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Fall 2022 Pittsburgh/Western PA Discussion


Ahoff
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9 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

Models indicating the possibility of something brewing for black Friday. Looks like a miller B type setup with low odds but if you are in the mood to track could be first threat to keep an eye on.

Always in the mood to track snow haha. The models have been pretty consistent with showing some sort of storm Thanksgiving weekend and have moved away from the idea of a massive cutter. Also wondering if we could pick up some light snow tomorrow afternoon with a disturbance rolling through. 

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6 hours ago, dj3 said:

Always in the mood to track snow haha. The models have been pretty consistent with showing some sort of storm Thanksgiving weekend and have moved away from the idea of a massive cutter. Also wondering if we could pick up some light snow tomorrow afternoon with a disturbance rolling through. 

Looks worth monitoring radar tomorrow morning for sure. NWS makes mention of some potential for heavier snow or even a squall.


Friday will continue to be cold, Hi-Res models portray snow
shower potential increasing with the passing shortwave passage
from late morning through late afternoon. With reinforced cold
air from the west, CAPE could increase between 20-35 J/kg and
convective snow bands could hold together. Nevertheless, models
indicate a very well defined vortmax associated with he
shortwave moving in tomorrow morning just after 12Z with strong
winds aloft. The potential certainly exists with the amount of
instability present for an isolated heavier band or even a snow
squall. Thus have upped snowfall amounts a tad and included all
of the Ohio counties in the HWO. As well, the better agreement
with the hi res models showing better instability coupled with
mechanical assistance from the terrain in the southeast, the
totals in the southeast were raised to 1 to 3 inches. A Special
Weather Statement may be needed or even a Winter Weather
Advisory.
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1 hour ago, Ahoff said:

Lucky.

Not really as far as actual Buffalo. Looks like the airport got a foot, but the city and places north have stopped snowing for quite some time. It’s south that will get the epic totals.

I don’t think there are a lot of posters from actual in Buffalo here, but it would be interesting to see how a typical weenie would react to have 4 or 5’ 20 miles down the road and not get it. Our thread would be NUTS.

I have to think most there would take it in stride just due to the nature of LES, AND the frequency of snow in general.

 

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Snow Squall Warning

SNOW SQUALL WARNING
NWS PITTSBURGH PA
1230 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2022

OHC081-PAC003-007-019-125-WVC009-029-069-181815-
/O.NEW.KPBZ.SQ.W.0004.221118T1730Z-221118T1815Z/
1230 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2022
Jefferson County OH-Allegheny County PA-Beaver County PA-Butler
County PA-Washington County PA-Brooke County WV-Hancock County
WV-Ohio County WV-

The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a

* Snow Squall Warning for...
Eastern Jefferson County in east central Ohio...
Beaver County in western Pennsylvania...
Northwestern Washington County in southwestern Pennsylvania...
Southwestern Butler County in west central Pennsylvania...
Northwestern Allegheny County in southwestern Pennsylvania...
Ohio County in northern West Virginia...
Brooke County in northern West Virginia...
Hancock County in northern West Virginia...

* Until 115 PM EST.

* At 1229 PM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line
extending from near Cranberry to near Shippingport to Follansbee,
moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Intense bursts of heavy snow and gusty winds leading to
blowing snow and rapidly falling visibility.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Travel will become difficult and potentially dangerous
within minutes.

This includes the following highways...
Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 15 and 39.
Interstate 79 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 62 and 92.
Parkway North between mile markers 8 and 13.
Interstate 376 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 33 and 62.

Locations impacted include...
Ross Township, McCandless Township, Cranberry, Moon Township,
Weirton, Steubenville, Franklin Park, Aliquippa, Beaver Falls,
Monaca, Wellsburg, and Avella.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Reduce speed and turn on headlights! During snow squalls, the
visibility may suddenly drop to near zero in whiteout conditions.

LAT...LON 4087 8010 4084 7987 4066 7989 4048 8009
          4017 8033 4019 8080 4044 8077 4065 8050
          4080 8030 4087 8010

 

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37 minutes ago, Burghblizz said:

Not really as far as actual Buffalo. Looks like the airport got a foot, but the city and places north have stopped snowing for quite some time. It’s south that will get the epic totals.

I don’t think there are a lot of posters from actual in Buffalo here, but it would be interesting to see how a typical weenie would react to have 4 or 5’ 20 miles down the road and not get it. Our thread would be NUTS.

I have to think most there would take it in stride just due to the nature of LES, AND the frequency of snow in general.

 

All you have to do is remember that North Hills snow hole during the MLK day storm.

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Snow Squall Warning

SNOW SQUALL WARNING
NWS PITTSBURGH PA
109 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2022

PAC003-005-019-031-125-129-181900-
/O.NEW.KPBZ.SQ.W.0005.221118T1809Z-221118T1900Z/
109 PM EST FRI NOV 18 2022
Allegheny County-Armstrong County-Butler County-Clarion
County-Washington County-Westmoreland County-

The National Weather Service in Pittsburgh has issued a

* Snow Squall Warning for...
Northeastern Washington County in southwestern Pennsylvania...
Southeastern Butler County in west central Pennsylvania...
Allegheny County in southwestern Pennsylvania...
Northwestern Westmoreland County in southwestern Pennsylvania...
Armstrong County in west central Pennsylvania...
South central Clarion County in west central Pennsylvania...

* Until 200 PM EST.

* At 109 PM EST, a dangerous snow squall was located along a line
extending from near Kittanning to Gibsonia to near
Sturgeon-Noblestown, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Intense bursts of heavy snow and gusty winds leading to
blowing snow and rapidly falling visibility.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Travel will become difficult and potentially dangerous
within minutes.

This includes the following highways...
Pennsylvania Turnpike between mile markers 28 and 58.
Interstate 79 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 45 and 82.
Parkway North between mile markers 1 and 13.
Interstate 376 in Pennsylvania between mile markers 53 and 84.

Locations impacted include...
Pittsburgh, Penn Hills, Mount Lebanon, Bethel Park, Ross Township,
McCandless Township, Monroeville, Cranberry, Moon Township, McMurray,
McKeesport, and Butler.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Reduce speed and turn on headlights! During snow squalls, the
visibility may suddenly drop to near zero in whiteout conditions.

LAT...LON 4094 7922 4074 7933 4058 7962 4046 7970
          4022 7987 4027 8035 4049 8029 4060 8017
          4062 8012 4072 8011 4094 7990 4106 7935
          4094 7922

$$

 

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2 hours ago, Ahoff said:

A little hope for the after Thanksgiving storm. 

United States 8-14 Day Probabilistic Snow Hazards Outlook

Probably outdated at this point, unfortunately. Time stamp appears to be Friday, before models trended warmer for next weekend. GFS has a beast of a storm at 12z, but a waste of 2” QPF that falls as all rain.

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3 minutes ago, TimB said:

Probably outdated at this point, unfortunately. Time stamp appears to be Friday, before models trended warmer for next weekend. GFS has a beast of a storm at 12z, but a waste of 2” QPF that falls as all rain.

Oh, yeah, missed the timestamp.  Still time to trend better, but usually once it goes warm, so it goes.

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