Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 13 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: NAM def flatter than 12z…but not shocking considering it was most amped. 16 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Flatter for sure, by a decent amount so far. 3 k 18 hrs snow sleet frozen here. .8 qpf Scooter dumping while Dittty is dumbfounded Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 3k is coming in flatter too. Nice thump on that model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 2 minutes ago, weathafella said: 3k is 12/16/07. Someone may be dumbfounded. Lol Ninjad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 36 minutes ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Surprised there aren’t flood watches up for CT. Should definitely be up with the next update. Rapid snowmelt and 2” of rain plus clogged storm drains. For an entire storm of frozen precip? You cocked or something? 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: For an entire storm of frozen precip? You cocked or something? He is closer to NYC than most 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sey-Mour Snow Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 2 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: For an entire storm of frozen precip? You cocked or something? Upton should have them up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 1 minute ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Upton should have them up. You do realize this is going to continue to trend cold and south ? Cold always wins these. Your pack is going nowhere 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Advisory up.. don't think that was the right choice but we'll see Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AstronomyEnjoyer Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 With what's already on the roof and 1.5" of frozen QPF on the way, it might be time to dig out the roof rake. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Why would BOX not have advisories from the canal NW. Even far NE MA does not have them. Yet Groton CT does. LOL. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Why would BOX not have advisories from the canal NW. Even far NE MA does not have them. Yet Groton CT does. LOL. Can guess who is on the desk . They also have 4-6” of snow for Hotford and 2-4” NE CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 3 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: Can guess who is on the desk . They also have 4-6” of snow for Hotford and 2-4” NE CT. Tblizz interning? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Why would BOX not have advisories from the canal NW. Even far NE MA does not have them. Yet Groton CT does. LOL. Ya no idea why they did any of that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Just now, ineedsnow said: Ya no idea why they did any of that Probably just riding the more amped warmer solutions for now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Reggie might be a tiny bit more amped. It was cold at 12z. Coming to consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
qg_omega Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 NAM is amped up, 3k 974mb over KBUF. Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 5 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said: Probably just riding the more amped warmer solutions for now. Ya if I only get 4 to 6 inches of snow and a tenth of a inch of ice I'll be shocked.. they don't even mention sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 18z ICON is big ice here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Whole grid down on the ICON Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
das Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 52 minutes ago, Prismshine Productions said: How you feeling about our spots in the valley? 4-8, inch of sleet, then glaze? Experimental - Leave feedback Click here for more information on these products What's this? Location Low-End Amount Expected Amount High-End Amount Chance of Seeing More Than 0.1" 1" 2" 4" 6" 8" 12" 18" Brattleboro, VT 3" 8" 12" 98% 97% 95% 87% 72% 51% 12% 0% I'd guess late morning transition to IP as the warm nose moves in between 925 and 850mb. The warm nose will drop a bit flipping us to ZR before we flip back to SN as the cold comes crashing back in. Latest trend has IP lasting quite a few hours so your 1" estimate is not bad. ZR will be maybe 0.05 to 0.10". 2m temps should stay below freezing the whole time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Reggie has a good front end. Ended up about the same as 12z overall. Icon slightly more amped. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 1 minute ago, CoastalWx said: Reggie has a good front end. Ended up about the same as 12z overall. Icon slightly more amped. Thats a ton of ice here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 41 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said: For an entire storm of frozen precip? You cocked or something? Mesolow doesn't form quick enough for all frozen there...you're going to get in-situ icing that brings you to 33-34F....you won't really lose any pack, but it's gonna be cold rain for a time. Need a much quick transfer....still possible, but pretty much no guidance keeps you all frozen now except maybe skynet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 2 minutes ago, ineedsnow said: Thats a ton of ice here You don't get much ZR at all on Reggie....mostly a sleet bomb there. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 1 hour ago, Sey-Mour Snow said: Surprised there aren’t flood watches up for CT. Should definitely be up with the next update. Rapid snowmelt and 2” of rain plus clogged storm drains. Yeah models are really ramping up the qpf the last 24 hours here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 2 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said: Mesolow doesn't form quick enough for all frozen there...you're going to get in-situ icing that brings you to 33-34F....you won't really lose any pack, but it's gonna be cold rain for a time. Need a much quick transfer....still possible, but pretty much no guidance keeps you all frozen now except maybe skynet. I’m fairly confident all the precip here falls at or below 32. If it warms above it would be briefly after fropa . Even that is iffy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 1 minute ago, ORH_wxman said: You don't get much ZR at all on Reggie....mostly a sleet bomb there. I was talking about the ICON my bad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ineedsnow Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 2 minutes ago, JC-CT said: Yeah models are really ramping up the qpf the last 24 hours here 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 Not precip related, but BUFKIT has some serious winds for Monday into Monday night. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 14, 2025 Share Posted February 14, 2025 3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said: Not precip related, but BUFKIT has some serious winds for Monday into Monday night. Talk dirty to us with deets Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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