Weather Will Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 Canadian for December.... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 Barf Nina 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted May 1 Share Posted May 1 Isn't this the May MR/LR thread? December a hella long way off. What a start lol. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted May 2 Author Share Posted May 2 WB 18Z EURO is wetter for Saturday night compared to 12Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 I can see a warm Winter easily verifying. We need a major -EPO to break through, and right now there are no signs of that in the global pattern evolution: it's a little more stagnant, allowing things like the -PDO to impact, and that has a slight +epo correlation. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted May 2 Author Share Posted May 2 Get the grass cut by tomorrow evening if the WB 12Z GFS correct rainy and cool weekend incoming. 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted May 2 Author Share Posted May 2 No one is paying attention or cares since it is rain, but EURO caved to GFS and is now wet Saturday.WB 12Z EURO compared to yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 20 minutes ago, Weather Will said: No one is paying attention or cares since it is rain, but EURO caved to GFS and is now wet Saturday.WB 12Z EURO compared to yesterday. Yeah, the Euro was late to the dreary Saturday party. As of the 00z run it had clouds but still nearing 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mdhokie Posted May 2 Share Posted May 2 2 hours ago, MN Transplant said: Yeah, the Euro was late to the dreary Saturday party. As of the 00z run it had clouds but still nearing 70. Last saturday was cold and wet for softball and looking like the same this saturday. Wish our precip would line up with weekdays! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted May 6 Share Posted May 6 Nice -PNA [-PDO] pattern for the next 15 days (12z GEFS). Maybe the La Nina is kicking into gear.. don't be surprised if temps bust too low over the next 2 weeks. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted May 8 Share Posted May 8 Strong Aleutian High pressure now projected to begin around May 15th (18z GEFS). The ensemble mean is +250dm. May could finish the month above average/somewhat hot if that verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Again, the strong -PNA conditions being shown by LR models support a warmer end to May https://ibb.co/F7ZCqDD (map default is positive, so -PNA is opposite) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted May 9 Share Posted May 9 Kind of odd that we are getting this cold over the next few days with +EPO (correlation is opposite). https://ibb.co/TtxMtMj Fits my theory that we are getting more cold with +NAO's these days than -NAO's. For the upper latitude pattern, cold air seems to be going more N->S, than W->E. This has been the case since 2013, and more so since 2019. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Interstate Posted May 10 Share Posted May 10 I love how the ridge sets up now out west when it is spring. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted May 11 Author Share Posted May 11 Fantasy run....WB Long range... 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 3 hours ago, Weather Will said: Fantasy run....WB Long range... Is it just WB or is the CFS predicting that most of the NH except the pole is gonna go colder than the 1981-2010 normal? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Terpeast Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 While we’re looking far ahead, CFS is projecting a crazy active tropics. I hope folks from lesser antilles up through VA beach are prepared to board up or have evac plans. If I lived in Florida, I’d be packing a Go bag right about now. CanSips - YIKES 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 4 hours ago, Weather Will said: Fantasy run....WB Long range... Strong Nino pattern in a strong Nina? Sure Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted May 11 Share Posted May 11 3 hours ago, WxUSAF said: Strong Nino pattern in a strong Nina? Sure Jan. Sure, why not. Up is down. Left is right. Cats and dogs sleeping together. Mass hysteria. Ghostbusters was prescient. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weather Will Posted May 12 Author Share Posted May 12 WB latest EURO weeklies, wet and near normal temps continue next 30 days. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted May 16 Share Posted May 16 GFS precip through the end of the month. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 JB is already building hype for next winter. I'm predicting Sistene chapels and massive hymns from dec-mar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IronTy Posted May 17 Share Posted May 17 On 5/15/2024 at 10:23 PM, JenkinsJinkies said: GFS precip through the end of the month. DC proper is the new Short Pump? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JenkinsJinkies Posted May 18 Share Posted May 18 6 hours ago, IronTy said: DC proper is the new Short Pump? If we weren’t going into a Nina in a few months I would say it would be trying to make a run to top 2018. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormchaserchuck1 Posted 19 hours ago Share Posted 19 hours ago Models have a cooler start to June with -NAO trying to develop.. If the ridge over the Davis Strait ends up verifying, that would be good for my N. Atlantic SST prediction of wintertime NAO state, but still a long ways to go (the index measures through September.) I also think a ridge is going to try to develop over the West coast through June, then it may work its way to the Midwest by July and August then the east by the end of the Summer.. there is a chance it could come here sooner though, but GEFS looks troughy through Day 15.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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