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Historic Lake Effect Event?! 11/17-11/21


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1 minute ago, Jebman said:

This is going to go down as one of the worst lake effect events, particularly because of the wetness of the LES in this case.

The combined events of Nov 2014 will likely be higher. But this event has already passed the 1st part of Nov 2014. The dates are also identical Nov 17-19 just 8 yrs later.

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Heaviest bands will likely shift north for part of Saturday as winds back to SSW ahead of trough due to impact the region Saturday night. Winds likely to increase steadily tomorrow and peak at 35-45 mph Saturday night. I realize having lived in a snow belt region once upon a time that winds inside these steady-state snow bands can be rather variable and you can get some boundary winds near the edges of them that are hard to model or predict. But on the larger scale, winds should become more of an issue tomorrow and Sunday. Looking at a recent satellite image which I have added (it will update so can be used by later readers, check time stamp), you will note the upper level trough in the western Lake Superior region, ahead of that winds will back to SSW then slowly return to WSW, becoming WNW after it passes (est 10 p.m. Sat for BUF). Notice also that Lake Erie is almost 100% covered by lake effect generating cloud mass, parts of western Lake Ontario remain cloud-free. 

http://www.weather.gc.ca/data/satellite/goes_ecan_1070_100.jpg

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1 hour ago, Buffalo Bumble said:

If your friend is taking 81, tomorrow might actually be the better day. The lake effect should be “off” both highways as it gets directed into Canada on S/SW winds. Traveling down 81 on Sunday will probably involve driving through a band somewhere, same on the 90 south of BUF. Other option is take 87 to the 90 on Sunday. 
 

EDIT: Tomorrow is definitely better for that drive. 

Thanks for the reply and tip!

Image'

Yikes!

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