Mid to long range discussion- 2025

[wncsnow]

Just now, GaWx said:

Today’s Euro Weeklies weeks all trended warmer than yesterday and AN for most of the US. No trending toward a +PNA mid-Jan like yesterday. Yesterday’s had NN in SE 1/12-2/1. One of the worst runs this season and hopefully coming days will reverse.

 

Lol

[NorthHillsWx]

28 minutes ago, GaWx said:

Today’s Euro Weeklies weeks all trended warmer than yesterday and AN for most of the US. No trending toward a +PNA mid-Jan like yesterday. Yesterday’s had NN in SE 1/12-2/1. One of the worst runs this season and hopefully coming days will reverse.

 

As shocked as I was when the sun came up this morning 

[GaWx]

Don’t look at the 0Z Euro….or better yet look at it OMG!

Many NC peeps won’t be thrilled but anyway: this is for 12/30 to early 12/31:

[Leesville Wx Hawk]

I see it GaWx. A whole lot would have to come together in that scenario but at least it’s something to watch.


.

[NorthHillsWx]

Ahhh! The infamous bowling ball with transient HP setup. Big dog potential or 40 degree rain with exact same LP track. That’s a go big or go home type setup. With nothing else foreseeable and one of the worst overall patterns in years establishing, I’m here for it…

[gtg947h]

8 hours ago, GaWx said:

Don’t look at the 0Z Euro….or better yet look at it OMG!

We're closing on a house just south of Atlanta Jan 2nd... I don't need that

[NorthHillsWx]

38 minutes ago, gtg947h said:

We're closing on a house just south of Atlanta Jan 2nd... I don't need that

We moved into my current house December 8, 2018. I think some on this board remember that date. Thought at the time I’d cracked the code for snow in triangle 

[GaWx]

56 minutes ago, gtg947h said:

We're closing on a house just south of Atlanta Jan 2nd... I don't need that

 The roads from this highly unlikely 0Z Euro still in semi-fantasyland (mainly Dec 30th there) snow out of nowhere (and only one of the 50 EPS members (#30) has anything like this) would be fine by Jan 2nd per the same run. So, you’d just be left with beautiful scenery for your closing.

 If this were to somehow happen though, there’d be many very upset members NC/TN north. They’d be giving @suzookand @dsaura hard time! So, maybe it’s better it not happen lol. I don’t think they’ll need to worry about this occuring.

[NorthHillsWx]

MJO moving into phase 2, PNA tanking, NAO going from negative to neutral. Too soon to call the month shot but January is looking extremely bleak. We’re losing the cold in Canada and likely will be looking at a total reset needed on this side of the globe. In other words, this is trending towards a disaster as we head into prime climo. Looks like a pure Nina pattern developing with continental air. My god any optimism has faded at rapid rates this year 

[wncsnow]

19 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

MJO moving into phase 2, PNA tanking, NAO going from negative to neutral. Too soon to call the month shot but January is looking extremely bleak. We’re losing the cold in Canada and likely will be looking at a total reset needed on this side of the globe. In other words, this is trending towards a disaster as we head into prime climo. Looks like a pure Nina pattern developing with continental air. My god any optimism has faded at rapid rates this year 

There's very little to be optimistic about right now. Add in the fact that it doesnt snow during February or March during Ninas and we got an uphill battle 

[NorthHillsWx]

49 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

There's very little to be optimistic about right now. Add in the fact that it doesnt snow during February or March during Ninas and we got an uphill battle 

Uphill battle every year for snow in the south with cards stacked against us from climo but this looks like a total disaster heading into January. This isn’t the reset we were thinking a week ago, this looks like our worst fears realized and a switch to full on Nina winter. With the cold leaving Canada we’re talking weeks of step down to get cold enough to talk winter weather at a minimum. And that’s assuming something flips. I’m typically not a mid season cliff diver but I haven’t seen anything trending right over the last week. Add in STJ is dead and will remain that way unless pacific relaxes which is a pipe dream at this point. Need some hope at some point before the calendar flips to 2026

[BooneWX]

1 hour ago, NorthHillsWx said:

MJO moving into phase 2, PNA tanking, NAO going from negative to neutral. Too soon to call the month shot but January is looking extremely bleak. We’re losing the cold in Canada and likely will be looking at a total reset needed on this side of the globe. In other words, this is trending towards a disaster as we head into prime climo. Looks like a pure Nina pattern developing with continental air. My god any optimism has faded at rapid rates this year 

I’ll always have my Dec 8th 2025 flizzard 

[Met1985]

Well looking forward to severe weather this spring. At least yall already know this winter is cooked.  No need to look off the side of the cliff. Just jump and enjoy the warm winter.

[NorthHillsWx]

35 minutes ago, BooneWX said:

I’ll always have my Dec 8th 2025 flizzard 

But… was it measurable if it was a trace?