this reason islip and westhampton were in the low 90s and the north shore cooler. Wasn’t hot at all in Lloyd Harbor today. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 3 hours ago Share Posted 3 hours ago Similar ridge position and forecasted 850 MB temps (100s) Park of course missed , especially having come out of a very wet June 2013 7/18: EWR: 101 LGA: 100 JFK: 100 NYC: 98 7/19: EWR: 100 LGA: 100 NYC: 96 JFK: 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9:30 p.m. and holding at 80 degrees here. Very muggy evening with no breeze at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MANDA Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 9pm CP 85. Heat index 91 EWR 88. Heat index 95 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psv88 Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Not sure why anyone thinks rain on Sunday impacts our highs in Tuesday. A theory floated by some experienced posters as well. Bizarre Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago 10PM EWR: 87 LGA: 87 NYC: 85 JFK: 85 New Brnswck: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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