Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 Yes, hello front end on the 18z GFS. I think there is a chance for this to trend even better over the next couple of days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 Let’s see what the back end does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 The back end post Front delivers a little more, especially west of the Susquehanna. Road trip to @Bubbler86 or @MAG5035 I will bring the egg nog! 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 2 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: The back end post Front delivers a little more, especially west of the Susquehanna. Road trip to @Bubbler86 or @MAG5035 I will bring the egg nog! Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 I don't see how there won't be a flash freeze Friday evening/night with the passage of that strong arctic front. As long as winds don't blow too hard (which they might) and things don't dry out too much, the puddles and rain will freeze the roads. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ruin Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 32 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Remember last March 3 to 5 inch region wide snow from a post Front situation? I dont recall that since I was just getting over covid and had 2 deaths in my fam but normally I dont recall post frontal passages doing much it either doesnt cool off enough and its still all rain or it just dry's up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 5 minutes ago, Ruin said: I dont recall that since I was just getting over covid and had 2 deaths in my fam but normally I dont recall post frontal passages doing much it either doesnt cool off enough and its still all rain or it just dry's up. Sorry to hear that. Yes, usually they don’t work well for us post front, but it did last March. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Car topper here this evening....was walking through a living nativity and experienced rare snow in Bethlehem. Mary and Joseph looked pretty cold! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 1 hour ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Yes, hello front end on the 18z GFS. I think there is a chance for this to trend even better over the next couple of days. More rain for me... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 Today was cold. That wind is brutal. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 11 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: More rain for me... Plenty of time for a slight shift east for you and our Lancaster & Lebanon friends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 18, 2022 Author Share Posted December 18, 2022 4 minutes ago, canderson said: Today was cold. That wind is brutal. MDT is running .4 below normal temperature for the month to date. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 18, 2022 Share Posted December 18, 2022 9 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: MDT is running .4 below normal temperature for the month to date. Now let’s get in on the snow! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 0Z Nam has a weak surface presence in SC at 72 hours, helping flow moisture up over the LSV....yet still rain due to the ridging out in front of the Arctic front. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 0Z Nam has a weak surface presence in SC at 72 hours, helping flow moisture up over the LSV....yet still rain due to the ridging out in front of the Arctic front. Hopefully post frontal snow gives us a little Christmas theme 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Share Posted December 19, 2022 13 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 0Z Nam has a weak surface presence in SC at 72 hours, helping flow moisture up over the LSV....yet still rain due to the ridging out in front of the Arctic front. Lol, 84 hr NAM, but it actually does show frozen precip in the LSV. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 18 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol, 84 hr NAM, but it actually does show frozen precip in the LSV. Should I search for the words "extrapolated nam" mentioned in this forum over the last few weeks? It would probably number in the dozens. I was looking at the 84 map when I saw rain. No snow in the LSV except the Very far northern area on the Pivotal map I saw. Did not see a lot of precip at 72 yet but it had started to flow up at that point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Maybe a turn of events on the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Share Posted December 19, 2022 14 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Should I search for the words "extrapolated nam" mentioned in this forum over the last few weeks? It would probably number in the dozens. I was looking at the 84 map when I saw rain. No snow in the LSV on the Pivotal map I saw. Did not see a lot of precip at 72 yet but it had started to flow up at that point. Come on man, I’m clearly having fun…. The 84 hour NAM & extrapolated NAM is a long running joke all across all weather boards… Relax, I promise it will snow this season ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted December 19, 2022 Author Share Posted December 19, 2022 14 minutes ago, paweather said: Maybe a turn of events on the GFS. Front end & back end is probably all we can hope for at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 1 minute ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Front end & back end is probably all we can hope for at this point. That's what she said. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Come on man, I’m clearly having fun…. The 84 hour NAM & extrapolated NAM is a long running joke all across all weather boards… Relax, I promise it will snow this season ! People love to talk 84, 96 hour Nam when it shows good news. Lol. I was more bemoaning a weak low near SC and still column issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Im not sold on a front end thump but back end looks solid. What sucks is timing - anyone with travel plans Christmas Eve is probably f’d. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Newman Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 58 to 12 in HBG in 6 hours!!! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 6 minutes ago, Newman said: 58 to 12 in HBG in 6 hours!!! What are the winds like? 60 mph with gusts higher? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
anotherman Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Starting to look like no one should be on the road Christmas Eve. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wmsptwx Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Holy lord, winds looks strong as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 3 minutes ago, anotherman said: Starting to look like no one should be on the road Christmas Eve. Agreed. Flash freezes with strong, dangerous winds is a quite scary. It f’n sucks out of this next week winds will be the biggest story and not frozen precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted December 19, 2022 Share Posted December 19, 2022 Do we go to cold and dry next week UGH!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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