Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[GaWx]

49 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I don't see much to be excited about. CAD could keep us from torching but no winter weather threats on the horizon. 

 
 Anything to keep any torch short-lived rather than long-lived would be a win for me. Considering that the SE will have had a very enjoyably cold dominated 11/27-12/16: IF the SE can somehow manage for 12/17-31 to be only slightly warmer than normal thanks largely to cool wedges, I’ll consider it a win.

 Models are already significantly colder than they were just a couple of days ago for this weekend (12/20-1), which is continuing the trend of them being mainly too warm since ~Nov 20th. Is this going to extend this too warm trend through 12/21? If so, can we even trust the longer range of the ensembles?

Fwiw, the 12Z GFS has 4 warm periods but all last only ~24 hours with the cool to cold days at least as prevalent.

[kvegas-wx]

14 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 
 Anything to keep any torch short-lived rather than long-lived would be a win for me. Considering that the SE will have had a very enjoyably cold dominated 11/27-12/16: IF the SE can somehow manage for 12/17-31 to be only slightly warmer than normal thanks largely to cool wedges, I’ll consider it a win.

 Models are already significantly colder than they were just a couple of days ago for this weekend (12/20-1), which is continuing the trend of them being mainly too warm since ~Nov 20th. Is this going to extend this too warm trend through 12/21? If so, can we even trust the longer range of the ensembles?

Fwiw, the 12Z GFS has 4 warm periods but all last only ~24 hours with the cool to cold days at least as prevalent.

You, my friend, are a Bengals fan.  Glad to have a like minded friend on board.  Your assessment is the equivilent of racking up 450 yards and 38 points, and losing by 1.  I think I speak for many, if we ain't winning, I don't care about the stats. 

[Upstate Tiger]

I’m one of the biggest snow  on here but yesterday felt awesome on the golf course.  I can’t figure out why no one’s on the course today?  There’s not a cloud in the sky.  

[WinstonSalemArlington]

[BooneWX]

Absolutely insane sound effect snow band


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[Leesville Wx Hawk]

I wonder what that is translating to? You would think ratios would be pretty solid even with it being off sound considering air temps should be upper 20’s or so.


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[BooneWX]

37 minutes ago, Leesville Wx Hawk said:

I wonder what that is translating to? You would think ratios would be pretty solid even with it being off sound considering air temps should be upper 20’s or so.


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From what I’ve seen on Facebook, a dusting to a half an inch. It’s on the move, but I’d think if it had stayed stationary, some folks would’ve been smoked. Okracoke is getting in on the fun now. 

[Leesville Wx Hawk]

From what I’ve seen on Facebook, a dusting to a half an inch. It’s on the move, but I’d think if it had stayed stationary, some folks would’ve been smoked. Okracoke is getting in on the fun now. 

Appreciate the feedback BooneWX!


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