Festus Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 20 hours ago, Festus said: High of 49 so far. That is one ugly record to break for October 4th. Millersville October 4th record officially set for lowest max temperature. Ironically enough. October 5th of last year was the record highest min temperature for the date. https://www.atmos.millersville.edu/~wic/climo/monthly-extremes/october.pdf 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5, 2022 Author Share Posted October 5, 2022 12Z GFS continuing with that "Indian Summer look" (at least for highs, lows are more normal) for next week with ridging over much of the Eastern US. 3 or dare I say 4 potential days in the 70's. Normal next week is 67ish. If it gets to 73 or 74...is that Indian Summer, Heat Wave, or just warm days? The records are in the mid 80's so not extreme by any means. This is just model disco and not a forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 16 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: 12Z GFS continuing with that "Indian Summer look" (at least for highs, lows are more normal) for next week with ridging over much of the Eastern US. 3 or dare I say 4 potential days in the 70's. Normal next week is 67ish. If it gets to 73 or 74...is that Indian Summer, Heat Wave, or just warm days? The records are in the mid 80's so not extreme by any means. This is just model disco and not a forecast. Elliott Abrams educated me that Indian Summer occurred only after the 1st legit frost of the season, so barring that this weekend, I'm ruling that out. Mid 70s is NOT a heat wave regardless of what the normal highs are (to me) so that goes out the door. Sounds like a stretch of warm autumn days are in store for us. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 Also...after a couple of hours of dry weather...itsrainingtime. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5, 2022 Author Share Posted October 5, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Elliott Abrams educated me that Indian Summer occurred only after the 1st legit frost of the season, so barring that this weekend, I'm ruling that out. Mid 70s is NOT a heat wave regardless of what the normal highs are (to me) so that goes out the door. Sounds like a stretch of warm autumn days are in store for us. So if it gets to 77 for 3 straight days, no heat wave? LOL. I doubt it gets that warm 3 days next week. Lower 70's 3 days more possible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: So if it gets to 77 for 3 straight days, no heat wave? LOL. I doubt it gets that warm 3 days next week. Lower 70's 3 days more possible. Nah...3 days of 77 means the AC won't shut off much. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5, 2022 Author Share Posted October 5, 2022 Just now, Itstrainingtime said: Nah...3 days of 77 means the AC won't shut off much. LOL We may need Mike Pereira to figure out these Heat Wave rules. LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 Just now, Bubbler86 said: We may need Mike Pereira to figure out these Heat Wave rules. LOL I like the Dean dude that's on Saturdays better. LOL 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5, 2022 Author Share Posted October 5, 2022 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said: I like the Dean dude that's on Saturdays better. LOL As far as I am concerned, if Troy Aikman and Touchdown Tony Romo think it is a heat wave, I am going with their thoughts. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 4 hours ago, pasnownut said: Just looking at the 500 maps and ens guidance and I'm going to pull a Bastardi or Weatherworld long ranger and say that we dont see temps above 75 until next spring. Tomorrow may tickle that number and the 13th has a bulge in the midwest that if rolled over a bit further east could be a spoiler to my guess as well, but I'm sticking w/ it as there is enough ridging out west and enough push of cold from the land of the canooks to make me feel safe for now. I'm with you but the GFS has us in the 70's next week. Let's hope it is cooler and get my 540 in here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 5 hours ago, sauss06 said: The wind was coming from the north. My daughter just called and said do you know there is wood and siding and other stuff all over our back yard Sorry to hear. It got windy here but not like that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mount Joy Snowman Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 3 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: I finished nearly 1" higher than you...and almost all of that happened yesterday. I had 1.96" for the day...I got into some heavy action twice that looked to be from my area and just north and east. Figured you must have gotten in on some good action yesterday. I'm back in Harrisburg a couple days a week now so I wasn't home to see what was happening. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Bubbler86 said: As far as I am concerned, if Troy Aikman and Touchdown Tony Romo think it is a heat wave, I am going with their thoughts. I typed about 6 different responses to this from Buddy Ryan's perspective but didn't think any of them were appropriate to post. LOL 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 For the first time here since last Thursday...I see the sun! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paweather Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 42 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: For the first time here since last Thursday...I see the sun! Me too!!!! Peaking out but still cloudy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5, 2022 Author Share Posted October 5, 2022 Ian, the storm that would not leave, has stayed an extra day but really dying off now as it starts to dissolve/pull away. Just a little rain left in the Lebanon area. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itstrainingtime Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 23 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Ian, the storm that would not leave, has stayed an extra day but really dying off now as it starts to dissolve/pull away. Just a little rain left in the Lebanon area. Is that new avatar pic from your backyard? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 5, 2022 Author Share Posted October 5, 2022 6 minutes ago, Itstrainingtime said: Is that new avatar pic from your backyard? LOL, a bit up the hill at Penmar Park. A former amusement park where its always breezy. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
canderson Posted October 5, 2022 Share Posted October 5, 2022 It breaks your heart. It is designed to break your heart. The game begins in the spring, when everything else begins again, and it blossoms in the summer, filling the afternoons and evenings, and then as soon as the chill rains come, it stops and leaves you to face the fall alone. You count on it, rely on it to buffer the passage of time, to keep the memory of sunshine and high skies alive, and then just when the days are all twilight, when you need it most, it stops. Today, October 2, a Sunday of rain and broken branches and leaf-clogged drains and slick streets, it stopped, and summer was gone. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pawatch Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 Mowed this afternoon and the grass was still wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 9 hours ago, Bubbler86 said: Needless to say, you are not really counting down the hours to the next drought map tomorrow? I will check just to see if Blizz is still in a drought per USGS. Lol…I’m too busy counting down the hours until my first potential frost. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 6 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: I typed about 6 different responses to this from Buddy Ryan's perspective but didn't think any of them were appropriate to post. LOL Lol… same here…I would probably get my first warning on here if I posted some thoughts on this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 6 hours ago, Itstrainingtime said: For the first time here since last Thursday...I see the sun! I was very happy to see the sun this afternoon as well! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 6, 2022 Author Share Posted October 6, 2022 5 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said: Lol… same here…I would probably get my first warning on here if I posted some thoughts on this! Like a lot of my other posts, this was said in jest. I am one of the better supporters of the local teams to this thread when it comes to discussion and analysis. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard of 93 Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 47 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: Like a lot of my other posts, this was said in jest. I am one of the better supporters of the local teams to this thread when it comes to discussion and analysis. I know that you were joking around…so I am joking around right back at you! I am enjoying the Eagles 4-0 start as well as the Phillies actually making the playoffs. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 It must have rained a good amount somewhere in the Mahantango Creek basin. I had a total of 1.74 in 3 days but to have the creek come up 3 feet, it rained hard elsewhere. And the little stream beside the house has very little water from the mountain in it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 6, 2022 Author Share Posted October 6, 2022 Models delaying the Friday front a bit so could not have two really nice days on tap as to high temps. Low to mid 70's on the GFS. Low 70's on the Meso's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 6, 2022 Author Share Posted October 6, 2022 35 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: It must have rained a good amount somewhere in the Mahantango Creek basin. I had a total of 1.74 in 3 days but to have the creek come up 3 feet, it rained hard elsewhere. And the little stream beside the house has very little water from the mountain in it. NWS put out a map. According to this, all but the very far west LSV had 1.5" or more in a smoothed out view. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mahantango#1 Posted October 6, 2022 Share Posted October 6, 2022 10 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said: NWS put out a map. According to this, all but the very far west LSV had 1.5" or more in a smoothed out view. It was a very beneficial rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bubbler86 Posted October 6, 2022 Author Share Posted October 6, 2022 50 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said: It was a very beneficial rain. Yes indeed, with the dry spell in front of us now we could have gone a whole month with little (less than 1") of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Create an account or sign in to comment
You need to be a member in order to leave a comment
Create an account
Sign up for a new account in our community. It's easy!
Register a new accountSign in
Already have an account? Sign in here.
Sign In Now