Daniel Boone Posted Saturday at 07:31 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:31 PM 9 minutes ago, wncsnow said: At least snowpack should build in the Midwest the next few weeks.. Hopefully, that'll expand East. It appears they're starting to correct from the Trough continuing in the SW. That's really showing the SER Print, lol 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted Saturday at 07:45 PM Author Share Posted Saturday at 07:45 PM 12 minutes ago, Daniel Boone said: Hopefully, that'll expand East. It appears they're starting to correct from the Trough continuing in the SW. That's really showing the SER Print, lol Yeah it's 75-80 east of the Blue Ridge today even. SER is strong the next few weeks. Hopefully it decides to go on vacation until March 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted Saturday at 07:49 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:49 PM At least Black Friday is trending colder and colder 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted Saturday at 07:59 PM Share Posted Saturday at 07:59 PM 9 minutes ago, WinstonSalemArlington said: At least Black Friday is trending colder and colder Yep. Maybe the Mountains will get a few Flakes from that. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted yesterday at 01:47 AM Author Share Posted yesterday at 01:47 AM Everything is fine 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted yesterday at 02:22 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:22 AM "It only takes one storm....." in 3, 2, 1....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted yesterday at 02:26 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:26 AM Cards are stacked against us. Was it over when the Germans bombed Pearl Harbor? Hell no 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted yesterday at 02:44 AM Share Posted yesterday at 02:44 AM 56 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Everything is fine Looks pretty much standard La Nina. Not surprising from Them. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tullioz Posted yesterday at 03:03 AM Share Posted yesterday at 03:03 AM 1 hour ago, wncsnow said: Everything is fine This was last year's outlook. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted yesterday at 04:30 AM Share Posted yesterday at 04:30 AM 2 hours ago, wncsnow said: Everything is fine Typical La Nina look bro. You cooked already? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted yesterday at 12:50 PM Share Posted yesterday at 12:50 PM 11 hours ago, wncsnow said: Everything is fine So warm and dry. This is NOT good. Yes its NWS...so they cant be counted on these days. We are still in drought conditions in my area so I really hope we get some much needed precip this winter. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted yesterday at 01:59 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 01:59 PM 1 hour ago, suzook said: So warm and dry. This is NOT good. Yes its NWS...so they cant be counted on these days. We are still in drought conditions in my area so I really hope we get some much needed precip this winter. The dry part is more concerning than the warm part IMO 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted yesterday at 01:59 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 01:59 PM 9 hours ago, Met1985 said: Typical La Nina look bro. You cooked already? I'm never cooked, only relaying information. My realistic views usually serve me well! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted yesterday at 03:49 PM Share Posted yesterday at 03:49 PM Judging by the flip flopping some things never change with the models. Everyone take a breath, it’s not even Thanksgiving. We’re going to be fine. Dec looks volatile and then we have Jammin’ January and Fab Feb. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted yesterday at 04:58 PM Share Posted yesterday at 04:58 PM 1 hour ago, BooneWX said: Judging by the flip flopping some things never change with the models. Everyone take a breath, it’s not even Thanksgiving. We’re going to be fine. Dec looks volatile and then we have Jammin’ January and Fab Feb. Don't forget magic March. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthHillsWx Posted yesterday at 05:12 PM Share Posted yesterday at 05:12 PM 1 hour ago, BooneWX said: Judging by the flip flopping some things never change with the models. Everyone take a breath, it’s not even Thanksgiving. We’re going to be fine. Dec looks volatile and then we have Jammin’ January and Fab Feb. in Fab Febs defense, it actually produced our (my) biggest storm since 2018 last year 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted yesterday at 05:17 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 05:17 PM 1 minute ago, NorthHillsWx said: in Fab Febs defense, it actually produced our (my) biggest storm since 2018 last year Foothills areas haven't had a big snow in February since 2014. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
suzook Posted yesterday at 07:08 PM Share Posted yesterday at 07:08 PM 2 hours ago, Snowacane said: Don't forget magic March. I'll agree with Jan and Feb, but March is a stretch in my area. We can all dream though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted yesterday at 07:10 PM Author Share Posted yesterday at 07:10 PM The SW has racked up the last 5 years. This year is off to a good start for them 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
olafminesaw Posted 21 hours ago Share Posted 21 hours ago Just a lil ice with an incoming tropical system in the gulf 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 4 hours ago, wncsnow said: The SW has racked up the last 5 years. This year is off to a good start for them I don’t think met. Eric Webb has been happy with how his abode in NM has done in recent years (since he moved there) based on his posts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 20 hours ago Author Share Posted 20 hours ago 6 minutes ago, GaWx said: I don’t think met. Eric Webb has been happy with how his abode in NM has done in recent years (since he moved there) based on his posts. Let's bring him on and ask him 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted 20 hours ago Share Posted 20 hours ago 29 minutes ago, wncsnow said: Let's bring him on and ask him I took your advice to find out instead of assuming. Since he doesn’t post here, I knew I had to ask him how he’s done with snow in NM. His answer: We’ve done okay ish I would say overall, we have yet to have any snow though. Just had our first precipitation event since early October a few days ago. Earlier this year it snowed on my birthday so that was nice. Our last 4” winter storm warning worthy storm was back in 2015, tho Feb 2021 got close in a few spots. Any accumulating snow is a really big deal down in the Desert Lowlands & people go crazy over it here like they do in the southeast. The climatology here since the early 2000s is roughly about the same as places like Charlotte, NC. It used to snow a lot more here several decades ago but our average has cratered. ———— So, it wasn’t bad like I thought, but by no means has he been racking it up either. It sounds in between. He hasn’t gotten that much, but they normally don’t there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 20 hours ago Author Share Posted 20 hours ago Interesting. I guess most of the marginal areas are struggling in the new normal 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinstonSalemArlington Posted 2 hours ago Share Posted 2 hours ago Spot the MegaCAD (December 3) 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 1 hour ago Author Share Posted 1 hour ago At least drought conditions should improve 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BooneWX Posted 54 minutes ago Share Posted 54 minutes ago Two days in a row of positive baby steps with the long range guidance. What makes me more optimistic is how many times CAD has shown up in some of these runs. Even in a mediocre pattern, an active gulf and a well timed CAD can do the trick. I don’t think a blow torch is a sure fire bet anymore. It seems like we’re correcting back to volatility and some AN temps but possibly trending more towards Avg with stout below avg bouts. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted 49 minutes ago Share Posted 49 minutes ago Positive steps today on the models. It's not like we aren't seeing Positive trends here. Especially when considering the MJO is moving in the right direction. Yeah this current weather sucks but hey the colds coming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Daniel Boone Posted 27 minutes ago Share Posted 27 minutes ago 52 minutes ago, wncsnow said: At least drought conditions should improve That may help irt to snow chances later on as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wncsnow Posted 24 minutes ago Author Share Posted 24 minutes ago 1 minute ago, Daniel Boone said: That may help irt to snow chances later on as well. I agree. I have rarely seen a decent/big snow with antecedent dry/very dry conditions. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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