2025-2026 ENSO

[GaWx]

1 hour ago, cmillzz said:

No surprise it’s been such a warm March thus far. Classic warm mid-latitudes pattern that will continue for the foreseeable future outside of the brief St. Patrick’s day cold shot

Indeed. I count only ~6 days of cold in the bulk of the E US: 3/13 and 3/16-20. But the 2nd one is quite intense for mid-March and I’ll thoroughly enjoy it as this short period of false winter gives us down here relief from the false summer!

 A -PNA, +AO, and +EPO are aiding the warmth along with MJO phases 5 and 6 through yesterday. Those two have averaged the warmest phases during March following a Niña winter. The main opponent is and will continue to be the -WPO, which in combo with MJO phase 8 (2nd coldest March Niña phase) is likely what’s going to allow the brief two cold periods.

[snowman19]

[snowfan789]

15 hours ago, MJO812 said:

It has been a very weird winter . The northeast has been staying cold all winter  besides this week while the rest of the country is mild.

NYC has more snow so far than Denver which is unheard of this late in the season . Im up to 47 inches here in Brooklyn NY. 

You would think that this upcoming mild period would bold well for the west but the trough is too far north. 

Honestly, snow is way more important to the health of the environment and economy in a lot of the West compared to a lot of the East. I say this as a former New England resident who knows full well how fun a snowy and cold pattern for the East can be. So, this incredibly warm winter for the West really is bad news for reasons well beyond snow and cold being enjoyable.