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Mid to long range discussion- 2025


wncsnow
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49 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I don't see much to be excited about. CAD could keep us from torching but no winter weather threats on the horizon. 

 
 Anything to keep any torch short-lived rather than long-lived would be a win for me. Considering that the SE will have had a very enjoyably cold dominated 11/27-12/16: IF the SE can somehow manage for 12/17-31 to be only slightly warmer than normal thanks largely to cool wedges, I’ll consider it a win.

 Models are already significantly colder than they were just a couple of days ago for this weekend (12/20-1), which is continuing the trend of them being mainly too warm since ~Nov 20th. Is this going to extend this too warm trend through 12/21? If so, can we even trust the longer range of the ensembles?

Fwiw, the 12Z GFS has 4 warm periods but all last only ~24 hours with the cool to cold days at least as prevalent.

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14 minutes ago, GaWx said:

 
 Anything to keep any torch short-lived rather than long-lived would be a win for me. Considering that the SE will have had a very enjoyably cold dominated 11/27-12/16: IF the SE can somehow manage for 12/17-31 to be only slightly warmer than normal thanks largely to cool wedges, I’ll consider it a win.

 Models are already significantly colder than they were just a couple of days ago for this weekend (12/20-1), which is continuing the trend of them being mainly too warm since ~Nov 20th. Is this going to extend this too warm trend through 12/21? If so, can we even trust the longer range of the ensembles?

Fwiw, the 12Z GFS has 4 warm periods but all last only ~24 hours with the cool to cold days at least as prevalent.

You, my friend, are a Bengals fan.  Glad to have a like minded friend on board. :lol: Your assessment is the equivilent of racking up 450 yards and 38 points, and losing by 1.  I think I speak for many, if we ain't winning, I don't care about the stats. 

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