Discussion for a probable 2 or 3 winter storms/events between Tue Feb 11 - Sat Feb 15. OBS threads for each will be added as needed.

[Big Jims Videos]

It looks like down by me we will get our biggest snowfall since January 2022.  It's about damn time.  

[Stormlover74]

Gfs has a few inches Wednesday night

[NEG NAO]

3 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said:

It looks like down by me we will get our biggest snowfall since January 2022.  It's about damn time.  

I wouldn't count my snowflakes before they have fallen..........

[nycsnow]

Positive trends. We have plenty of time a 50-75 mile jump over next 2 days would be huge 

[Big Jims Videos]

10 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

I wouldn't count my snowflakes before they have fallen..........

I mean I get it, it's a hyperlocal issue. Southern Monmouth northern ocean east of the parkway has gotten shafted since 2022.  We can't even get more than 1.5 out of one system.  A few miles into Wall and it's a different story. 

[MJO812]

Nice trends going forward

[Stormlover74]

Big storm next weekend on the gfs. Mixed bag of precip

[NEG NAO]

The Canadian setup is very good with the HP in southeast Canada BUT the LP is too weak off the coast

[MJO812]

Just now, NEG NAO said:

The Canadian setup is very good with the HP in southeast Canada BUT the LP is too weak off the coast

It's fine right now. Nothing wrong with 1-3.

[NEG NAO]

Just now, MJO812 said:

It's fine right now. Nothing wrong with 1-3.

1-3 would be a big disappointment here - when ag is giving us a 4-8 potential need the LP too get down below 1005

[Monmouth_County_Jacpot]

4 minutes ago, NEG NAO said:

1-3 would be a big disappointment here - when ag is giving us a 4-8 potential need the LP too get down below 1005

1-3 has been the theme since winter started no reason to expect more going forward 

[MJO812]

Cmc looks much better for next weekend with a better press.

[MJO812]

3 minutes ago, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said:

1-3 has been the theme since winter started no reason to expect more going forward 

This is a crazy post

[MJO812]

Cmc looks much better for next weekend with a better press.

[Monmouth_County_Jacpot]

Just now, MJO812 said:

This is a crazy post

Is it though? This week we were slated for 30 inch of snow on a 240 gfs snowfall maps how’s that working out?

[Allsnow]

Big high for next weekend in place 

 

probably the best of the 3 

[MJO812]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Big high for next weekend in place 

 

probably the best of the 3 

Long duration storm on the cmc next weekend. Insane.

[Franklin0529]

3 minutes ago, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said:

Is it though? This week we were slated for 30 inch of snow on a 240 gfs snowfall maps how’s that working out?

Well NYC got 4 last night might get another 3-6 Tuesday night. Then if next weekend happens might not be far off lol

[binbisso]

1 minute ago, Allsnow said:

Big high for next weekend in place 

 

probably the best of the 3 

Yup. Plus all s/w seem to be dampening as they come east. Makes sense in such a fast flow with blocking haven't been established yet. Could keep all three events mainly frz

[NEG NAO]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Long duration storm on the cmc next weekend. Insane.

Now thats crazy - not 1 -3 Tuesday I think 1-3 is a real possibility north of I-78 for Tuesday

[MJO812]

Snowman19 giving out weenies . Meanwhile he has been wrong all winter. Hate to see it.

[binbisso]

Doesn't look like any wound up systems cutting into the great lakes 

[NEG NAO]

2 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

Snowman19 giving out weenies . Meanwhile he has been wrong all winter. Hate to see it.

would be hard to beat the 11 weenies I got the other day BUT I said each event would melt before the next one starts up till Tuesdays - was right about the first BUT last nights is harder to melt - because its snow and ice like cement

[LibertyBell]

34 minutes ago, Big Jims Videos said:

I mean I get it, it's a hyperlocal issue. Southern Monmouth northern ocean east of the parkway has gotten shafted since 2022.  We can't even get more than 1.5 out of one system.  A few miles into Wall and it's a different story. 

last year in February? we got a 4 and a 6 at JFK and it was more in central NJ

[Stormlover74]

Ukie 1 to 3 for Tuesday night

[sussexcountyobs]

What is the average yearly snowfall for CPK? And what do they have thus far?

[Monmouth_County_Jacpot]

2 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Ukie 1 to 3 for Tuesday night

Seems about right for the pattern we’ve been locked into 

[MJO812]

Just now, Monmouth_County_Jacpot said:

Seems about right for the pattern we’ve been locked into 

Places got more than 3 inches last night. Patience.

[Allsnow]

5 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

Ukie 1 to 3 for Tuesday night

Went south? 

[donsutherland1]

7 minutes ago, sussexcountyobs said:

What is the average yearly snowfall for CPK? And what do they have thus far?

Normal seasonal snowfall: 29.8"

Snowfall through February 9: 10.4" (Normal: 17.9")