May 2025 Obs/Discussion

[ineedsnow]

keep it out west

[HoarfrostHubb]

34 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

wild story out of Switzerland. This was not too far from where I was.

Yeah. I was reading about that. Good thing they listened to the scientists and got people out

[Sey-Mour Snow]

2 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

LR models were showing that bogus "days n days" coastal/nor'easter and some folks (mostly ACATT) bought it hook, line, sinker.  it vanished as we said it would, and they went off the deep end. It's almost like their snow was taken away but it was really just a nasty cool rain

Lmao I didn’t see one person say days and days in fact I posted a few days back saying it’s relatively good timing mostly overnight Friday and it’s a quick hitter in and out. 
 

However, it now looks like a good part of Saturday will be a washout here.. 

[Damage In Tolland]

2 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Lmao I didn’t see one person say days and days in fact I posted a few days back saying it’s relatively good timing mostly overnight Friday and it’s a quick hitter in and out. 
 

However, it now looks like a good part of Saturday will be a washout here.. 

Saturday afternoon looks partly sunny and muggy ahead of round 2

[CoastalWx]

3 hours ago, weathafella said:

FWIW, that’s way above normal for the first week in June.  Why do people expect 90s?   It happens occasionally but usually not till later in the month or July.

I know it. That’s why I said solid June weather. We take. 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

19 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Saturday afternoon looks partly sunny and muggy ahead of round 2

Round 2 timing is TBD.. 

[powderfreak]

1 hour ago, Damage In Tolland said:

I take quite a bit of offense at this . Not good man 

All meant in good fun, though hard to believe that's the post you take offense to, ha.  You know you start the warm season, summer, A/C install, full court press earlier and earlier each year, even at Morch.  It drives conversation, keeps things lively.  It now feels like we have more posts these days arguing summer weather than we get in the winter.

[powderfreak]

58 minutes ago, HoarfrostHubb said:

Yeah. I was reading about that. Good thing they listened to the scientists and got people out

There's zero chance that type of full evacuation takes place in the U.S.  No way a geologist is convincing a town to get out entirely.

[Torch Tiger]

On 5/27/2025 at 11:32 AM, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Another garbage week filled with clouds and rain 

 

On 5/27/2025 at 7:29 AM, CoastalWx said:

Let’s ruin another weaken baby. Deep summer.

 

On 5/26/2025 at 1:12 PM, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Disaster on GFS below normal and another Nor’Easter.

going to have to wait until post June 1. 

 

On 5/26/2025 at 2:29 PM, bristolri_wx said:

The common sense weather take is we are stuck in this weather pattern until we are not. Not rooting for it, but, hard to dismiss another terrible stretch of weather with an anomalous storm considering the last few weeks.

Shit happens…

days n days n days

[Torch Tiger]

40 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Lmao I didn’t see one person say days and days in fact I posted a few days back saying it’s relatively good timing mostly overnight Friday and it’s a quick hitter in and out. 
 

However, it now looks like a good part of Saturday will be a washout here.. 

Not a single person.  there's more but got bored of bumping wrong wrong wrong

[Torch Tiger]

On 5/26/2025 at 6:47 PM, Damage In Tolland said:

Well that ain’t a raging nor Easter . What’s probably most likely is a somewhat muggy fropa on Saturday with showers / storm and then cooler Sunday . Then we furnace June 2 on. Especially with higher consistent dews 

not bad. 

* A period of rain Friday night into Saturday morning, then possibly
  drying out Saturday afternoon, before a second round of showers &
  possible thunderstorms arrive Saturday evening/night

* Mainly dry Sunday and Monday, just a low probability of a
  brief/spot shower each afternoon. Slightly cooler than normal

[Sey-Mour Snow]

4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

Not a single person.  there's more but got bored of bumping wrong wrong wrong

Can’t help with reading comprehension sorry you don’t understand. 

[powderfreak]

4 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

not bad. 

* A period of rain Friday night into Saturday morning, then possibly
  drying out Saturday afternoon, before a second round of showers &
  possible thunderstorms arrive Saturday evening/night

* Mainly dry Sunday and Monday, just a low probability of a
  brief/spot shower each afternoon. Slightly cooler than normal

Touche... the quoted post lined up with the quoted AFD... mic drop lol.

[Damage In Tolland]

5 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

not bad. 

* A period of rain Friday night into Saturday morning, then possibly
  drying out Saturday afternoon, before a second round of showers &
  possible thunderstorms arrive Saturday evening/night

* Mainly dry Sunday and Monday, just a low probability of a
  brief/spot shower each afternoon. Slightly cooler than normal

Just try and sniff out the pattern. We’ve been around long enough to see the forest thru the trees.  

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, powderfreak said:

Touche... the quoted post lined up with the quoted AFD... mic drop lol.

You had a few solid posts as well. I know you were not considering those 987? mb wrapped up solutions

[Sey-Mour Snow]

3 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Touche... the quoted post lined up with the quoted AFD... mic drop lol.

Lol yup and this one too ..

 

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Locally heavy rain is likely Friday night into Saturday as
intensifying low pressure passes through. There is a low probability
for hazardous weather that would meet NWS warning criteria.

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Lol yup and this one too ..

 

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Connecticut,
northeast New Jersey and southeast New York.

.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Locally heavy rain is likely Friday night into Saturday as
intensifying low pressure passes through. There is a low probability
for hazardous weather that would meet NWS warning criteria.

 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

You had a few solid posts as well. I know you were not considering those 987? mb wrapped up solutions

Like the Lastest Euro still has? Do you even look at models 

[Torch Tiger]

4 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Just try and sniff out the pattern. We’ve been around long enough to see the forest thru the trees.  

It's all good, no one's perfect.  You win lose or draw and move onto the next

[Torch Tiger]

1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

Like the Lastest Euro still has? Do you even look at models 

pretty much everything is different than those earlier runs, from timing, to mechanics, to low placement(s). lol

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

It's all good, no one's perfect.  You win lose or draw and move onto the next

Is that you Kevin?

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

pretty much everything is different than those earlier runs, from timing, to mechanics, to low placement(s). lol

True but still pisses me off that it messes up my Saturday 

[Go Kart Mozart]

A late May rainstorm brawl.  You gotta love it!  Now to the June thread, the heat is coming...

[Torch Tiger]

4 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said:

True but still pisses me off that it messes up my Saturday 

nice pivot out that way 

[Sey-Mour Snow]

5 minutes ago, Go Kart Mozart said:

A late May rainstorm brawl.  You gotta love it!  Now to the June thread, the heat is coming...

It’s all in fun until the wolf attacks

[Sey-Mour Snow]

1 minute ago, Torch Tiger said:

nice pivot out that way 

Yup sucks 

[powderfreak]

13 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

You had a few solid posts as well. I know you were not considering those 987? mb wrapped up solutions

I'm just here to share and look at the current models... it's like a story line or plot.  You just try to keep up with it.  It can be entertaining.

There's also a lot of hyperbole, which can be fun and hard to detect sometimes.

A wrapped up nor'easter or a sunny summer day become the goalposts, when we all know its usually a compromise between solutions.

We need an AMWX ensemble of user thoughts to model the weather.  Probably would be pretty good, ha.

[Torch Tiger]

7 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

I'm just here to share and look at the current models... it's like a story line or plot.  You just try to keep up with it.  It can be entertaining.

There's also a lot of hyperbole, which can be fun and hard to detect sometimes.

A wrapped up nor'easter or a sunny summer day become the goalposts, when we all know its usually a compromise between solutions.

We need an AMWX ensemble of user thoughts to model the weather.  Probably would be pretty good, ha.

The hyperbole is creative and yes, it can run amok to the point no one knows what was/is base-line.  lol

[kdxken]

3 hours ago, Torch Tiger said:

LR models were showing that bogus "days n days" coastal/nor'easter and some folks (mostly ACATT) bought it hook, line, sinker.  it vanished as we said it would, and they went off the deep end. It's almost like their snow was taken away but it was really just a nasty cool rain

Quote the posts or didn't happen.  

 

[CoastalWx]

56 minutes ago, Torch Tiger said:

 

 

 

days n days n days

Good call by me. Will suck for many.