2025-2026 ENSO

[so_whats_happening]

On 8/4/2025 at 4:31 PM, GaWx said:

Check out the recent trend of the reduced difference in RONI and ONI:

RONI-ONI:

MJJ 2024 -0.60

JJA -0.54

JAS -0.52

ASO -0.54

SON -0.55

OND -0.55

NDJ -0.55

DJF -0.53

JFM 2025 -0.51

FMA -0.49

MAM -0.43

AMJ -0.38

MJJ -0.32

To me at least this is telling me we are slowly cooling off the WPAC with no real discernable changes in the central and EPAC with SST. Baby steps.

[so_whats_happening]

Should have saved this until tomorrow but whatever here is all of June/July and the 1st of August.