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Mid to long range discussion- 2025


wncsnow
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5 hours ago, wncsnow said:

The long range looks meh to me. Not a torch anymore but no slam dunk pattern that is primed for southern snow either. 

Has it ever looked like a slam dunk for southern snow at this range? C'mon man.... Look at how the pattern has changed in just the last 3 days. Who knows what December will bring. We are definitely heading in the right direction... You have to agree with that.

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Just now, CAD_Wedge_NC said:

Has it ever looked like a slam dunk for southern snow at this range? C'mon man.... Look at how the pattern has changed in just the last 3 days. Who knows what December will bring. We are definitely heading in the right direction... You have to agree with that.

I said slam dunk pattern not slam dunk storm. We usually need pattern recognition first. Its trending away from a SE Ridge for now but there are other complications like the MJO and the Pacific is still not playing nice. Yet. 

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35 minutes ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said:

Yep, a lot of us old Easternwx folks ended up there. Some of us post on here and there.

I was on easternwx and accuweather forums back in the day. Does Robert (WxSouth) post anywhere? He was one of the best mets that knew our climatology. 

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26 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

I was on easternwx and accuweather forums back in the day. Does Robert (WxSouth) post anywhere? He was one of the best mets that knew our climatology. 

I haven’t seen or heard a thing from him in years. I miss seeing his content. 

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4 hours ago, wncsnow said:

I was on easternwx and accuweather forums back in the day. Does Robert (WxSouth) post anywhere? He was one of the best mets that knew our climatology. 

He definitely was! I remember him calling for the early December snow in 2010 when it wasn't on anyways radar that afternoon.  We received about 4 inches of snow 

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1 hour ago, franklin NCwx said:

He definitely was! I remember him calling for the early December snow in 2010 when it wasn't on anyways radar that afternoon.  We received about 4 inches of snow 

I remember Robert's obvs posts during the 2009 snowstorm that broke a pine tree and damaged his house. He was truly one of the best. I also won't forget those late nights with Burgertime..... he still posts from time to time.

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It looks like a nice snowpack is going to be laid down like a frozen carpet in southern Canada and New England. As much as I want to cash in on one of these first systems, we know it’s a process and stocking the freezer to our north only helps. Hopefully in a week or two we’ll get a real crack at a storm and not need a 1040 high to make or break it. 

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18 minutes ago, wncsnow said:

Its still not prime climatological time for snow anyways. Mid December on and it's game time. Hopefully the pattern will stick around and the Pacitic won't come screaming in like the past 5 years. 

Well hey….next weekend would be nearing a 7th anniversary for a storm very near and dear to the hearts of all Foothill brethren. 

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1 minute ago, BooneWX said:

Well hey….next weekend would be nearing a 7th anniversary for a storm very near and dear to the hearts of all Foothill brethren. 

Early December can work like 2018/2017 but we need that cold entrenched or strong CAD which im just not seing. 

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December 2010 comes to mind- it was a La Nina and we had that phase on Christmas and model wars for days before. It was a special time. Lots of northern stream energy flying around the next few weeks, can we get a phase with some southern energy? 

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10 minutes ago, WNC_Fort said:

I’m still worried we’re gonna have a cool start to December with some occasional chilly rains and then have a toasty Christmas time period. 

I’d expect the pattern to relax at some point and I wouldn’t be surprised if you’re correct about Christmas. I do think we end up in the freezer again by mid-Jan….just a hunch based on another possible period of SSW. 

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