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TV Severe Weather2025-?


jaxjagman
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Severe Weather Statement

National Weather Service JACKSON KY

1118 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

 

KYC121-125-199-203-170400-

/O.CON.KJKL.TO.W.0026.000000T0000Z-250517T0400Z/

Laurel KY-Knox KY-Pulaski KY-Rockcastle KY-

1118 PM EDT Fri May 16 2025

 

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT EDT FOR

LAUREL...NORTHWESTERN KNOX...EAST CENTRAL PULASKI AND SOUTH CENTRAL

ROCKCASTLE COUNTIES...

 

At 1118 PM EDT, a confirmed large and extremely dangerous tornado was

located near Mount Victory, or 13 miles east of Somerset, moving east

at 45 mph.

 

This is a PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. TAKE COVER NOW!

 

HAZARD...Damaging tornado.

 

SOURCE...Radar confirmed tornado.

 

IMPACT...You are in a life-threatening situation. Flying debris may

         be deadly to those caught without shelter. Mobile homes

         will be destroyed. Considerable damage to homes,

         businesses, and vehicles is likely and complete destruction

         is possible.

 

The tornado will be near...

  Bunch around 1125 PM EDT.

 

Other locations in the path of this tornadic thunderstorm include

Bernstadt, London, Levi Jackson S.P. and Lida.

 

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

 

To repeat, a large, extremely dangerous and potentially deadly

tornado is on the ground. To protect your life, TAKE COVER NOW! Move

to a basement or an interior room on the lowest floor of a sturdy

building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a mobile home, or in

a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter and protect

yourself from flying debris.

 

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8 hours ago, Matthew70 said:

Tuesday. Tuesday.  Does the trend continue to keep tornadoes away from the state.  We shall see. 

Could be Monday as well,where ever the boundary sets up.GFS has been showing this for several runs now,but Tuesday looks better as you mentioned

  ...Portions of the TN Valley...
   Multiple rounds of thunderstorms are possible along a residual
   baroclinic boundary across the TN Valley, both during the morning
   hours, and later in the evening. While not quite as unstable as
   points farther to the west, modest mid-level lapse rates amid
   elongated hodographs should support multicells, supercells, and
   short line segments. The stronger storms may be capable of isolated
   instances of large hail, gusty winds, and perhaps a brief tornado.
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Tuesday it appears that the warm front will be up along the Ohio River again. Outflow should at least start out in Tennessee. System should be strong enough to lift it north again. However the timing is just a little faster than on Friday..

So we get other prefrontal convergence line(s) in Tennessee. That's not necessary a recipe for upgrade. As SPC notes it's a bit veered off. Shortwave could also outrun storms, which would really help keep things in check. Slower wave than what the globals show would tee up the Valley a bit. 

image.png.2cc0373c7ae05492b68c55e74e89b7a3.png

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